Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $421.7800 (-1.77%) ($419.2400 - $431.7500) on Thu. Apr. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $421.7800(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $432.82(-2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $411.21(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $396.58(6.35%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $211.312b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.68% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 6.8%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.93%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -0.48%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 12.93%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2015	354.16	396.58	411.21	432.82	432.37	427.03	421.78(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-85	-90	-153	121	3.65	88%	0.34	75	2.17%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Apr_29_2015	352.95	393.98	407.73	426.47	437.11	431.41	429.37(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-20	7	132	3.62	89%	0.34	67.7	2.74%	0	1.6	72	0
3	Apr_28_2015	351.74	391.02	403.09	418.55	427.23	437.71	429.31(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	230	37	122	4.14	89%	0.37	60.9	2.75%	0	1.8	73	0
4	Apr_27_2015	350.46	388.13	398.5	410.93	416.55	442.82	438.56(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	563	480	635	346	5.43	89%	0.38	55.5	2.73%	0	2.6	80	0
5	Apr_24_2015	349.15	384.52	392.54	401.12	403.87	416.75	445.1(14.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	595	240	680	338	17.18	89%	0.39	48.6	2.71%	0	3.9	82	0

6	Apr_23_2015	347.81	380.37	385.74	387.21	388.94	390.28	389.99(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	22	44	7.98	83%	0.22	46.4	2.11%	0	1.3	68	0
7	Apr_22_2015	347.05	379.4	385.06	386.42	386.31	390.99	389.8(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	80	104	83	3.47	85%	0.19	41.8	2.11%	0	1.4	69	0
8	Apr_21_2015	346.39	378.58	384.18	385.15	384.86	387.61	391.18(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	151	50	165	108	4.64	86%	0.2	41.1	2.17%	0	1.9	68	0
9	Apr_20_2015	345.71	377.72	382.51	383.93	383.09	381.64	389.51(3.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	3	-30	-8	35	5.02	86%	0.15	41.7	2.19%	0	1.9	63	0
10	Apr_17_2015	345.18	377.09	381.23	382.5	383.13	382.11	375.56(-2.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-53	-10	-73	9	3.84	85%	0.09	45.9	2.15%	0	-0.3	58	0

11	Apr_16_2015	344.86	377	381.05	383.92	384.08	384.53	386.04(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	10	15	55	2.08	92%	0.16	52.4	2.13%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Apr_15_2015	344.3	376.41	379.51	383.42	383.74	384.15	383.45(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	10	21	56	1.93	86%	0.15	62.5	2.13%	0	1.4	65	0
13	Apr_14_2015	343.8	375.82	378.4	382.97	383.24	383.62	385.11(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	10	34	58	2.58	86%	0.15	65.6	2.16%	0	1.9	62	0
14	Apr_13_2015	343.27	375.18	377.3	380.83	381.64	383.34	382.36(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	40	38	51	1.89	86%	0.15	54.2	2.16%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Apr_10_2015	342.75	374.58	376.12	379.77	379.93	382.85	382.65(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	97	60	106	70	2.57	82%	0.16	41.1	2.16%	0	1.9	53	0

16	Apr_9_2015	342.2	374.11	374.59	377.69	377.51	379.94	383.54(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	97	40	110	59	2.39	82%	0.18	14	2.18%	0	2.5	60	0
17	Apr_8_2015	341.6	373.24	373.25	375.03	374.86	377	381.2(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	63	40	73	31	2.64	82%	0.17	-27.5	2.19%	0	2.3	55	0
18	Apr_7_2015	341.01	372.62	372.43	373.21	373.09	375.08	374.41(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	62	20	1.95	82%	0.16	-72.2	2.18%	0	0.6	53	0
19	Apr_6_2015	340.47	372.79	372.45	373.25	372.51	372.72	377.04(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-0	42	13	3.05	77%	0.22	-76.7	2.18%	0	1.3	54	0
20	Apr_2_2015	339.71	372.88	372.48	371.95	372.35	371.11	372.25(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-20	-18	-11	1.88	73%	0.19	-61.3	2.21%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Apr_1_2015	339.07	373.58	372.58	370.97	371.87	372.3	370.26(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	20	-21	-17	2.46	73%	0.18	-60.4	2.21%	0	-0.7	46	0
22	Mar_31_2015	338.47	374.18	373.07	371.11	371.26	373.59	372.1(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	50	46	16	2.51	73%	0.21	-58.3	2.22%	0	-0.4	58	0
23	Mar_30_2015	337.77	374.76	373.08	371.51	371.4	371.44	374.59(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-0	55	23	1.82	73%	0.23	-47.7	2.22%	0	-0	56	0
24	Mar_27_2015	336.99	375.26	372.93	371.61	371.49	368.93	370.56(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-50	-86	-36	2.61	73%	0.23	-43.3	2.21%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	Mar_26_2015	336.22	375.75	372.99	373.2	373.52	371.36	367.35(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-80	-40	-94	-39	2.93	74%		-37.7	2.22%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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