Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $482.1800 (-1.25%) ($475.7000 - $491.6600) on Thu. Jul. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $482.1800(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $485.91(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $473.94(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $455.49(5.86%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $241.572b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(88%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(13%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.12%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.13%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2015	416.13	455.49	473.94	485.91	487.47	486.61	482.18(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-0	1	160	9.37	100%	0.24	58.7	2.14%	0	1.2	77	INF
2	Jul_22_2015	415.12	453.33	469.44	484.57	486.35	487.37	488.27(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	30	50	179	3.11	100%	0.26	62.6	2.13%	0	1.7	82	INF
3	Jul_21_2015	414.06	451.04	463.72	479.16	481.98	488.33	488(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	177	110	166	208	3.18	100%	0.25	65.1	2.13%	0	1.9	83	INF
4	Jul_20_2015	413.02	448.3	458.54	474.67	475.84	485.33	488.1(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	316	150	332	266	4.75	100%	0.27	68.7	2.13%	0	2.3	84	INF
5	Jul_17_2015	411.92	445.47	453.17	468.16	469.36	475.63	483.01(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	306	100	328	241	4.93	92%	0.25	70	2.17%	0	2.5	73	INF

6	Jul_16_2015	410.91	443.1	448.41	460.26	462.23	466.35	475.48(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	180	80	188	157	4.1	92%	0.22	71.1	2.2%	0	2.7	69	INF
7	Jul_15_2015	409.99	440.6	444.36	452.05	455.11	463.1	461.19(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	200	140	220	141	2.99	91%	0.21	62.4	2.17%	0	2.1	63	INF
8	Jul_14_2015	409.15	438.85	441.54	445.75	448.43	458.12	465.57(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	325	170	375	175	4.74	91%	0.21	50	2.17%	0	3	61	INF
9	Jul_13_2015	408.28	436.68	437.78	439.98	440.5	447.12	455.57(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	227	110	266	108	3.96	90%	0.18	40.6	2.16%	0	2.7	62	INF
10	Jul_10_2015	407.55	435.32	435.81	436.07	435.9	438.74	443.51(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	114	40	137	44	2.4	89%	0.16	34.4	2.13%	0	1.5	57	INF

11	Jul_9_2015	406.89	434.76	435.33	434.91	434.45	433.88	434.39(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	8	-10	14	-9	2.27	89%	0.16	32.2	2.12%	0	-0.1	46	INF
12	Jul_8_2015	406.26	434.6	435.94	435.51	434.72	433.07	429.7(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-30	-69	-33	2.38	89%	0.14	31.1	2.12%	0	-0.9	54	INF
13	Jul_7_2015	405.71	434.46	437.54	436.39	436.18	435.03	436.72(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-20	-27	-2	3.45	89%	0.08	29.7	2.12%	0	0.4	60	INF
14	Jul_6_2015	405.39	433.84	437.53	435.02	436.1	436.36	436.04(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-7	10	-12	7	1.9	89%	0.21	15.8	2.12%	0	0.4	63	INF
15	Jul_2_2015	404.55	433.41	437.46	435.43	435.24	437.34	437.71(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	24	26	1.34	89%	0.16	16.5	2.12%	0	0.7	57	INF

16	Jul_1_2015	403.91	433.05	437.61	435.91	435.99	435.83	437.39(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-0	57	45	1.99	89%	0.16	21.6	2.12%	0	0.7	54	INF
17	Jun_30_2015	403.25	432.96	436.75	436.6	436.35	433.15	434.09(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-88	-50	-110	-20	2.6	89%	0.16	29.9	2.11%	0	0.2	54	INF
18	Jun_29_2015	402.61	432.81	436.19	438.98	438.74	436.16	429.86(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-86	-40	-111	-10	2.75	89%	0.14	45.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	56	INF
19	Jun_26_2015	402.04	432.89	435.77	440.26	440.7	439.56	438.1(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-20	-30	28	2.62	89%	0.16	54.7	2.1%	0	0.9	64	INF
20	Jun_25_2015	401.38	432.43	434.98	439.63	439.97	441.32	440.1(-0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	20	-8	37	2.24	89%	0.19	50.4	2.1%	0	1.3	61	INF

21	Jun_24_2015	400.61	431.74	434.21	439.49	439.68	441.85	440.84(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	106	40	112	87	2.62	89%	0.2	55	2.1%	0	1.6	57	INF
22	Jun_23_2015	399.83	431.21	433.16	436.88	437.58	438.63	445.99(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	75	20	79	61	3.25	89%	0.21	52.8	2.1%	0	2.7	55	INF
23	Jun_22_2015	398.99	430.13	431.02	433.13	434.45	437.52	436.29(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	60	69	41	1.82	88%	0.21	42	2.09%	0	1.4	54	INF
24	Jun_19_2015	398.16	429.67	429.75	430.61	431.66	436.53	434.92(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	145	90	171	68	4.5	88%	0.32	29.8	2.09%	0	1.3	53	INF
25	Jun_18_2015	396.9	429.47	428.91	429.61	428.45	431.39	439.39(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	107	40	128	45	3.38	88%		23.1	2.09%	0	2.5	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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