Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $695.2700 (-2.17%) ($693.9100 - $714.4700) on Tue. May. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $695.2700(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    IVW(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $709.4(-1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $694.35(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $666.32(4.34%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   32.4%
Market Cap   $348.33b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.58% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -3.57%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 6.73%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.67%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2016	596.48	666.32	694.35	709.4	710.47	705.98	695.27(-2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-85	-40	-143	88	5.12	93%	0.04	60.6	1.98%	0	0.8	76	INF
2	May_16_2016	596.27	662.96	692.15	710.96	712.1	710.58	710.66(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-10	-65	152	5.43	100%	0.2	66.4	1.97%	0	1.3	75	INF
3	May_13_2016	595.08	659.04	689.3	704.78	709.65	714.95	709.92(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	196	70	174	260	4.76	100%	0.08	69.5	1.99%	0	1.4	71	INF
4	May_12_2016	594.59	654.69	684.29	697.59	701.01	713.62	717.93(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	427	140	445	372	5.05	100%	0.1	71.3	1.99%	0	1.8	74	INF
5	May_11_2016	594.02	649.63	673.08	685.82	688.12	704.35	713.23(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	530	180	578	386	7.34	100%	0.09	71.4	1.99%	0	2	69	INF

6	May_10_2016	593.5	644.5	662.56	677.35	677.19	688.4	703.07(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	488	120	537	340	6.11	100%	0.07	71.7	2.01%	0	2	67	INF
7	May_9_2016	593.1	639.37	653.87	671	669.35	671.88	679.75(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	163	20	160	172	3.98	100%	0.03	73.9	1.98%	0	1.5	65	INF
8	May_6_2016	592.94	635.16	648.44	671.82	668.56	665.98	673.95(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-13	-40	-47	89	4.37	92%	0.01	77.6	2.02%	0	1.5	61	INF
9	May_5_2016	592.9	631.17	643.03	668.95	670.58	666.82	659.09(-1.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-39	-30	-75	70	4.88	77%	-0.03	75.5	2.03%	0	1.1	60	INF
10	May_4_2016	593.07	627.82	640.12	657.53	669.62	671.13	670.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	136	70	139	126	4.64	77%	0.02	64.2	2.18%	0	1.7	65	INF

11	May_3_2016	592.95	624.25	636	644.67	655.49	674.34	671.32(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	340	250	386	202	4.92	70%	0.02	52.7	2.18%	0	1.9	67	INF
12	May_2_2016	592.81	619.9	631.29	633.78	639	668.11	683.85(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	772	340	899	390	6.58	65%	0.08	42.6	2.23%	0	2.8	74	INF
13	Apr_29_2016	592.35	615.13	625.75	622.25	625.84	636.64	659.59(9.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	633	140	739	314	10.31	53%	-0.01	40.1	2.26%	0	2.5	72	INF
14	Apr_28_2016	592.38	611.89	621.98	614.43	615.62	609.89	602(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-137	-60	-165	-53	7.87	52%	-0.11	37.8	2.14%	0	-0.6	58	INF
15	Apr_27_2016	593.03	611.62	624.12	620.23	618.19	615.04	606.57(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-169	-50	-209	-48	4.07	49%	-0.12	55.7	2.42%	0	-0.3	62	INF

16	Apr_26_2016	593.77	611.32	625.25	625.51	623.99	621.34	616.88(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-40	-32	40	2.52	49%	-0.09	76.1	2.44%	0	0.4	59	INF
17	Apr_25_2016	594.32	610.22	624.2	627.72	626.36	621.35	626.2(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-103	-60	-140	10	2.68	49%	-0.08	86.7	2.43%	0	0.9	71	INF
18	Apr_22_2016	594.81	607.96	621.42	629.55	628.72	626.64	620.5(-1.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-91	-30	-128	22	5.08	52%	-0.08	99.3	2.43%	0	0.7	64	INF
19	Apr_21_2016	595.28	606.13	619.09	630.63	631.13	631.36	631(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	0	41	92	2.6	52%	-0.08	105.6	2.46%	0	1.4	66	INF
20	Apr_20_2016	595.75	603.09	615.25	628.58	628.9	630.8	632.99(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	39	88	2.61	52%	-0.08	99	2.46%	0	1.7	69	INF

21	Apr_19_2016	596.23	599.51	612.05	624.94	625.94	630.89	627.9(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	141	60	146	125	4.06	52%	-0.07	86.2	2.46%	0	1.5	63	INF
22	Apr_18_2016	596.62	595.87	607.92	620	620.99	627	635.35(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	208	70	229	146	4.36	52%	-0.07	70.4	2.45%	0	2	69	INF
23	Apr_15_2016	597.01	591.7	603.5	612.11	613.16	621	625.89(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	187	90	207	125	2.89	49%	0.05	56.2	2.47%	0	1.8	72	INF
24	Apr_14_2016	596.71	588.34	600.52	605.85	606.8	614.98	620.75(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	241	100	273	143	3.51	49%	-0.1	49.1	2.52%	0	1.7	68	INF
25	Apr_13_2016	597.28	585.89	597.63	599.99	600.58	605.32	614.82(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	165	60	185	103	4.23	45%		48.3	2.53%	0	1.7	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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