Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $373.2300 (-1.46%) ($369.4200 - $379.0000) on Wed. Mar. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $373.2300(-1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(49%)    XLY(47%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(40%)    XBI(33%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $374.46(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $372.75(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $366.08(1.95%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $186.988b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.73%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2014	362.85	366.08	372.75	374.46	375.73	376.31	373.23(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	20	-17	64	2.65	50%	0.1	58.3	1.21%	0	0.8	70	0
2	Mar_18_2014	362.47	364.84	372.66	373.94	375.66	376.82	378.77(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	140	40	139	141	2.48	56%	0.17	49.6	1.2%	0	1.5	80	0
3	Mar_17_2014	361.84	363.56	371.19	371.95	373.27	375.14	375.04(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	50	69	105	2.31	56%	0.15	42.9	1.21%	0	1.3	80	0
4	Mar_14_2014	361.31	362.63	369.73	371.05	371.73	374.5	373.74(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	147	60	149	142	4.4	56%	0.14	39.9	1.23%	0	1.3	84	0
5	Mar_13_2014	360.79	361.76	368.58	370.71	370.87	371.39	371.51(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	116	10	108	141	6.83	56%	0.13	0	1.26%	0	1.2	85	0

6	Mar_12_2014	360.33	360.66	367.49	370.84	370.36	368.96	370.64(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-43	-30	-84	79	2.22	56%	0.13	0	1.28%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Mar_11_2014	359.86	360.14	366.44	371.19	371.53	370.36	368.82(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-20	-39	114	2.25	56%	0.12	0	1.31%	0	1.1	78	0
8	Mar_10_2014	359.43	359.69	365.43	370.2	371.1	371.76	370.53(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	20	11	133	2.11	56%	0.15	0	1.34%	0	1.4	68	0
9	Mar_7_2014	358.88	359.14	363.63	368.05	369.42	372.7	372.06(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	70	168	175	2.28	56%	0.2	0	1.37%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Mar_6_2014	358.18	359.14	361.15	366.06	365.84	370.45	372.16(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	191	90	224	90	2.93	56%	0.22	0	1.4%	0	52.9	64	0

11	Mar_5_2014	357.41	359.14	358.89	363.66	363.04	366.13	372.37(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	196	50	231	92	3.86	56%	0.25	0	1.44%	0	58.2	70	0
12	Mar_4_2014	356.53	359.14	356.33	361.14	360.56	361.24	363.9(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	71	28	2.71	45%	0.13	0	1.38%	0	67.1	50	0
13	Mar_3_2014	356.07	359.14	355.23	360.03	359.66	359.95	359.78(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	22	9	2.8	45%	0.07	0	1.4%	0	68.5	48	0
14	Feb_28_2014	355.82	359.14	354.91	358.43	359.04	359.89	362.1(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	20	98	39	3.89	45%	0.13	0	1.43%	0	67.9	49	0
15	Feb_27_2014	355.37	359.14	354.3	355.36	355.77	359.38	360.13(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	70	90	36	3.11	45%	0.1	0	1.48%	0	68.7	50	0

16	Feb_26_2014	355	359.14	353.19	353.29	353.68	358.2	359.8(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	225	90	264	106	3.62	45%	0.11	0	1.54%	0	68.4	50	0
17	Feb_25_2014	354.6	359.14	353.22	350.81	350.67	352.16	358.32(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	30	124	50	3.75	45%	0.1	0	1.6%	0	67.7	50	0
18	Feb_24_2014	354.26	359.14	353.34	349.87	349.22	349.17	351.78(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	3.65	32%	-0.07	0	1.56%	0	65.1	50	0
19	Feb_21_2014	354.51	359.14	354.22	350.99	350.52	349.19	346.76(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-30	-46	-18	4.21	32%	-0.24	0	1.53%	0	61.9	50	0
20	Feb_20_2014	355.37	359.14	354.22	353.08	352.35	349.26	349.8(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-70	-98	-39	3.5	32%	-0.2	0	1.61%	0	66.9	50	0

21	Feb_19_2014	356.07	359.14	354.22	352.97	353.3	351.85	347.38(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-108	-30	-127	-51	4.18	32%	-0.35	0	1.67%	0	67.6	50	0
22	Feb_18_2014	357.31	359.14	354.22	355.85	353.87	355.44	353.65(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	10	-17	-7	5	42%	-0.17	0	1.72%	0	83.6	50	0
23	Feb_14_2014	357.92	359.14	354.22	357.29	355.7	354.75	357.35(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	40	-30	47	19	3.52	42%	-0.03	0	1.85%	0	83.5	50	0
24	Feb_13_2014	358.04	359.14	354.22	358.04	356.79	352.29	357.2(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	96	-100	113	45	4.18	42%	-0.06	0	2.06%	0	76.3	50	0
25	Feb_12_2014	358.25	359.14	354.22	286.6	358.4	356.66	349.25(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	12	324	720	381	152	6.6	7%		0	1.69%	0	67	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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