Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $370.5600 (-0.99%) ($367.2000 - $374.4100) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $370.5600(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $369.41(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $350.39(5.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $325.15(13.97%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   29.1%
Market Cap   $185.651b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 10.11% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	314.16	325.15	350.39	369.41	369.55	372.41	370.56(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	86	60	24	273	2.72	65%	0.13	60.6	2.38%	0	1.4	88	INF
2	Feb_6_2015	313.76	321.33	344.43	368.19	367.59	372.59	374.28(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	230	90	186	360	3.89	65%	0.16	61.1	2.37%	0	1.7	89	INF
3	Feb_5_2015	313.25	317.42	338.16	364.24	363.43	366.68	373.89(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	230	60	182	372	7.25	63%	0.16	61	2.37%	0	1.9	90	INF
4	Feb_4_2015	312.74	313.4	331.61	351.82	358.21	362.59	364.75(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	281	140	254	363	4.17	62%	0.12	51.9	2.38%	0	2	82	INF
5	Feb_3_2015	312.36	309.71	324.77	339.65	344.45	360.17	363.55(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	340	360	338	347	6.21	62%	0.13	39.6	2.38%	0	2.3	81	INF

6	Feb_2_2015	311.95	306.36	317.21	328.29	330.52	353.83	364.47(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	650	510	717	449	10.23	62%	0.11	28.9	2.38%	0	3	82	INF
7	Jan_30_2015	311.6	303.2	309.5	317.33	317.79	328.72	354.53(13.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	540	250	603	351	23.86	61%	0.08	19.7	2.37%	0	3.6	75	INF
8	Jan_29_2015	311.36	300.65	302.4	308.9	307.85	307.21	311.78(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-20	-7	86	8.66	51%	-0.06	8	1.65%	0	1.4	57	INF
9	Jan_28_2015	311.56	300.46	300.52	308.61	308.88	306.87	303.91(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-40	-37	70	3.06	50%	-0.09	9.2	1.62%	0	0.4	54	INF
10	Jan_27_2015	311.83	300.79	299.61	307.27	308.48	308.49	306.75(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	10	-7	73	2.92	50%	-0.12	10.8	1.63%	0	0.7	59	INF

11	Jan_26_2015	312.19	300.83	298.06	303.81	305.62	310.89	309.66(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	165	140	182	113	3.17	50%	-0.12	5	1.63%	0	1.1	54	INF
12	Jan_23_2015	312.57	300.44	296.65	300.03	300.6	308.46	312.39(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	267	190	314	127	4.5	43%	-0.11	-5	1.95%	0	1.4	50	INF
13	Jan_22_2015	312.92	300.03	295.22	294.94	294.85	300.34	310.32(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	214	130	263	68	5.36	43%	-0.09	-16.7	1.95%	0	1.3	47	INF
14	Jan_21_2015	313.21	299.76	293.81	291.53	291.17	292.74	297.25(2.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	72	30	106	-29	10.07	41%	-0.15	-29.5	1.86%	0	-0.3	36	INF
15	Jan_20_2015	313.68	299.91	293.57	291.03	290.39	289.35	289.44(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-30	-33	-105	3.08	39%	-0.16	-35.1	1.87%	0	-1.3	26	INF

16	Jan_16_2015	314.19	300.4	294.81	291.42	291.96	289.6	290.74(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-90	-50	-77	-129	3.48	39%	-0.16	-42.4	1.86%	0	-1.3	31	INF
17	Jan_15_2015	314.7	300.87	296.51	292.66	293.44	291.42	286.95(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-126	-40	-122	-136	4.42	39%	-0.18	-44.2	1.86%	0	-2	36	INF
18	Jan_14_2015	315.28	301.39	298.83	295.36	295.58	294.32	293.27(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-30	-68	-97	5.54	40%	-0.16	-51	1.84%	0	-1.3	38	INF
19	Jan_13_2015	315.78	302.05	300.5	296.39	297.61	295.46	294.74(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-40	-44	-79	4.14	40%	-0.13	-48	1.84%	0	-1.2	38	INF
20	Jan_12_2015	316.18	302.7	302.19	296.5	297.96	296.84	291.41(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-100	-10	-103	-91	3.42	40%	-0.13	-53.8	1.84%	0	-1.9	45	INF

21	Jan_9_2015	316.6	303.54	304.03	298.66	298.96	299.75	296.93(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	20	-11	-32	2.59	40%	-0.12	-56.5	1.84%	0	-1.2	52	INF
22	Jan_8_2015	316.97	304.01	304.74	300.98	300.24	299.07	300.46(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-26	-20	3.09	40%	-0.11	-56.1	1.85%	0	-0.7	54	INF
23	Jan_7_2015	317.33	304.59	305.36	302.95	302.92	298.18	298.42(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-123	-110	-148	-47	2.64	40%	-0.12	-58.6	1.86%	0	-1.2	57	INF
24	Jan_6_2015	317.71	305.03	306.25	305.33	306.19	301.42	295.29(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-188	-100	-229	-65	3.52	40%	-0.13	-61.3	1.87%	0	-1.8	42	INF
25	Jan_5_2015	318.11	305.91	306.91	308.68	309.35	307.66	302.19(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-89	-30	-117	-6	2.77	42%		-73.1	1.85%	0	-0.8	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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