Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $317.7600 (-1.62%) ($313.1300 - $324.9400) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $317.7600(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(49%)    XLY(47%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(40%)    VT(40%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $352.1
5 Day Moving Average   $331.87(-4.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $336.53(-5.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $352.1(-9.75%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $159.198b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.2% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.44%(38%) Average negative next day return: -3.04%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.7%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.1%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 5.49%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.89%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2014	356.39	352.1	336.53	331.87	331.82	323.25	317.76(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-413	-180	-427	-370	7.08	27%	-0.27	-53.3	1.45%	0	-1.9	12	0
2	Apr_4_2014	357.35	354.85	340.02	335.59	337.23	331.95	323(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-360	-90	-365	-346	12.53	29%	-0.25	-50.1	1.46%	0	-1.9	17	0
3	Apr_3_2014	358.23	357.41	343.8	338.65	340.35	340.38	333.62(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-137	20	-101	-246	6.4	32%	-0.18	-47.4	1.4%	0	-1.6	21	0
4	Apr_2_2014	358.88	359.41	347.22	339.62	341.29	342.52	341.96(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	38	40	106	-166	4.47	35%	-0.13	-45.4	1.37%	0	-1.2	27	0
5	Apr_1_2014	359.34	360.97	350.16	339.91	340.03	340.33	342.99(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-96	10	-52	-226	3.6	35%	-0.13	-43.5	1.38%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Mar_31_2014	359.79	362.11	353.56	342.25	342.41	340.07	336.37(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-114	-50	-80	-217	4.3	29%	-0.19	-39.4	1.36%	0	-2	24	0
7	Mar_28_2014	360.46	363.45	357.44	345.35	346	339.74	338.29(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-280	-120	-282	-273	3.99	29%	-0.18	-34.3	1.38%	0	-2.1	23	0
8	Mar_27_2014	361.11	364.8	361.08	349.81	349.79	344.75	338.47(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-402	-100	-435	-304	5.77	29%	-0.19	-20.8	1.4%	0	-2.5	23	0
9	Mar_26_2014	361.8	366.07	364.57	355.91	356.44	352.26	343.41(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-210	-80	-219	-182	4.12	31%	-0.16	0	1.4%	0	-2.6	25	0
10	Mar_25_2014	362.37	367.05	367.5	361.88	361.27	354.82	354.71(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-323	-130	-361	-208	4.46	37%	-0.07	31	1.31%	0	-1.7	31	0

11	Mar_24_2014	362.62	367.35	369.06	366.69	366.51	360.61	351.85(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-358	-110	-413	-191	4.88	37%	-0.1	51	1.32%	0	-2.1	42	0
12	Mar_21_2014	362.98	367.52	371.13	371.33	372.01	367.71	360.62(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-214	-80	-257	-85	5.42	43%	-0.02	61.9	1.27%	0	-0.9	56	0
13	Mar_20_2014	363.06	366.97	372.39	373.95	374.61	372.41	368.97(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-149	-40	-190	-25	2.56	50%	0.06	60.8	1.22%	0	0.2	62	0
14	Mar_19_2014	362.85	366.08	372.75	374.46	375.73	376.31	373.23(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	20	-17	64	2.65	50%	0.1	58.3	1.21%	0	0.8	70	0
15	Mar_18_2014	362.47	364.84	372.66	373.94	375.66	376.82	378.77(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	140	40	139	141	2.48	56%	0.17	49.6	1.2%	0	1.5	80	0

16	Mar_17_2014	361.84	363.56	371.19	371.95	373.27	375.14	375.04(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	50	69	105	2.31	56%	0.15	42.9	1.21%	0	1.3	80	0
17	Mar_14_2014	361.31	362.63	369.73	371.05	371.73	374.5	373.74(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	147	60	149	142	4.4	56%	0.14	39.9	1.23%	0	1.3	84	0
18	Mar_13_2014	360.79	361.76	368.58	370.71	370.87	371.39	371.51(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	116	10	108	141	6.83	56%	0.13	0	1.26%	0	1.2	85	0
19	Mar_12_2014	360.33	360.66	367.49	370.84	370.36	368.96	370.64(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-43	-30	-84	79	2.22	56%	0.13	0	1.28%	0	1.2	77	0
20	Mar_11_2014	359.86	360.14	366.44	371.19	371.53	370.36	368.82(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-20	-39	114	2.25	56%	0.12	0	1.31%	0	1.1	78	0

21	Mar_10_2014	359.43	359.69	365.43	370.2	371.1	371.76	370.53(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	20	11	133	2.11	56%	0.15	0	1.34%	0	1.4	68	0
22	Mar_7_2014	358.88	359.14	363.63	368.05	369.42	372.7	372.06(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	70	168	175	2.28	56%	0.2	0	1.37%	0	1.7	64	0
23	Mar_6_2014	358.18	359.14	361.15	366.06	365.84	370.45	372.16(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	191	90	224	90	2.93	56%	0.22	0	1.4%	0	52.9	64	0
24	Mar_5_2014	357.41	359.14	358.89	363.66	363.04	366.13	372.37(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	196	50	231	92	3.86	56%	0.25	0	1.44%	0	58.2	70	0
25	Mar_4_2014	356.53	359.14	356.33	361.14	360.56	361.24	363.9(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	71	28	2.71	45%		0	1.38%	0	67.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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