Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $659.5900 (9.57%) ($654.0000 - $669.9800) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $659.5900(9.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    IWF(46%)    VUG(46%)    XLY(45%)    IVW(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $622.25(6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $625.75(5.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $615.13(7.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.8%
Market Cap   $330.455b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(50%) Average negative next day return: -7.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.95%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	592.35	615.13	625.75	622.25	625.84	636.64	659.59(9.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	633	140	739	314	10.31	53%	-0.01	40.1	2.26%	0	2.5	72	INF
2	Apr_28_2016	592.38	611.89	621.98	614.43	615.62	609.89	602(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-137	-60	-165	-53	7.87	52%	-0.11	37.8	2.14%	0	-0.6	58	INF
3	Apr_27_2016	593.03	611.62	624.12	620.23	618.19	615.04	606.57(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-169	-50	-209	-48	4.07	49%	-0.12	55.7	2.42%	0	-0.3	62	INF
4	Apr_26_2016	593.77	611.32	625.25	625.51	623.99	621.34	616.88(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-40	-32	40	2.52	49%	-0.09	76.1	2.44%	0	0.4	59	INF
5	Apr_25_2016	594.32	610.22	624.2	627.72	626.36	621.35	626.2(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-103	-60	-140	10	2.68	49%	-0.08	86.7	2.43%	0	0.9	71	INF

6	Apr_22_2016	594.81	607.96	621.42	629.55	628.72	626.64	620.5(-1.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-91	-30	-128	22	5.08	52%	-0.08	99.3	2.43%	0	0.7	64	INF
7	Apr_21_2016	595.28	606.13	619.09	630.63	631.13	631.36	631(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	0	41	92	2.6	52%	-0.08	105.6	2.46%	0	1.4	66	INF
8	Apr_20_2016	595.75	603.09	615.25	628.58	628.9	630.8	632.99(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	39	88	2.61	52%	-0.08	99	2.46%	0	1.7	69	INF
9	Apr_19_2016	596.23	599.51	612.05	624.94	625.94	630.89	627.9(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	141	60	146	125	4.06	52%	-0.07	86.2	2.46%	0	1.5	63	INF
10	Apr_18_2016	596.62	595.87	607.92	620	620.99	627	635.35(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	208	70	229	146	4.36	52%	-0.07	70.4	2.45%	0	2	69	INF

11	Apr_15_2016	597.01	591.7	603.5	612.11	613.16	621	625.89(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	187	90	207	125	2.89	49%	0.05	56.2	2.47%	0	1.8	72	INF
12	Apr_14_2016	596.71	588.34	600.52	605.85	606.8	614.98	620.75(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	241	100	273	143	3.51	49%	-0.1	49.1	2.52%	0	1.7	68	INF
13	Apr_13_2016	597.28	585.89	597.63	599.99	600.58	605.32	614.82(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	165	60	185	103	4.23	45%	-0.1	48.3	2.53%	0	1.7	71	INF
14	Apr_12_2016	597.88	583.86	595.79	597.44	596.47	598.62	603.17(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	20	70	65	2.64	45%	-0.13	52.9	2.62%	0	1.2	72	INF
15	Apr_11_2016	598.67	582.31	594.79	594.04	595.32	595.85	595.93(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	10	55	67	2.7	45%	-0.13	52.5	2.62%	0	0.9	73	INF

16	Apr_8_2016	599.44	580.97	593.32	593.49	593.11	594.33	594.6(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	10	-14	49	2.59	45%	-0.12	51	2.63%	0	0.9	73	INF
17	Apr_7_2016	600.14	579.22	592.23	594.27	593.51	594.8	591.43(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	10	57	89	3.19	42%	-0.13	46.5	2.63%	0	0.8	66	INF
18	Apr_6_2016	600.9	577.64	590.28	594.71	593.36	591.89	602.08(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-20	-10	63	2.85	42%	-0.07	40.9	2.67%	0	1.5	61	INF
19	Apr_5_2016	601.33	575.49	586.27	594.03	593.75	592.23	586.14(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-51	-20	-78	31	2.31	40%	-0.11	36.6	2.64%	0	0.7	54	INF
20	Apr_4_2016	601.98	574.32	583.36	595.58	596.13	594.82	593.19(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10	20	68	2.47	37%	-0.09	43	2.64%	0	1.3	59	INF

21	Apr_1_2016	602.5	573.3	579.42	592.91	593.89	595.28	598.5(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	-0	47	2.92	37%	-0.12	46.6	2.73%	0	1.8	64	INF
22	Mar_31_2016	603.2	572.07	575.46	589.8	590.65	597.44	593.64(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	141	80	154	103	2.68	36%	-0.14	51.9	2.75%	0	1.6	67	INF
23	Mar_30_2016	604.04	571.23	573.29	585	585.33	592.5	598.69(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	227	90	256	139	3.89	36%	-0.11	54.8	2.76%	0	2.2	69	INF
24	Mar_29_2016	604.68	570.04	570.76	577.36	577.05	583.87	593.86(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	180	80	204	109	4.39	38%	-0.11	54.2	2.76%	0	2.2	67	INF
25	Mar_28_2016	605.33	567.93	568.4	569.38	568.74	578.16	579.87(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	206	110	238	109	3.12	40%		33.5	2.76%	0	1.2	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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