Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $675.2000 (1.87%) ($665.5000 - $675.5000) on Mon. Dec. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $675.2000(1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    IVW(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $665.87(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $665.76(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $666.36(1.33%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   36.1%
Market Cap   $338.275b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2015	586.32	666.36	665.76	665.87	665.27	666.65	675.2(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	114	10	131	61	3.78	71%	0.36	-20	1.69%	0	1	52	0
2	Dec_24_2015	584.2	666.18	662.39	663.66	664.03	663.11	662.79(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10	-48	-32	1.09	69%	0.22	-21.9	1.77%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Dec_23_2015	582.93	666.78	662.33	665.23	665.42	663.89	663.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-77	-20	-87	-45	2.72	69%	0.23	-10.7	1.77%	0	-0.4	49	0
4	Dec_22_2015	581.6	667.15	662.4	667.64	668.57	664.95	663.15(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-30	-74	-38	2.67	69%	0.22	11.5	1.77%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Dec_21_2015	580.3	667.91	663.65	666.74	669.71	666.95	664.51(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-20	-135	-66	3.25	69%	0.22	23.7	1.79%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Dec_18_2015	579.01	668.12	664.11	665.42	669.13	672.2	664.14(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	50	84	20	6.84	69%	0.22	33.6	1.8%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Dec_17_2015	577.72	668.04	664.88	660.62	664.11	672.48	670.65(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	250	100	302	93	3.68	69%	0.25	16.2	1.79%	0	0.3	49	0
8	Dec_16_2015	576.29	667.7	664.36	658.96	656.93	666.07	675.77(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	255	90	311	87	3.96	69%	0.26	6.6	1.8%	0	0.9	50	0
9	Dec_15_2015	574.78	666.16	664.13	656.76	655.68	655.75	658.64(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	152	-0	191	34	4.75	67%	0.22	-7.1	1.78%	0	-0.7	45	0
10	Dec_14_2015	573.49	665.76	666.1	660.5	657.24	647.8	657.91(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-276	-120	-315	-159	4.36	67%	0.23	0	1.78%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Dec_11_2015	572.19	665.15	666.92	662.88	662.66	655.61	640.15(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-365	-80	-421	-197	5.47	64%	0.28	-1.1	1.77%	0	-2.1	40	0
12	Dec_10_2015	570.6	666.56	670.5	669.38	668.39	666.68	662.32(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-20	-111	-50	3.46	71%	0.31	20.1	1.71%	0	-0.4	53	0
13	Dec_9_2015	568.84	667.09	671.85	670.17	669.57	669.71	664.79(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-0	-29	-9	5.16	71%	0.32	36.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	52	0
14	Dec_8_2015	567.05	666.88	672.58	672.41	670.35	670.1	677.33(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-10	-20	14	3.65	78%	0.34	56.2	1.69%	0	1	68	0
15	Dec_7_2015	565.14	665.79	672.63	672.76	672.59	669.42	669.83(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-37	-30	-55	16	3.73	78%	0.33	70.2	1.73%	0	0.4	62	0

16	Dec_4_2015	563.26	665.27	672.57	671.75	673.91	670.6	672.64(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-125	-20	-161	-16	4.53	78%	0.36	82.1	1.74%	0	0.7	66	0
17	Dec_3_2015	561.26	664.42	671.54	671.88	674.64	675.76	666.25(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-42	20	-63	22	5.06	78%	0.37	95.7	1.75%	0	0.2	51	0
18	Dec_2_2015	559.19	663.27	671.41	673.69	675.72	677.22	676.01(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	117	20	123	99	4.27	80%	0.38	101.7	1.75%	0	1.1	50	0
19	Dec_1_2015	557.07	660.85	668.36	672.72	674.79	673.53	679.06(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-0	1	40	4.75	74%	0.41	89.6	1.77%	0	1.3	57	0
20	Nov_30_2015	554.81	658.37	665.3	672.71	673.58	674.22	664.8(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-49	10	-68	9	5.69	72%	0.4	91.2	1.81%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Nov_27_2015	552.58	656.56	663.28	673.44	674.53	676.05	673.26(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	124	20	136	86	1.97	74%	0.66	93.6	1.8%	0	1	56	0
22	Nov_25_2015	548.96	654.27	662.35	671.04	671.76	672.95	675.34(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	20	43	44	2.7	78%	0.44	96.4	2.01%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Nov_24_2015	546.57	651.42	661.86	668.68	669.06	673	671.15(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	116	40	126	85	4.54	69%	0.43	103.7	2.01%	0	1	63	0
24	Nov_23_2015	544.22	648.5	660.62	663.11	665.25	670.57	678.99(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	205	70	232	125	4.39	69%	0.25	102.8	2.17%	0	1.5	71	0
25	Nov_20_2015	542.86	645.01	658.09	656.87	658.15	665.12	668.45(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	184	80	208	111	3.9	61%		99.1	2.24%	0	1.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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