Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $671.1500 (-1.15%) ($661.2125 - $675.8000) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $671.1500(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    XLY(46%)    IVW(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $668.68(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $661.86(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $651.42(3.03%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   44.8%
Market Cap   $336.246b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.9%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	546.57	651.42	661.86	668.68	669.06	673	671.15(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	116	40	126	85	4.54	69%	0.43	103.7	2.01%	0	1	63	INF
2	Nov_23_2015	544.22	648.5	660.62	663.11	665.25	670.57	678.99(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	205	70	232	125	4.39	69%	0.25	102.8	2.17%	0	1.5	71	INF
3	Nov_20_2015	542.86	645.01	658.09	656.87	658.15	665.12	668.45(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	184	80	208	111	3.9	61%	0.43	99.1	2.24%	0	1.1	67	INF
4	Nov_19_2015	540.53	641.63	657.05	651.65	651.79	659.93	661.27(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	200	90	227	119	4.71	61%	0.42	80.9	2.28%	0	0.7	66	INF
5	Nov_18_2015	538.27	637.04	656.45	652.52	648.99	651.19	663.54(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	109	10	116	89	4.47	61%	0.43	71	2.28%	0	0.9	67	INF

6	Nov_17_2015	535.95	631.91	654.26	654.46	652.57	643.65	643.3(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-111	-100	-147	-1	4.32	59%	0.4	69.5	2.26%	0	0.3	65	INF
7	Nov_16_2015	533.79	628.08	652.88	657.74	658.03	646.8	647.81(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-300	-120	-374	-77	7.44	59%	0.4	71.5	2.26%	0	0.6	70	INF
8	Nov_13_2015	531.68	624.5	651.23	659.27	661.59	661.48	642.35(-3.49%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-137	10	-186	12	6.26	59%	0.39	74.1	2.25%	0	0.5	69	INF
9	Nov_12_2015	529.63	621.07	649.93	662.68	662.25	669.27	665.6(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	212	70	217	197	4.28	63%	0.43	78.6	2.2%	0	1.2	86	INF
10	Nov_11_2015	527.36	615.94	646.05	660.69	659.14	661.71	673.25(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	219	20	218	221	5.39	63%	0.44	79.2	2.2%	0	1.5	95	INF

11	Nov_10_2015	525.07	609.53	640.37	654.23	654.59	655.24	659.68(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	75	10	44	166	3.49	63%	0.43	76.5	2.19%	0	1.3	95	INF
12	Nov_9_2015	522.81	604	635.54	647.35	649.84	656.57	655.49(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	182	80	168	223	4.05	63%	0.43	74.2	2.19%	0	1.3	90	INF
13	Nov_6_2015	520.58	598.69	630.86	641.93	642.51	653.93	659.37(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	349	130	363	307	4.09	63%	0.43	71.8	2.19%	0	1.6	82	INF
14	Nov_5_2015	518.36	592.64	624.77	635.23	634.76	643.1	655.65(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	348	90	362	305	4.72	63%	0.45	70	2.2%	0	1.7	82	INF
15	Nov_4_2015	516.06	586.44	615.8	629.41	628.82	631.09	640.95(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	175	20	161	216	4.84	61%	0.42	71.6	2.19%	0	1.6	82	INF

16	Nov_3_2015	513.9	581.39	607.55	624.64	625.4	626.41	625.31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	76	10	45	168	3.25	59%	0.4	75.3	2.18%	0	1.3	83	INF
17	Nov_2_2015	511.86	576.95	601.32	621.78	622.23	626.55	628.35(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	133	50	111	197	2.82	59%	0.39	82.2	2.18%	0	1.6	81	INF
18	Oct_30_2015	509.86	572.57	595.72	617.83	618.19	624.39	625.9(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	239	70	235	251	3.87	59%	0.38	89	2.18%	0	1.7	80	INF
19	Oct_29_2015	507.91	567.78	590.06	612.46	612.51	617.91	626.55(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	213	60	203	242	3.9	59%	0.39	89.3	2.18%	0	1.9	82	INF
20	Oct_28_2015	505.93	562.38	583.45	599.93	609.03	612	617.1(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	297	80	307	266	3.93	59%	0.38	79.6	2.18%	0	1.9	82	INF

21	Oct_27_2015	504	557.05	576.17	587.67	596.3	607.11	611.01(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	170	214	199	3.79	59%	0.38	64.1	2.18%	0	1.9	75	INF
22	Oct_26_2015	502.1	551.29	569.78	577.64	583.65	606.07	608.61(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	548	300	617	341	4.27	59%	0.37	49.7	2.18%	0	2.1	76	INF
23	Oct_23_2015	500.27	545.96	563.64	570.55	573.91	585.49	599.03(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	533	160	606	312	10.69	66%	0.34	40	2.47%	0	2.2	70	INF
24	Oct_22_2015	498.57	542.01	557.51	564.89	565.08	561.23	563.91(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-50	-34	50	7.78	62%	0.26	35.4	2.37%	0	1.1	66	INF
25	Oct_21_2015	497.28	540.41	554.59	564.6	566.01	562.32	555.77(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-87	-40	-123	21	3.36	62%		35.5	2.36%	0	0.8	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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