Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $659.0900 (-1.76%) ($656.0000 - $676.4900) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $659.0900(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    IWF(46%)    VUG(46%)    XLY(45%)    IVW(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $668.95(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $643.03(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $631.17(4.42%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   36.7%
Market Cap   $330.204b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.17% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 4.07%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 4.64%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.52%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	592.9	631.17	643.03	668.95	670.58	666.82	659.09(-1.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-39	-30	-75	70	4.88	77%	-0.03	75.5	2.03%	0	1.1	60	0
2	May_4_2016	593.07	627.82	640.12	657.53	669.62	671.13	670.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	136	70	139	126	4.64	77%	0.02	64.2	2.18%	0	1.7	65	0
3	May_3_2016	592.95	624.25	636	644.67	655.49	674.34	671.32(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	340	250	386	202	4.92	70%	0.02	52.7	2.18%	0	1.9	67	0
4	May_2_2016	592.81	619.9	631.29	633.78	639	668.11	683.85(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	772	340	899	390	6.58	65%	0.08	42.6	2.23%	0	2.8	74	0
5	Apr_29_2016	592.35	615.13	625.75	622.25	625.84	636.64	659.59(9.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	633	140	739	314	10.31	53%	-0.01	40.1	2.26%	0	2.5	72	0

6	Apr_28_2016	592.38	611.89	621.98	614.43	615.62	609.89	602(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-137	-60	-165	-53	7.87	52%	-0.11	37.8	2.14%	0	-0.6	58	0
7	Apr_27_2016	593.03	611.62	624.12	620.23	618.19	615.04	606.57(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-169	-50	-209	-48	4.07	49%	-0.12	55.7	2.42%	0	-0.3	62	0
8	Apr_26_2016	593.77	611.32	625.25	625.51	623.99	621.34	616.88(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-40	-32	40	2.52	49%	-0.09	76.1	2.44%	0	0.4	59	0
9	Apr_25_2016	594.32	610.22	624.2	627.72	626.36	621.35	626.2(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-103	-60	-140	10	2.68	49%	-0.08	86.7	2.43%	0	0.9	71	0
10	Apr_22_2016	594.81	607.96	621.42	629.55	628.72	626.64	620.5(-1.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-91	-30	-128	22	5.08	52%	-0.08	99.3	2.43%	0	0.7	64	0

11	Apr_21_2016	595.28	606.13	619.09	630.63	631.13	631.36	631(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	0	41	92	2.6	52%	-0.08	105.6	2.46%	0	1.4	66	0
12	Apr_20_2016	595.75	603.09	615.25	628.58	628.9	630.8	632.99(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	39	88	2.61	52%	-0.08	99	2.46%	0	1.7	69	0
13	Apr_19_2016	596.23	599.51	612.05	624.94	625.94	630.89	627.9(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	141	60	146	125	4.06	52%	-0.07	86.2	2.46%	0	1.5	63	0
14	Apr_18_2016	596.62	595.87	607.92	620	620.99	627	635.35(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	208	70	229	146	4.36	52%	-0.07	70.4	2.45%	0	2	69	0
15	Apr_15_2016	597.01	591.7	603.5	612.11	613.16	621	625.89(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	187	90	207	125	2.89	49%	0.05	56.2	2.47%	0	1.8	72	0

16	Apr_14_2016	596.71	588.34	600.52	605.85	606.8	614.98	620.75(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	241	100	273	143	3.51	49%	-0.1	49.1	2.52%	0	1.7	68	0
17	Apr_13_2016	597.28	585.89	597.63	599.99	600.58	605.32	614.82(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	165	60	185	103	4.23	45%	-0.1	48.3	2.53%	0	1.7	71	0
18	Apr_12_2016	597.88	583.86	595.79	597.44	596.47	598.62	603.17(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	20	70	65	2.64	45%	-0.13	52.9	2.62%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Apr_11_2016	598.67	582.31	594.79	594.04	595.32	595.85	595.93(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	10	55	67	2.7	45%	-0.13	52.5	2.62%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Apr_8_2016	599.44	580.97	593.32	593.49	593.11	594.33	594.6(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	10	-14	49	2.59	45%	-0.12	51	2.63%	0	0.9	73	0

21	Apr_7_2016	600.14	579.22	592.23	594.27	593.51	594.8	591.43(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	10	57	89	3.19	42%	-0.13	46.5	2.63%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Apr_6_2016	600.9	577.64	590.28	594.71	593.36	591.89	602.08(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-20	-10	63	2.85	42%	-0.07	40.9	2.67%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Apr_5_2016	601.33	575.49	586.27	594.03	593.75	592.23	586.14(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-51	-20	-78	31	2.31	40%	-0.11	36.6	2.64%	0	0.7	54	0
24	Apr_4_2016	601.98	574.32	583.36	595.58	596.13	594.82	593.19(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10	20	68	2.47	37%	-0.09	43	2.64%	0	1.3	59	0
25	Apr_1_2016	602.5	573.3	579.42	592.91	593.89	595.28	598.5(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	-0	47	2.92	37%		46.6	2.73%	0	1.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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