Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $316.8000 (1.72%) ($310.6600 - $317.3200) on Fri. Aug. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $316.8000(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $333.3
5 Day Moving Average   $313.62(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $314.96(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $333.3(-4.95%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $158.717b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 6.17% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2014	323.57	333.3	314.96	313.62	313.12	313.61	316.8(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	33	-146	2.71	57%	-0.16	-26.1	2.07%	0	-0.8	22	0
2	Aug_7_2014	324.1	334.81	315.58	311.67	312.52	312.86	311.45(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	20	15	-190	2.94	57%	-0.19	-27.5	2.07%	0	-1.2	18	0
3	Aug_6_2014	324.73	335.81	319.92	311.98	311.83	312.62	313.89(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	20	-8	-194	2.3	52%	-0.2	-29.4	2.08%	0	-1.1	26	0
4	Aug_5_2014	325.39	336.79	324.06	313.71	312.76	312.18	312.32(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-52	-20	-9	-182	2.86	52%	-0.2	-28.4	2.14%	0	-1.3	23	0
5	Aug_4_2014	326.03	337.58	328.71	315.24	314.94	311.04	313.65(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-119	-90	-90	-205	4.21	52%	-0.19	-27.8	2.14%	0	-1.3	25	0

6	Aug_1_2014	326.65	338.74	333.22	316.59	317.27	313.34	307.06(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-192	-80	-178	-233	7.44	50%	-0.2	-24.6	2.13%	0	-1.8	19	0
7	Jul_31_2014	327.3	340.46	338.47	319.98	320.07	318.84	312.99(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-116	-30	-95	-179	5.19	50%	-0.18	-18.3	2.13%	0	-1.7	31	0
8	Jul_30_2014	327.89	341.65	342.61	329.11	321.03	321.2	322.51(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-160	-70	-162	-152	3.97	53%	-0.14	-1.6	2.1%	0	-1.3	52	0
9	Jul_29_2014	328.36	342.3	346.08	336.23	330.83	321.29	320(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-135	-250	-147	-97	2.89	53%	-0.16	14.4	2.1%	0	-1.5	50	0
10	Jul_28_2014	328.88	342.76	349.77	344.4	340.21	320.87	320.41(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-518	-430	-615	-225	5.93	51%	-0.16	30.2	2.11%	0	-1.5	54	0

11	Jul_25_2014	329.41	343.19	353.58	352.27	349.48	340.36	324.01(-9.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-496	-210	-605	-168	17.86	42%	-0.15	47.3	2.13%	0	-1.4	49	0
12	Jul_24_2014	329.9	343.47	356.23	359.2	359.19	359.55	358.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	64	10	41	131	7.09	54%	-0.04	62.3	2.14%	0	1.1	65	0
13	Jul_23_2014	330.04	341.9	353.41	357.97	358.11	358.59	358.14(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	10	13	110	2.69	54%	-0.02	58.5	2.2%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Jul_22_2014	330.1	340.19	350.76	357.52	356.85	358.82	360.84(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	30	39	120	2.89	54%	0	58.3	2.2%	0	1.5	70	0
15	Jul_21_2014	330.09	338.45	347.19	356.24	356.2	357.64	359.76(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	30	85	135	2.28	56%	-0.01	59.2	2.2%	0	1.6	73	0

16	Jul_18_2014	330.11	336.62	344.53	355.35	354.75	354.88	358.66(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-0	27	117	3.41	56%	-0.01	60.3	2.21%	0	1.8	73	0
17	Jul_17_2014	330.13	334.95	342.3	352.86	353.42	354.76	352.45(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	30	60	130	3.64	56%	-0.02	60.5	2.22%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Jul_16_2014	330.2	333.94	340.29	347.96	350.19	354.62	355.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	110	171	158	3.51	57%	-0.01	51.7	2.22%	0	2.1	70	0
19	Jul_15_2014	330.23	332.34	337.82	342.77	342.76	352.08	354.44(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	228	190	246	172	4.18	57%	0.01	39.7	2.23%	0	2.4	71	0
20	Jul_14_2014	330.2	330.89	334.77	336.64	336.19	345.76	355.32(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	322	200	365	191	5.62	57%	0.03	26.2	2.23%	0	3.1	68	0

21	Jul_11_2014	330.11	329.32	331.54	332.29	330.47	333.44	346.2(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	156	50	176	97	8.31	54%	-0.01	12.7	2.22%	0	3.1	66	0
22	Jul_10_2014	330.15	328.22	329.37	330.55	329.13	326.62	327.92(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-70	-58	-4	2.67	45%	-0.06	7.7	2.12%	0	-0.1	52	0
23	Jul_9_2014	330.35	328.55	329.36	331.53	331.56	327.51	329.97(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-90	-118	-29	3.17	45%	-0.07	45.2	2.19%	0	0.3	45	0
24	Jul_8_2014	330.59	328.64	328.82	332.02	333.21	331.65	323.81(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-76	-20	-95	-18	4.28	47%	-0.02	75.2	2.19%	0	-1.1	50	0
25	Jul_7_2014	330.66	328.86	329.23	332.21	333.49	335.6	333.55(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	60	45	2.13	49%		100.8	2.19%	0	1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.