Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $599.0300 (6.23%) ($595.3600 - $619.4500) on Fri. Oct. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $599.0300(6.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(46%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $570.55(4.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $563.64(6.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $545.96(9.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $300.114b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.94%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.4%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.16%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2015	500.27	545.96	563.64	570.55	573.91	585.49	599.03(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	533	160	606	312	10.69	66%	0.34	40	2.47%	0	2.2	70	0
2	Oct_22_2015	498.57	542.01	557.51	564.89	565.08	561.23	563.91(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-50	-34	50	7.78	62%	0.26	35.4	2.37%	0	1.1	66	0
3	Oct_21_2015	497.28	540.41	554.59	564.6	566.01	562.32	555.77(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-87	-40	-123	21	3.36	62%	0.25	35.5	2.36%	0	0.8	68	0
4	Oct_20_2015	496.02	539.35	553.31	562.41	564.93	568.93	560.88(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	60	45	97	4.35	62%	0.26	35.2	2.36%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Oct_19_2015	494.71	538.09	551.02	560.02	560.37	569.7	573.15(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	256	120	274	203	4.38	62%	0.29	36.9	2.34%	0	1.9	83	0

6	Oct_16_2015	493.26	536.58	547.86	555.42	554.19	560.93	570.76(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	271	80	289	217	4.32	64%	0.3	40.5	2.35%	0	2	77	0
7	Oct_15_2015	491.8	534.84	543.9	549.23	548.78	551.04	562.44(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	144	30	143	147	4.94	64%	0.27	37.5	2.37%	0	1.8	63	0
8	Oct_14_2015	490.48	533.47	539.72	543.38	544.17	547.45	544.83(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	50	68	98	3.58	63%	0.25	34.6	2.35%	0	0.8	53	0
9	Oct_13_2015	489.27	532.56	536.63	542.8	540.48	546.53	548.9(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	70	153	121	2.94	65%	0.12	37.9	2.35%	0	1.2	54	0
10	Oct_12_2015	488.66	531.19	531.59	540.51	538.19	540.89	550.19(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	20	148	96	2.78	65%	0.26	36	2.37%	0	1.4	53	0

11	Oct_9_2015	487.41	529.69	527.01	539.21	537.38	534.44	539.8(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-24	-50	-32	2	3.54	65%	0.23	43.3	2.37%	0	0.8	45	0
12	Oct_8_2015	486.31	529.12	525.3	537.76	538.39	535.48	533.16(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-30	-64	-22	4.68	65%	0.23	49.8	2.37%	0	0.3	47	0
13	Oct_7_2015	485.19	528.58	525.17	535.27	535.71	540.32	541.94(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	60	65	20	3.81	65%	0.25	48.2	2.37%	0	1	50	0
14	Oct_6_2015	483.96	527.31	524.26	529.26	529.7	541.3	537.48(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	281	160	336	116	4.55	65%	0.24	43.4	2.37%	0	0.8	54	0
15	Oct_5_2015	482.82	526.31	524.05	520.98	521.2	531.1	543.68(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	343	130	413	132	3.39	65%	0.25	27.2	2.37%	0	1.3	58	0

16	Oct_2_2015	481.62	524.12	524.04	513.06	511.29	518.09	532.54(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	145	80	183	30	4.6	65%	0.21	3.5	2.38%	0	0.6	55	0
17	Oct_1_2015	480.6	522.78	524.56	511.4	508.32	511.29	520.72(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	59	20	82	-12	3.77	65%	0.2	-4.1	2.36%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Sep_30_2015	479.64	522.35	526.3	514	512.85	504.48	511.89(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	-120	-98	-71	4	65%	0.17	4	2.36%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	Sep_29_2015	478.81	521.77	528.03	518.84	518.47	505.34	496.07(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-404	-180	-471	-203	4.46	63%	0.13	21.9	2.33%	0	-1.7	43	0
20	Sep_28_2015	478.17	522.81	531.12	527.31	527.56	521.21	504.06(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-278	-80	-330	-122	5.43	63%	0.15	56.4	2.33%	0	-1.3	46	0

21	Sep_25_2015	477.45	523.63	533.28	536.17	534.79	531.59	524.25(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-72	-50	-98	7	4.03	68%	0.21	86.2	2.28%	0	0	68	0
22	Sep_24_2015	476.46	523.35	533.95	539.37	537.98	533.91	533.75(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-83	-60	-117	21	3.5	68%	0.25	94.7	2.26%	0	0.8	68	0
23	Sep_23_2015	475.29	521.75	532.91	540.4	539.9	537.99	536.07(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-47	-30	-78	47	2.24	69%	0.25	83.9	2.27%	0	1	65	0
24	Sep_22_2015	474.11	518.47	531.1	538.66	539.27	542.05	538.4(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	70	40	58	107	3.84	69%	0.25	46.3	2.28%	0	1.1	72	0
25	Sep_21_2015	472.94	514.88	529.05	535.46	535.63	541.82	548.39(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	193	80	203	161	3.28	69%		20.4	2.26%	0	1.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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