Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $313.6500 (2.15%) ($308.5000 - $316.1800) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $313.6500(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(48%)    XLY(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(40%)    VT(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    TLT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $337.58
5 Day Moving Average   $315.24(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $328.71(-4.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $337.58(-7.09%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $157.139b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 8.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 8.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	326.03	337.58	328.71	315.24	314.94	311.04	313.65(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-119	-90	-90	-205	4.21	52%	-0.19	-27.8	2.14%	0	-1.3	25	INF
2	Aug_1_2014	326.65	338.74	333.22	316.59	317.27	313.34	307.06(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-192	-80	-178	-233	7.44	50%	-0.2	-24.6	2.13%	0	-1.8	19	INF
3	Jul_31_2014	327.3	340.46	338.47	319.98	320.07	318.84	312.99(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-116	-30	-95	-179	5.19	50%	-0.18	-18.3	2.13%	0	-1.7	31	INF
4	Jul_30_2014	327.89	341.65	342.61	329.11	321.03	321.2	322.51(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-160	-70	-162	-152	3.97	53%	-0.14	-1.6	2.1%	0	-1.3	52	INF
5	Jul_29_2014	328.36	342.3	346.08	336.23	330.83	321.29	320(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-135	-250	-147	-97	2.89	53%	-0.16	14.4	2.1%	0	-1.5	50	INF

6	Jul_28_2014	328.88	342.76	349.77	344.4	340.21	320.87	320.41(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-518	-430	-615	-225	5.93	51%	-0.16	30.2	2.11%	0	-1.5	54	INF
7	Jul_25_2014	329.41	343.19	353.58	352.27	349.48	340.36	324.01(-9.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-496	-210	-605	-168	17.86	42%	-0.15	47.3	2.13%	0	-1.4	49	INF
8	Jul_24_2014	329.9	343.47	356.23	359.2	359.19	359.55	358.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	64	10	41	131	7.09	54%	-0.04	62.3	2.14%	0	1.1	65	INF
9	Jul_23_2014	330.04	341.9	353.41	357.97	358.11	358.59	358.14(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	10	13	110	2.69	54%	-0.02	58.5	2.2%	0	1.2	68	INF
10	Jul_22_2014	330.1	340.19	350.76	357.52	356.85	358.82	360.84(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	30	39	120	2.89	54%	0	58.3	2.2%	0	1.5	70	INF

11	Jul_21_2014	330.09	338.45	347.19	356.24	356.2	357.64	359.76(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	30	85	135	2.28	56%	-0.01	59.2	2.2%	0	1.6	73	INF
12	Jul_18_2014	330.11	336.62	344.53	355.35	354.75	354.88	358.66(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-0	27	117	3.41	56%	-0.01	60.3	2.21%	0	1.8	73	INF
13	Jul_17_2014	330.13	334.95	342.3	352.86	353.42	354.76	352.45(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	30	60	130	3.64	56%	-0.02	60.5	2.22%	0	1.5	70	INF
14	Jul_16_2014	330.2	333.94	340.29	347.96	350.19	354.62	355.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	110	171	158	3.51	57%	-0.01	51.7	2.22%	0	2.1	70	INF
15	Jul_15_2014	330.23	332.34	337.82	342.77	342.76	352.08	354.44(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	228	190	246	172	4.18	57%	0.01	39.7	2.23%	0	2.4	71	INF

16	Jul_14_2014	330.2	330.89	334.77	336.64	336.19	345.76	355.32(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	322	200	365	191	5.62	57%	0.03	26.2	2.23%	0	3.1	68	INF
17	Jul_11_2014	330.11	329.32	331.54	332.29	330.47	333.44	346.2(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	156	50	176	97	8.31	54%	-0.01	12.7	2.22%	0	3.1	66	INF
18	Jul_10_2014	330.15	328.22	329.37	330.55	329.13	326.62	327.92(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-70	-58	-4	2.67	45%	-0.06	7.7	2.12%	0	-0.1	52	INF
19	Jul_9_2014	330.35	328.55	329.36	331.53	331.56	327.51	329.97(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-90	-118	-29	3.17	45%	-0.07	45.2	2.19%	0	0.3	45	INF
20	Jul_8_2014	330.59	328.64	328.82	332.02	333.21	331.65	323.81(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-76	-20	-95	-18	4.28	47%	-0.02	75.2	2.19%	0	-1.1	50	INF

21	Jul_7_2014	330.66	328.86	329.23	332.21	333.49	335.6	333.55(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	60	45	2.13	49%	-0.15	100.8	2.19%	0	1.1	55	INF
22	Jul_3_2014	331.17	328.63	328.29	330.42	330.86	334.77	337.49(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	105	90	120	59	1.94	44%	-0.04	110.7	2.21%	0	2.2	61	INF
23	Jul_2_2014	331.29	327.91	327.14	328.06	328.14	331.38	332.85(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	70	127	52	2.68	44%	-0.09	75.1	2.23%	0	0.9	57	INF
24	Jul_1_2014	331.59	326.69	327.15	326.97	326.3	326.94	332.39(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	10	63	21	3.18	46%	-0.09	55.9	2.23%	0	0.8	46	INF
25	Jun_30_2014	331.88	325.5	326.42	325.33	325.37	324.9	324.78(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10	-23	-26	2.67	44%		42.9	2.2%	0	-0.1	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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