Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $44.7000 (5.3%) ($41.7000 - $45.0000) on Mon. Dec. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.31% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $44.7000(5.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    PEJ(14%)    SPY(13%)    XLY(13%)    QQQ(12%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.655% (StdDev 5.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.07(8.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.69(12.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.16(14.15%)
To recent high   -27.1%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $9.146b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 5.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 7.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.57%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2012	48.33	39.16	39.69	41.07	41.35	42.86	44.7(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	280	34	84	0.03	58%	-0.12	19.1	5.31%	0	2	59	0
2	Nov_30_2012	48.39	38.73	38.7	39.6	39.89	41.59	42.45(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	320	31	39	0.03	58%	-0.17	-6.8	5.27%	0	1.5	48	0
3	Nov_29_2012	48.47	38.55	37.88	38.79	38.79	39.84	40.95(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	190	25	-3	0.02	58%	-0.23	-11.5	5.29%	0	1	40	0
4	Nov_28_2012	48.58	38.42	37.32	38.25	38.14	38.19	39.6(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	0	7	-33	0.01	58%	-0.1	-20	5.27%	0	0.5	48	0
5	Nov_27_2012	48.63	38.47	37.14	37.95	38.1	37.74	37.65(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-50	-4	-45	0.01	58%	-0.23	-28.1	5.22%	0	-0.4	49	0

6	Nov_26_2012	48.74	38.65	37.35	38.07	38.04	38.08	37.35(-2.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	0	1	-36	0.01	58%	-0.37	-31.7	5.24%	0	-0.6	51	0
7	Nov_23_2012	48.92	38.9	37.81	37.59	38.05	38.46	38.4(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	110	19	-22	0	58%	-0.35	-42.6	5.24%	0	-0.2	57	0
8	Nov_21_2012	49.09	38.82	38.32	36.78	36.97	38.01	38.25(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	210	15	-25	0.01	58%	-0.45	-61.2	5.23%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	Nov_20_2012	49.31	38.87	38.52	36.78	36.02	37.65	38.1(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	300	17	-27	0.01	58%	-0.56	-76	5.25%	0	-0.3	51	0
10	Nov_19_2012	49.59	39.13	38.6	36.24	35.85	35.93	38.25(9.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-20	9	-37	0.02	58%	-0.58	-80.5	5.25%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Nov_16_2012	49.88	39.4	38.59	36.63	36.1	34.39	34.95(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-370	-40	-61	0.03	54%	-0.54	-75.6	5.1%	0	-1.6	38	0
12	Nov_15_2012	50.15	39.94	38.8	38.13	37.88	35.78	34.35(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-54	-410	-52	-58	0.01	54%	-0.56	-62.2	5.1%	0	-2	35	0
13	Nov_14_2012	50.43	40.45	39.36	40.08	40.02	37.82	35.55(-6.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-390	-37	-13	0.02	48%	-0.51	-43.8	5.13%	0	-1.7	52	0
14	Nov_13_2012	50.69	40.96	39.72	41.07	41.22	39.98	38.1(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-22	-200	-31	4	0.01	56%	-0.43	-36.1	5.23%	0	-1.1	51	0
15	Nov_12_2012	50.91	41.34	40.01	41.22	42.71	42.23	40.2(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	30	6	14	0.01	56%	-0.2	-31.9	5.37%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Nov_9_2012	51.01	41.63	40.11	40.77	42.03	42.47	42.45(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	170	13	3	0.03	56%	-0.08	-35.6	5.35%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Nov_8_2012	51.05	41.77	40.07	39.57	40.48	43.2	44.1(8.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	17	540	29	-18	0.04	56%	-0.16	-43.6	5.35%	0	0.7	47	0
18	Nov_7_2012	51.13	41.72	39.31	38.64	39.62	41.59	40.5(4.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	25	420	48	-44	0.14	52%	-0.1	-54.5	5.23%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Nov_6_2012	51.18	41.97	39.17	38.25	38.3	37.76	38.85(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-90	-5	-88	0.02	52%	-0.18	-63.1	5.21%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Nov_5_2012	51.27	42.27	39.6	38.67	38.56	37.65	37.95(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-170	-23	-94	0.01	52%	-0.04	-68.6	5.32%	0	-1.3	38	0

21	Nov_2_2012	51.29	42.74	40.21	39.36	39.49	38.84	36.45(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-110	-22	-88	0.01	52%	-0.04	-75.7	5.42%	0	-2	34	0
22	Nov_1_2012	51.31	43.22	41.14	40.59	40.44	39.48	39.45(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-180	-3	-64	0.01	49%	0.04	-84.6	5.35%	0	-1.3	39	0
23	Oct_31_2012	51.29	43.6	41.61	40.02	40.77	40.14	38.55(-5.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-50	-10	-71	0.02	53%	0.45	-107.4	5.6%	0	-1.8	43	0
24	Oct_26_2012	51.06	44.15	42.33	40.17	40.24	40.14	40.95(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	210	-5	-66	0.01	56%	0	-108.4	5.63%	0	-1	43	0
25	Oct_25_2012	51.06	44.66	42.81	40.68	40.41	41.4	41.4(-2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	150	13	-51	0.02	56%		-101.7	5.63%	0	-0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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