Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $46.3500 (-3.44%) ($40.6500 - $46.5000) on Thu. May. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.73% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $46.3500(-3.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(15%)    PEJ(13%)    XAR(12%)    XLY(12%)    QQQ(11%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.865% (StdDev 3.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.9(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.48(4.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.84(8.19%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $9.484b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 5.11% (three month std-dev: 3.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.77%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.25%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.31%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2013	46.13	42.84	44.48	45.9	45.24	45.58	46.35(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	4	102	0.03	66%	0.13	53.8	3.73%	0	1.6	66	NAN
2	May_15_2013	46.07	42.52	43.97	45.3	45.23	45.79	48(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	80	33	101	0.02	66%	0.04	37	3.74%	0	2.7	67	NAN
3	May_14_2013	46.05	42.13	43.08	44.19	44.27	44.91	45.75(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	110	15	68	0.02	63%	0.09	20.8	3.69%	0	2.2	66	NAN
4	May_13_2013	46.01	41.88	42.57	43.62	43.66	44.67	44.4(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	160	20	56	0.02	63%	-0.02	5.3	3.74%	0	1.8	60	NAN
5	May_10_2013	46.02	41.77	42.3	43.41	43.15	43.64	45(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	60	20	51	0.02	63%	0	1.8	4.29%	0	2.3	64	NAN

6	May_9_2013	46.02	41.69	41.86	42.87	42.71	43.64	43.35(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	7	31	0.01	63%	-0.02	-5.2	4.3%	0	1.1	51	NAN
7	May_8_2013	46.03	41.77	41.68	42.42	42.45	42.66	42.45(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	40	10	28	0.01	63%	-0.04	-7.5	4.33%	0	0.5	57	NAN
8	May_7_2013	46.05	41.79	41.5	41.76	41.91	42.77	42.9(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	150	15	18	0.01	63%	0	-22.3	4.35%	0	0.8	57	NAN
9	May_6_2013	46.05	41.81	41.33	41.34	41.27	42.24	43.35(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	160	19	13	0.01	63%	-0.02	-32.4	4.35%	0	1	56	NAN
10	May_3_2013	46.06	41.75	41.03	41.04	41.03	41.04	42.3(2.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	10	0	13	-1	0.02	63%	-0.04	-49.6	4.29%	0	0.4	49	NAN

11	May_2_2013	46.08	41.76	41.04	40.74	40.97	40.29	41.1(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-100	-12	-21	0.02	63%	-0.07	-64.1	4.31%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
12	May_1_2013	46.11	41.88	40.96	40.86	41.24	41.01	39.15(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10	-13	-35	0.02	61%	-0.11	-75.9	4.3%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
13	Apr_30_2013	46.16	42.13	41.14	41.16	41.54	41.64	40.8(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	40	2	-31	0.02	61%	0.02	-89.8	4.31%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
14	Apr_29_2013	46.15	42.29	41.17	41.28	41.41	41.47	41.85(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	4	-36	0.01	61%	0.07	-82	4.3%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
15	Apr_26_2013	46.12	42.48	41.22	41.01	41.35	41.43	40.8(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	40	-4	-45	0.01	61%	0.02	-74.7	4.29%	0	-1	47	NAN

16	Apr_25_2013	46.11	42.74	41.52	41.4	41.48	41.36	41.7(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10	4	-31	0.01	61%	0	-48.5	4.32%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
17	Apr_24_2013	46.11	43.07	41.86	41.4	41.47	41.27	40.65(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-3	-34	0.01	61%	-0.02	-28.1	4.33%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
18	Apr_23_2013	46.12	43.47	42.11	41.1	41.3	41.59	41.4(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	60	1	-35	0.02	61%	-0.07	-12.5	4.34%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
19	Apr_22_2013	46.15	43.64	42.32	41.04	41.21	41.66	40.5(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	90	2	-38	0.03	61%	-0.04	-12.7	4.37%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
20	Apr_19_2013	46.17	43.73	42.32	41.46	41.3	41.01	42.75(6.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-60	-3	-43	0.02	66%	0.04	-16.7	4.36%	0	-0.4	39	NAN

21	Apr_18_2013	46.15	43.61	42.53	41.7	41.79	40.76	40.2(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-170	-29	-60	0.02	56%	0	-23.5	4.32%	0	-1.4	28	NAN
22	Apr_17_2013	46.15	43.69	42.88	42.78	42.88	41.59	40.65(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-35	-200	-28	-56	0.02	51%	0.07	-16.7	4.39%	0	-1.3	23	NAN
23	Apr_16_2013	46.12	43.77	43.23	43.26	44.19	42.83	41.1(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-31	-150	-22	-58	0.02	46%	0.09	-18.2	4.47%	0	-1.1	24	NAN
24	Apr_15_2013	46.08	43.94	43.54	43.74	44.47	44.18	42.6(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	0	-14	-49	0.02	46%	0.11	-11.4	4.53%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
25	Apr_12_2013	46.03	44.12	43.86	43.71	44.36	45.56	43.95(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	230	15	-28	0.02	46%		-7.3	4.51%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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