Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $431.4200 (1.4%) ($425.0100 - $431.8500) on Wed. May. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $431.4200(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $428(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $427.24(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $426.77(1.09%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $216.141b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.98%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2015	376.35	426.77	427.24	428	428.76	427.05	431.42(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-20	17	5	2.23	78%	0.37	50.5	2.15%	0	1.1	61	INF
2	May_26_2015	374.95	426.63	427.11	426.06	427.15	427.49	425.47(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	10	-64	-29	2.24	78%	0.52	80.6	2.16%	0	-0.3	55	INF
3	May_22_2015	373.02	427.22	427.81	426.01	426.82	430.47	427.63(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	70	104	44	2.02	78%	0.15	93	2.12%	0	0.1	55	INF
4	May_21_2015	372.45	428	428.36	425.69	425.62	426.81	431.63(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	86	20	99	47	4.12	78%	0.34	87	2.13%	0	0.4	59	INF
5	May_20_2015	371.2	426.1	427.87	425.82	424.63	423.17	423.86(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-30	-59	-12	2.2	78%	0.32	72.5	2.14%	0	-0.2	54	INF

6	May_19_2015	370.03	424.6	427.53	426.42	426.62	424.43	421.71(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-30	-61	-17	2.47	78%	0.31	67.3	2.14%	0	-0.2	43	INF
7	May_18_2015	368.9	423.26	427.61	428.28	427.91	426.08	425.24(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	-30	-86	-24	2.39	78%	0.33	66.2	2.14%	0	0.1	46	INF
8	May_15_2015	367.7	421.64	427.46	429.8	429.29	428.8	426(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10	-49	-13	4.24	78%	0.16	61.7	2.14%	0	0.2	38	INF
9	May_14_2015	367.1	419.32	427.21	431.34	430.98	429.74	432.28(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-20	-6	-3	1.89	78%	0.37	59.5	2.15%	0	0.6	36	INF
10	May_13_2015	365.75	417.1	426.15	430.26	431.49	429.78	426.87(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-20	-41	-3	2	78%	0.35	56.7	2.16%	0	0.5	71	INF

11	May_12_2015	364.49	415.04	426.35	428.71	430.62	432.22	431.02(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	40	20	40	1.95	78%	0.36	53.7	2.16%	0	0.7	73	INF
12	May_11_2015	363.2	412.8	426.09	426.74	427.86	433.19	432.85(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	100	138	104	2.39	78%	0.38	52.8	2.16%	0	0.9	73	INF
13	May_8_2015	361.81	410.31	426.45	424.78	425.16	429.02	433.69(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	175	70	184	147	2.91	78%	0.39	51.6	2.13%	0	1	74	INF
14	May_7_2015	360.4	407.75	427.33	422.62	423.3	422.52	426.88(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	64	-10	43	127	2.77	78%	0.37	52.1	2.14%	0	0.9	77	INF
15	May_6_2015	359.06	405.59	424.02	421.6	422.42	421.3	419.1(-0.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-47	-10	-88	76	2.55	78%	0.36	54.1	2.15%	0	0.6	67	INF

16	May_5_2015	357.77	403.73	421.49	423.65	423.8	424.08	421.19(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	10	-12	122	2.86	80%	0.34	57.9	2.15%	0	0.8	69	INF
17	May_4_2015	356.57	401.43	418.78	425.27	425.29	423.55	423.04(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-30	-37	127	2.27	80%	0.34	60.6	2.16%	0	1	69	INF
18	May_1_2015	355.37	399.12	415.65	428.38	427.47	423.53	422.87(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-94	-70	-159	101	3.57	82%	0.34	67	2.15%	0	1	70	INF
19	Apr_30_2015	354.16	396.58	411.21	432.82	432.37	427.03	421.78(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-85	-90	-153	121	3.65	88%	0.34	75	2.17%	0	1.1	69	INF
20	Apr_29_2015	352.95	393.98	407.73	426.47	437.11	431.41	429.37(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-20	7	132	3.62	89%	0.34	67.7	2.74%	0	1.6	72	INF

21	Apr_28_2015	351.74	391.02	403.09	418.55	427.23	437.71	429.31(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	230	37	122	4.14	89%	0.37	60.9	2.75%	0	1.8	73	INF
22	Apr_27_2015	350.46	388.13	398.5	410.93	416.55	442.82	438.56(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	563	480	635	346	5.43	89%	0.38	55.5	2.73%	0	2.6	80	INF
23	Apr_24_2015	349.15	384.52	392.54	401.12	403.87	416.75	445.1(14.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	595	240	680	338	17.18	89%	0.39	48.6	2.71%	0	3.9	82	INF
24	Apr_23_2015	347.81	380.37	385.74	387.21	388.94	390.28	389.99(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	22	44	7.98	83%	0.22	46.4	2.11%	0	1.3	68	INF
25	Apr_22_2015	347.05	379.4	385.06	386.42	386.31	390.99	389.8(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	80	104	83	3.47	85%		41.8	2.11%	0	1.4	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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