Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 5, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $765.9800 (0.68%) ($763.0900 - $768.4700) on Sat. Aug. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $765.9800(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $761.94(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $753.89(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $748.66(2.31%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(55%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(50%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.33%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	684.87	748.66	753.89	761.94	760.09	761.52	765.98(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	223	10	240	171	2.7	66%	0.31	70.7	1.1%	0	1.7	70	INF
2	Aug_4_2016	682.76	747.57	751.71	760.51	759.64	756.58	760.77(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-77	-30	-113	30	3.18	66%	0.28	85.7	1.13%	0	1.4	68	INF
3	Aug_3_2016	680.86	746.33	750.02	758.88	760.58	758.66	754.64(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-82	-10	-118	25	3.58	66%	0.27	95.9	1.13%	0	0.9	60	INF
4	Aug_2_2016	679.05	745.48	749.11	755.28	758.63	762.7	760.58(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	167	50	178	132	3.6	72%	0.28	95.3	1.15%	0	1.6	62	INF
5	Aug_1_2016	677.14	743.85	746.99	750.28	752.57	762.5	767.74(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	428	100	493	232	3.58	72%	0.3	105	1.22%	0	2.6	62	INF

6	Jul_29_2016	675.11	741.7	743.67	744.66	746.26	754.56	758.81(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	519	80	610	247	6.78	81%	0.3	114.8	1.22%	0	2.1	51	INF
7	Jul_28_2016	673.08	739.58	741.23	741.87	741.58	742.64	752.61(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	122	10	146	49	7.62	81%	0.3	93.3	1.69%	0	1.5	54	INF
8	Jul_27_2016	671.1	737.78	739.94	740.23	741.32	737.95	736.67(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-103	-30	-118	-59	2.91	80%	0.27	83.2	1.68%	0	-0.1	52	INF
9	Jul_26_2016	669.3	736.5	740.55	742.04	743.48	740.52	735.59(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-128	-20	-149	-65	2.53	80%	0.26	71.5	1.7%	0	-0.1	50	INF
10	Jul_25_2016	667.54	734.53	741.8	742.91	744.89	744.68	739.61(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	10	-26	-5	2.68	80%	0.25	50.5	1.71%	0	0.3	61	INF

11	Jul_22_2016	665.86	732.64	743.13	742.21	743.52	746.44	744.86(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	30	93	53	2.28	80%	0.26	42.6	1.71%	0	0.7	67	INF
12	Jul_21_2016	664.16	731.48	743.18	740.32	740.67	745.09	744.43(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	138	40	155	86	2.32	80%	0.25	41.7	1.72%	0	0.8	73	INF
13	Jul_20_2016	662.48	729.81	742.44	739.68	739.33	740.6	745.72(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	10	125	82	2.21	80%	0.26	39.2	1.73%	0	0.9	74	INF
14	Jul_19_2016	660.78	728.29	741.64	739.06	739.42	736.25	739.95(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-73	-30	-98	4	2.22	80%	0.29	38.3	1.73%	0	0.7	75	INF
15	Jul_18_2016	658.87	726.99	740.61	740.71	741.88	738.06	736.07(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-156	-30	-203	-16	2.95	80%	0.28	40.9	1.73%	0	0.5	80	INF

16	Jul_15_2016	657.02	725.55	739.78	744.25	745.69	742.59	735.44(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-97	-20	-140	32	3.12	80%	0.28	43.4	1.74%	0	0.6	72	INF
17	Jul_14_2016	655.18	724.63	738.08	746.33	748.44	745.7	741.2(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-44	-20	-79	62	2.39	80%	0.29	44.9	1.74%	0	1	58	INF
18	Jul_13_2016	653.27	723.23	735.69	745.4	747.94	748.78	742.63(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	20	-24	86	4.14	80%	0.3	41.5	1.74%	0	1.2	63	INF
19	Jul_12_2016	651.34	721.96	732.4	744.4	745.41	751.18	748.21(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	201	60	209	175	5.62	80%	0.3	40.3	1.74%	0	1.6	62	INF
20	Jul_11_2016	649.41	720.19	726.91	740.37	740.47	747.09	753.78(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	306	60	339	208	3.2	80%	0.34	32.8	1.74%	0	2.3	65	INF

21	Jul_8_2016	647.18	718.21	721.35	734.75	733.71	739.64	745.81(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	239	50	265	162	3.43	80%	0.35	23.7	1.74%	0	2.2	66	INF
22	Jul_7_2016	644.92	717.09	718.65	728.72	728.56	733.84	736.57(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	239	50	269	150	2.95	80%	0.32	11.8	1.74%	0	1.8	57	INF
23	Jul_6_2016	642.86	716.43	715.9	724.52	723.41	727.79	737.61(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	179	40	201	111	3.94	82%	0.34	4.2	1.76%	0	2.1	59	INF
24	Jul_5_2016	640.65	715.57	713.45	718.59	719.71	723.27	728.1(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	190	40	220	101	2.43	82%	0.35	-13.2	1.78%	0	1.4	53	INF
25	Jul_1_2016	638.39	715.37	711.85	711.24	714.42	719.03	725.68(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	187	60	222	82	2.92	82%		-28.1	1.78%	0	1.1	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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