Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $40.0500 (-4.98%) ($39.3000 - $42.3000) on Tue. Nov. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $40.0500(-4.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(14%)    PEJ(13%)    XAR(12%)    XLY(12%)    QQQ(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.56(-1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.25(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39(2.69%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $8.195b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 3.87% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.59%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2013	39.66	39	39.25	40.56	40.9	41.48	40.05(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	120	9	32	0.01	50%	0	79.3	3.28%	0	0.7	55	0
2	Nov_11_2013	39.66	38.93	39.21	40.32	40.44	41.4	42.15(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	180	42	42	0.02	52%	0.03	92.5	3.22%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Nov_8_2013	39.65	38.69	38.93	39.3	39.47	40.33	41.4(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	170	42	20	0.02	51%	0.05	90.5	3.24%	0	1.9	60	0
4	Nov_7_2013	39.63	38.41	38.73	38.19	38.36	39.47	39.9(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	220	28	-7	0.01	49%	0	67	3.2%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Nov_6_2013	39.63	38.12	38.7	38.19	37.56	38.61	39.3(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	180	22	-8	0.01	49%	-0.03	54.2	3.2%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Nov_5_2013	39.64	37.83	38.65	37.77	37.43	37.26	38.85(4.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-60	5	-5	0.01	49%	-0.03	49.8	3.2%	0	0.5	62	0
7	Nov_4_2013	39.65	37.58	38.69	37.98	37.82	36.51	37.05(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-260	-34	-13	0.01	47%	-0.13	47.5	3.14%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Nov_1_2013	39.7	37.42	38.87	38.52	38.64	37.59	35.85(-5.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-34	-180	-46	2	0.02	45%	-0.13	49.4	3.11%	0	-0.7	46	0
9	Oct_31_2013	39.75	37.34	39.1	39.3	39.49	39.13	37.8(-3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-50	-20	45	0.01	47%	-0.08	56	3.05%	0	0.2	62	0
10	Oct_30_2013	39.78	37.12	39.05	39.72	39.85	39.69	39.3(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-20	-1	83	0.01	49%	-0.03	55.4	3.01%	0	0.8	75	0

11	Oct_29_2013	39.79	36.82	38.8	39.63	39.81	39.84	39.9(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	20	1	101	0.01	49%	-0.05	50.5	3.01%	0	1.2	78	0
12	Oct_28_2013	39.81	36.55	38.68	39.51	39.62	40.01	39.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	80	9	131	0.02	49%	-0.08	51.3	3.01%	0	1.3	77	0
13	Oct_25_2013	39.84	36.28	38.47	39.3	39.48	39.77	39.75(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	70	20	155	0.01	49%	-0.1	43.7	3.01%	0	1.4	77	0
14	Oct_24_2013	39.88	35.99	38.07	38.88	39.07	39.23	39.9(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	40	16	155	0.02	49%	-0.05	32.1	3.02%	0	1.7	75	0
15	Oct_23_2013	39.9	35.71	37.48	38.28	38.57	39.19	38.85(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	140	18	146	0.01	49%	-0.1	18.8	3.01%	0	1.5	75	0

16	Oct_22_2013	39.94	35.55	36.94	37.83	38	38.91	39.3(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	180	21	136	0.01	49%	-0.08	6.7	3.02%	0	1.9	75	0
17	Oct_21_2013	39.97	35.29	36.36	37.74	37.66	37.95	38.7(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	50	18	131	0.01	49%	-0.17	-5.5	3.02%	0	1.8	65	0
18	Oct_18_2013	40.04	35.24	35.82	37.53	37.65	37.1	37.65(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-90	5	117	0.01	49%	-0.17	-12	3%	0	1.2	62	0
19	Oct_17_2013	40.11	35.26	35.43	37.14	37.38	37.36	36.9(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	20	1	104	0	49%	-0.17	-20	2.98%	0	0.8	62	0
20	Oct_16_2013	40.18	35.32	35.04	36.51	37.07	38.19	36.6(-5.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	260	36	89	0.01	49%	-0.17	-28.2	2.99%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Oct_15_2013	40.25	35.42	34.71	35.85	36.04	37.39	38.85(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	280	57	64	0.02	53%	-0.05	-36.3	2.91%	0	1.5	58	0
22	Oct_14_2013	40.27	35.4	34.22	34.77	34.94	35.95	37.65(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	220	46	23	0.01	51%	-0.1	-49.2	2.88%	0	1	61	0
23	Oct_11_2013	40.31	35.48	33.88	33.9	34.3	34.69	35.7(5.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	110	27	-36	0.02	47%	-0.2	-58.5	2.79%	0	0.1	39	0
24	Oct_10_2013	40.39	35.66	33.69	33.51	33.84	33.93	33.75(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	50	5	-87	0	43%	-0.22	-61.7	2.69%	0	-0.7	30	0
25	Oct_9_2013	40.48	35.93	33.78	33.36	33.76	33.9	33.3(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	60	5	-114	0	45%		-63.1	2.69%	0	-1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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