Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $55.3500 (2.79%) ($53.8500 - $55.8000) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.61% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $55.3500(2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(13%)    PEJ(12%)    XAR(11%)    XBI(11%)    XLE(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.805% (StdDev 5.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $57.77
5 Day Moving Average   $54.84(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.05(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.77(-4.19%)
To recent high   -35.1%
To recent low   45.3%
Market Cap   $11.326b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 11.74% (three month std-dev: 5.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2014	49.81	57.77	53.05	54.84	55.31	55.28	55.35(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	20	5	-35	0.01	65%	0.46	-64.6	5.61%	0	-0.4	33	NAN
2	Feb_19_2014	49.58	58.79	52.81	53.7	54.74	55.93	53.85(-6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	210	17	-59	0.03	65%	0.41	-57.7	5.6%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
3	Feb_18_2014	49.38	59.88	52.81	52.95	53.43	55.35	57.75(7.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	280	31	-79	0.03	66%	0.82	-51.4	5.52%	0	-0.2	37	NAN
4	Feb_14_2014	48.98	60.54	52.95	51.72	52.24	53.55	53.85(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	210	25	-106	0.02	64%	0.39	-51.1	5.45%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
5	Feb_13_2014	48.79	61.37	53.79	51.45	51.46	51.51	53.4(7.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	10	9	-122	0.04	64%	0.37	-49.9	5.45%	0	-0.9	29	NAN

6	Feb_12_2014	48.61	62.51	54.96	51.06	51.32	50.93	49.65(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	-40	-13	-147	0.01	61%	0.33	-43.7	5.38%	0	-1.4	16	NAN
7	Feb_11_2014	48.45	63.76	56.26	51.78	51.92	51.41	50.1(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-60	-14	-160	0.02	61%	0.25	-39.8	5.42%	0	-1.5	15	NAN
8	Feb_10_2014	48.33	64.73	57.83	52.89	52.56	51.71	51.6(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-130	-25	-169	0.02	61%	0.27	-38.3	5.41%	0	-1.5	17	NAN
9	Feb_7_2014	48.2	65.54	59.18	54.36	54.13	52.43	52.5(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	-230	-35	-169	0.02	62%	0.31	-38.5	5.42%	0	-1.6	28	NAN
10	Feb_6_2014	48.05	66.29	60.7	56.55	56.3	53.4	51.45(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-84	-370	-57	-165	0.03	62%	0.25	-37.1	5.41%	0	-2	28	NAN

11	Feb_5_2014	47.93	66.91	62.95	59.49	59.15	55.84	53.25(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-80	-410	-58	-144	0.03	63%	0.31	-41.4	5.39%	0	-2	25	NAN
12	Feb_4_2014	47.78	67.63	65.35	61.38	61.85	59.19	55.65(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-280	-53	-122	0.03	64%	0.34	-52.8	5.38%	0	-2	31	NAN
13	Feb_3_2014	47.62	68.21	67.49	63.45	63.65	62.47	58.95(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-120	-33	-87	0.03	65%	0.42	-60	5.32%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
14	Jan_31_2014	47.42	68.79	68.83	64.65	64.85	64.5	63.45(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-11	-62	0.02	65%	0.53	-58.5	5.28%	0	-1.1	50	NAN
15	Jan_30_2014	47.17	69.17	69.62	65.49	65.33	64.82	66.15(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-60	-20	-52	0.03	65%	0.55	-45.4	5.28%	0	-0.7	53	NAN

16	Jan_29_2014	46.91	69.79	70.64	67.08	66.67	65.19	62.7(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-170	-37	-25	0.04	64%	0.51	-13.7	5.26%	0	-1.5	56	NAN
17	Jan_28_2014	46.67	70.88	71.86	70.02	69.22	65.85	66(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-36	-380	-51	9	0.03	64%	0.54	35.2	5.2%	0	-1	53	NAN
18	Jan_27_2014	46.42	71.5	72.21	72.21	72.24	68.14	64.95(-3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-41	-400	-64	29	0.03	64%	0.54	65.7	5.2%	0	-1.1	53	NAN
19	Jan_24_2014	46.17	71.69	72.48	73.56	74.67	72.58	67.65(-8.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-20	-150	-42	48	0.04	64%	0.63	91.3	5.17%	0	-0.7	50	NAN
20	Jan_23_2014	45.88	71.33	72.44	74.19	75.01	76.33	74.1(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	160	-5	65	0.04	67%	0.75	108.7	5.02%	0	0.5	55	NAN

21	Jan_22_2014	45.54	70.44	71.28	74.7	74.64	76.76	77.4(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	200	36	60	0.04	67%	0.84	120.2	4.98%	0	1.2	47	NAN
22	Jan_21_2014	45.16	69.2	70.09	74.07	74.31	73.69	76.95(7.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-50	26	20	0.05	67%	0.89	115.9	4.98%	0	1.2	41	NAN
23	Jan_17_2014	44.76	67.84	68.92	72.36	73.44	72.53	71.7(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-40	-13	-32	0.02	65%	0.74	93.7	4.89%	0	0.5	44	NAN
24	Jan_16_2014	44.43	66.7	68.66	71.25	72.61	74.93	70.8(-7.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	12	280	24	-26	0.04	63%	0.75	84.5	4.89%	0	0.4	55	NAN
25	Jan_15_2014	44.1	65.48	68.59	70.29	70.63	74.36	76.65(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	380	80	4	0.08	67%		76.9	4.84%	0	1.1	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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