Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $54.9000 (5.17%) ($53.1000 - $55.8000) on Mon. Jun. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.4% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $54.9000(5.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(11%)    XLE(11%)    DIA(10%)    PEJ(10%)    XAR(10%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.7% (StdDev 5.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.84(5.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.56(8.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.94(9.93%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   30.7%
Market Cap   $11.234b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 5.29% (three month std-dev: 5.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.71%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 6.65%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.96%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2014	55.39	49.94	50.56	51.84	51.78	52.95	54.9(5.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	150	27	20	0.02	47%	-0.23	61.1	5.4%	0	1.9	56	0
2	Jun_13_2014	55.52	49.49	49.88	50.97	50.76	51.32	52.2(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	60	8	-3	0.01	47%	-0.39	53.7	5.38%	0	1.1	54	0
3	Jun_12_2014	55.74	49.11	49.75	50.85	50.61	50.61	50.85(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10	6	7	0.01	47%	-0.5	54.3	5.38%	0	0.7	65	0
4	Jun_11_2014	56.02	48.84	49.92	50.7	50.5	50.19	50.7(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-50	3	19	0.01	47%	-0.46	49.5	5.38%	0	0.7	63	0
5	Jun_10_2014	56.28	48.59	50.03	49.95	50.17	50.62	50.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	80	11	22	0.01	47%	-0.11	36.7	5.42%	0	0.7	58	0

6	Jun_9_2014	56.34	48.38	50.03	49.02	49.2	50.8	50.55(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	240	19	25	0.02	47%	-0.39	16.7	5.42%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Jun_6_2014	56.56	48.18	50.15	48.6	48.11	49.72	51.6(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	200	21	30	0.01	44%	-0.35	1.8	5.48%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Jun_5_2014	56.76	47.72	49.55	48.54	47.84	47.6	50.1(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-80	1	24	0.01	44%	-0.47	-17.7	5.46%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Jun_4_2014	57.03	47.53	49.16	49.14	48.59	46.51	46.95(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-330	-31	22	0.01	41%	-0.49	-21.9	5.39%	0	-0.2	57	0
10	Jun_3_2014	57.31	47.6	49.25	50.16	50.16	48.09	45.9(-5.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-21	-290	-40	36	0.02	41%	-0.42	-17.2	5.43%	0	-0.6	54	0

11	Jun_2_2014	57.55	47.92	49.37	51.39	51.44	50.68	48.45(-5.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-100	-20	63	0.01	41%	-0.31	0.6	5.44%	0	0.2	58	0
12	May_30_2014	57.73	48.14	49.17	51.81	51.96	52.23	51.3(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	50	14	83	0.01	43%	-0.26	9.7	5.44%	0	1	63	0
13	May_29_2014	57.88	48.23	48.5	50.61	50.97	52.2	53.1(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	190	25	78	0.01	43%	-0.16	-0.1	5.47%	0	1.4	78	0
14	May_28_2014	57.97	48.16	47.69	49.17	49.23	51.69	52.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	39	350	32	60	0.02	43%	-0.24	-16.9	5.51%	0	1.1	61	0
15	May_27_2014	58.11	48.1	47.03	48.24	47.94	49.74	52.05(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	240	42	46	0.02	43%	-0.43	-28.8	5.54%	0	1.2	56	0

16	May_23_2014	58.36	47.9	46.39	47.13	46.79	46.76	50.55(11.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-30	13	6	0.03	54%	-0.36	-45.8	6.39%	0	0.8	46	0
17	May_22_2014	58.57	47.82	45.96	46.23	46.34	46.14	45.3(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-20	-3	-22	0.02	49%	-0.24	-50.8	6.27%	0	-0.7	34	0
18	May_21_2014	58.71	48.23	45.67	46.05	46.14	46.82	45.9(-3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	110	5	-43	0.01	49%	-0.58	-43.4	6.32%	0	-0.6	34	0
19	May_20_2014	59.05	48.75	45.73	45.93	45.68	46.54	47.4(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	120	12	-52	0.02	49%	-0.66	-33	6.34%	0	-0.3	40	0
20	May_19_2014	59.44	49.1	45.79	45.6	45.35	45.47	46.5(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	0	6	-64	0.02	47%	-0.55	-29.4	6.35%	0	-0.6	41	0

21	May_16_2014	59.77	49.43	46.33	45.54	45.28	44.83	46.05(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-90	-7	-64	0.01	50%	-0.37	-29	6.42%	0	-0.8	48	0
22	May_15_2014	59.99	49.62	47	45.69	45.82	45.23	44.4(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-80	-1	-54	0.02	50%	-0.28	-34.3	6.45%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	May_14_2014	60.16	49.95	47.94	45.21	45.9	45.74	45.3(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	20	-5	-59	0.01	50%	-0.23	-49.8	6.5%	0	-1.2	37	0
24	May_13_2014	60.3	50.1	48.67	45.47	45.52	46.41	45.75(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	140	-1	-61	0.03	52%	-0.15	-63.4	6.5%	0	-1.2	34	0
25	May_12_2014	60.39	50.32	49.27	46.01	45.58	46.07	46.2(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	50	-1	-61	0.02	52%		-73.7	6.57%	0	-1.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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