Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $745.7200 (0.78%) ($740.7000 - $746.2500) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $745.7200(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    XLK(45%)    XLY(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $739.68(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $742.44(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $729.81(2.18%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $373.606b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.9%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.59%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	662.48	729.81	742.44	739.68	739.33	740.6	745.72(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	10	125	82	2.21	80%	0.26	39.2	1.73%	0	0.9	74	0
2	Jul_19_2016	660.78	728.29	741.64	739.06	739.42	736.25	739.95(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-73	-30	-98	4	2.22	80%	0.29	38.3	1.73%	0	0.7	75	0
3	Jul_18_2016	658.87	726.99	740.61	740.71	741.88	738.06	736.07(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-156	-30	-203	-16	2.95	80%	0.28	40.9	1.73%	0	0.5	80	0
4	Jul_15_2016	657.02	725.55	739.78	744.25	745.69	742.59	735.44(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-97	-20	-140	32	3.12	80%	0.28	43.4	1.74%	0	0.6	72	0
5	Jul_14_2016	655.18	724.63	738.08	746.33	748.44	745.7	741.2(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-44	-20	-79	62	2.39	80%	0.29	44.9	1.74%	0	1	58	0

6	Jul_13_2016	653.27	723.23	735.69	745.4	747.94	748.78	742.63(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	20	-24	86	4.14	80%	0.3	41.5	1.74%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Jul_12_2016	651.34	721.96	732.4	744.4	745.41	751.18	748.21(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	201	60	209	175	5.62	80%	0.3	40.3	1.74%	0	1.6	62	0
8	Jul_11_2016	649.41	720.19	726.91	740.37	740.47	747.09	753.78(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	306	60	339	208	3.2	80%	0.34	32.8	1.74%	0	2.3	65	0
9	Jul_8_2016	647.18	718.21	721.35	734.75	733.71	739.64	745.81(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	239	50	265	162	3.43	80%	0.35	23.7	1.74%	0	2.2	66	0
10	Jul_7_2016	644.92	717.09	718.65	728.72	728.56	733.84	736.57(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	239	50	269	150	2.95	80%	0.32	11.8	1.74%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Jul_6_2016	642.86	716.43	715.9	724.52	723.41	727.79	737.61(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	179	40	201	111	3.94	82%	0.34	4.2	1.76%	0	2.1	59	0
12	Jul_5_2016	640.65	715.57	713.45	718.59	719.71	723.27	728.1(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	190	40	220	101	2.43	82%	0.35	-13.2	1.78%	0	1.4	53	0
13	Jul_1_2016	638.39	715.37	711.85	711.24	714.42	719.03	725.68(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	187	60	222	82	2.92	82%	0.36	-28.1	1.78%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Jun_30_2016	636.13	715.26	709.81	705.9	706.6	716.14	715.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	205	100	249	73	2.86	82%	0.36	-39.2	1.77%	0	0	49	0
15	Jun_29_2016	633.83	715.82	709.85	707.19	702.34	709.81	715.6(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	294	50	354	114	3.07	82%	0.38	-26.2	1.77%	0	-0	44	0

16	Jun_28_2016	631.45	716	709.61	706.19	702.83	697.05	707.95(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-70	19	-28	4.04	82%	0.36	-22.1	1.79%	0	-0.9	41	0
17	Jun_27_2016	629.21	716.76	710.68	707.76	705.18	694.87	691.36(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-435	-110	-502	-235	5.58	80%	0.31	-5.3	1.77%	0	-2.7	34	0
18	Jun_24_2016	627.27	717.98	713.26	712.29	711.46	708.61	698.96(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-231	-30	-263	-133	7.63	80%	0.27	16.3	1.77%	0	-2.6	35	0
19	Jun_23_2016	625.61	718.9	715.29	713.78	715.39	715.49	722.08(1.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	51	10	68	-1	2.82	91%	0.31	39.3	1.74%	0	0.5	46	0
20	Jun_22_2016	623.67	718.26	715.64	712.87	713.5	714.3	710.6(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	10	-31	-44	2.26	91%	0.26	41.1	1.74%	0	-1.2	35	0

21	Jun_21_2016	622.05	718.06	717.2	713.6	713.57	715.29	715.82(0.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	47	20	63	-2	2.14	91%	0.23	47.4	1.73%	0	-0.3	48	0
22	Jun_20_2016	620.61	717.23	717.95	714.29	714.16	712.7	714.01(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	10	-10	19	-18	3.68	91%	0.21	35	1.73%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Jun_17_2016	619.31	716.76	719.19	714.54	714.48	711.85	706.39(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-119	-30	-134	-73	5.9	91%	0.12	30.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	49	0
24	Jun_16_2016	618.59	716.52	721.2	716.84	715.76	715.63	717.51(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-10	-73	-38	3.1	91%	0.22	26.3	1.77%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Jun_15_2016	617.22	715.61	722.26	718.87	717.42	717.11	714.26(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10	-1	5	2.71	91%		22.9	1.77%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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