Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $828.7200 (1.55%) ($817.0337 - $830.1400) on Wed. Sep. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $828.7200(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    IWF(46%)    VUG(46%)    XLY(45%)    IVW(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    BOTZ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $810.89(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $795.88(4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $784.39(5.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $415.189b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(53%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(40%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 1.8%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2016	744.78	784.39	795.88	810.89	809.52	816.2	828.72(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	741	50	816	514	4.42	78%	0.17	66.1	0.93%	0	2.4	64	0
2	Sep_27_2016	743.5	781.15	789.04	803.09	803.6	804.97	816.11(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	301	10	314	260	3.82	76%	0.19	66.5	0.95%	0	2.2	61	0
3	Sep_26_2016	742.1	778.75	783.45	795.91	797.79	802.85	799.16(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	214	50	227	176	2.65	74%	0.17	66.9	0.94%	0	1.5	53	0
4	Sep_23_2016	740.83	777.17	780.59	791.1	792.13	802.23	805.75(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	595	90	683	332	2.35	63%	0.2	65	1.02%	0	2.3	63	0
5	Sep_22_2016	739.33	774.77	775.91	785.66	785.21	792.73	804.7(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	605	70	703	310	4.08	63%	0.19	58.2	1.04%	0	2.6	63	0

6	Sep_21_2016	737.96	772.31	773.4	778.65	779.26	782.04	789.74(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	325	30	379	162	2.72	60%	0.16	45.2	1.02%	0	1.8	59	0
7	Sep_20_2016	736.76	770.89	772.56	772.92	774.1	777.7	780.22(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	159	40	188	72	1.94	58%	0.13	30.4	1.01%	0	1.1	57	0
8	Sep_19_2016	735.77	769.86	773.18	769.08	770.11	776.49	775.1(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	326	60	385	147	2.3	58%	0.16	13.9	1.02%	0	0.6	52	0
9	Sep_16_2016	734.59	769	772.9	768.36	767.03	770.51	778.52(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	354	30	419	160	5.5	58%	0.25	4.2	1.04%	0	1	55	0
10	Sep_15_2016	732.79	768.27	772.07	764.68	764.13	763.72	769.69(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-35	-10	-36	-30	3.04	55%	0.23	-11.2	1.03%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Sep_14_2016	731.13	768.02	772.08	767.56	765.4	763.55	761.09(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-184	-30	-217	-83	2.53	53%	0.2	-4.3	1.03%	0	-0.8	55	0
12	Sep_13_2016	729.66	768.23	772.91	772.24	770.8	764.53	761.01(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-257	-60	-311	-96	3.12	53%	0.19	8.6	1.03%	0	-0.8	51	0
13	Sep_12_2016	728.28	768.64	774.1	777.81	776.45	767.26	771.49(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-500	-90	-606	-181	3.12	57%	0.21	27.2	1.01%	0	0.3	59	0
14	Sep_9_2016	726.74	768.65	773.93	778	780.52	777.06	760.14(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-369	-20	-455	-110	4.26	53%	0.18	31.6	1.01%	0	-1	55	0
15	Sep_8_2016	725.42	769.24	774.15	780.09	781.37	785.63	784.06(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	197	40	207	168	2.03	66%	0.21	45	0.94%	0	1.7	65	0

16	Sep_7_2016	723.88	768.38	771.51	777.11	777.89	783.97	784.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	470	60	533	281	2.42	66%	0.22	47.1	0.94%	0	2.1	65	0
17	Sep_6_2016	722.28	767.48	769.23	773.73	772.91	777.11	788.87(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	343	30	388	208	3.72	66%	0.35	45.6	0.93%	0	3.1	69	0
18	Sep_2_2016	719.76	766.24	766.14	770.22	770	771.82	772.44(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	177	20	199	111	2.18	59%	0.21	45.9	0.89%	0	1.3	52	0
19	Sep_1_2016	718.23	765.88	764.63	769.53	769.33	768.71	770.62(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	-10	81	49	1.79	59%	0.22	50	0.9%	0	1	46	0
20	Aug_31_2016	716.65	765.39	763.93	767.25	767.99	768.18	769.16(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	0	-10	-4	1.63	59%	0.23	40.9	0.91%	0	0.7	46	0

21	Aug_30_2016	714.98	764.7	763.41	764.87	765.56	769.95	767.58(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	162	40	195	64	1.71	59%	0.24	43.9	0.92%	0	0.6	48	0
22	Aug_29_2016	713.24	764.35	762.99	763.84	763.25	767.8	771.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	358	40	428	149	2.2	59%	0.25	60.6	0.93%	0	1.4	52	0
23	Aug_26_2016	711.46	764.12	762.56	761.48	761.24	761.17	769(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	162	-0	200	47	2.78	59%	0.25	75	0.93%	0	1	52	0
24	Aug_25_2016	709.66	763.61	762.74	759.14	759.37	758.69	759.22(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-148	-10	-162	-105	1.62	52%	0.22	70	0.92%	0	-0.8	41	0
25	Aug_24_2016	708.08	763.36	763.9	760.19	759.88	761.31	757.25(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	21	10	33	-15	1.74	52%		57.4	0.92%	0	-0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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