Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $617.7400 (1.76%) ($598.5700 - $619.8500) on Mon. Jan. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $617.7400(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    IVW(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $653.77
5 Day Moving Average   $619.83(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $645.2(-4.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $653.77(-5.51%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $309.488b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.97%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.43%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2016	597.96	653.77	645.2	619.83	617.82	613.19	617.74(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-170	-60	-167	-180	4.89	59%	0.21	-52.2	1.88%	0	-1.4	34	0
2	Jan_8_2016	596.69	656.17	649.9	623.68	624.49	615.23	607.05(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-315	-100	-338	-244	5.51	59%	0.16	-52.1	1.87%	0	-2.1	27	0
3	Jan_7_2016	595.75	659.31	655.99	637.45	632.09	622.46	607.94(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-515	-130	-583	-312	7.07	59%	0.13	-44.7	1.89%	0	-2.5	26	0
4	Jan_6_2016	594.97	662.98	662.04	653.68	648.38	633.75	632.65(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-432	-180	-497	-236	5.33	64%	0.17	-29.7	1.81%	0	-1.8	42	0
5	Jan_5_2016	593.97	664.98	665.58	665.94	663.88	641.71	633.79(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-677	-240	-796	-319	5.82	64%	0.17	-9.2	1.82%	0	-2	43	0

6	Jan_4_2016	592.95	667.07	669.02	674.22	675.83	663.01	636.99(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-624	-130	-744	-265	9.31	64%	0.29	6.5	1.83%	0	-2.2	53	0
7	Dec_31_2015	591.23	668.71	672.75	679.38	682.28	686.05	675.89(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	50	10	60	3.75	74%	0.26	17.3	1.68%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Dec_30_2015	589.7	668.63	672.66	676.95	677.64	688.64	689.07(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	386	120	438	231	3.52	79%	0.28	13.1	1.66%	0	1.8	60	0
9	Dec_29_2015	588.05	667.96	669.55	671.76	670.81	678.5	693.97(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	398	80	459	215	5.73	79%	0.3	0.6	1.69%	0	2.5	54	0
10	Dec_28_2015	586.32	666.36	665.76	665.87	665.27	666.65	675.2(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	114	10	131	61	3.78	71%	0.36	-20	1.69%	0	1	52	0

11	Dec_24_2015	584.2	666.18	662.39	663.66	664.03	663.11	662.79(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10	-48	-32	1.09	69%	0.22	-21.9	1.77%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Dec_23_2015	582.93	666.78	662.33	665.23	665.42	663.89	663.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-77	-20	-87	-45	2.72	69%	0.23	-10.7	1.77%	0	-0.4	49	0
13	Dec_22_2015	581.6	667.15	662.4	667.64	668.57	664.95	663.15(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-30	-74	-38	2.67	69%	0.22	11.5	1.77%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Dec_21_2015	580.3	667.91	663.65	666.74	669.71	666.95	664.51(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-20	-135	-66	3.25	69%	0.22	23.7	1.79%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	Dec_18_2015	579.01	668.12	664.11	665.42	669.13	672.2	664.14(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	50	84	20	6.84	69%	0.22	33.6	1.8%	0	-0.4	51	0

16	Dec_17_2015	577.72	668.04	664.88	660.62	664.11	672.48	670.65(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	250	100	302	93	3.68	69%	0.25	16.2	1.79%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Dec_16_2015	576.29	667.7	664.36	658.96	656.93	666.07	675.77(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	255	90	311	87	3.96	69%	0.26	6.6	1.8%	0	0.9	50	0
18	Dec_15_2015	574.78	666.16	664.13	656.76	655.68	655.75	658.64(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	152	-0	191	34	4.75	67%	0.22	-7.1	1.78%	0	-0.7	45	0
19	Dec_14_2015	573.49	665.76	666.1	660.5	657.24	647.8	657.91(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-276	-120	-315	-159	4.36	67%	0.23	0	1.78%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Dec_11_2015	572.19	665.15	666.92	662.88	662.66	655.61	640.15(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-365	-80	-421	-197	5.47	64%	0.28	-1.1	1.77%	0	-2.1	40	0

21	Dec_10_2015	570.6	666.56	670.5	669.38	668.39	666.68	662.32(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-20	-111	-50	3.46	71%	0.31	20.1	1.71%	0	-0.4	53	0
22	Dec_9_2015	568.84	667.09	671.85	670.17	669.57	669.71	664.79(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-0	-29	-9	5.16	71%	0.32	36.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	52	0
23	Dec_8_2015	567.05	666.88	672.58	672.41	670.35	670.1	677.33(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-10	-20	14	3.65	78%	0.34	56.2	1.69%	0	1	68	0
24	Dec_7_2015	565.14	665.79	672.63	672.76	672.59	669.42	669.83(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-37	-30	-55	16	3.73	78%	0.33	70.2	1.73%	0	0.4	62	0
25	Dec_4_2015	563.26	665.27	672.57	671.75	673.91	670.6	672.64(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-125	-20	-161	-16	4.53	78%		82.1	1.74%	0	0.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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