Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $45.9000 (3.73%) ($43.8000 - $46.3500) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.11% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $45.9000(3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    PEJ(14%)    SPY(13%)    XAR(13%)    XLY(13%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.555% (StdDev 5.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

Resistance Level   $49.64
5 Day Moving Average   $45.63(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.5(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.64(-7.53%)
To recent high   -29.7%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $9.392b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 12.11% (three month std-dev: 5.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.67%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 86.67%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2012	50.99	49.64	45.5	45.63	45.62	45.06	45.9(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-90	-7	-48	0.01	63%	0.08	-34.4	5.11%	0	-0.6	31	NAN
2	Oct_16_2012	50.95	50.15	45.47	45.6	45.99	45.62	44.25(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-30	-4	-67	0.02	56%	-0.14	-29.6	5.23%	0	-1	25	NAN
3	Oct_15_2012	51.02	50.66	45.74	45.45	45.9	46.18	45.75(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-22	70	0	-86	0.01	56%	0.16	-29.4	5.39%	0	-0.8	24	NAN
4	Oct_12_2012	50.94	51.16	46.09	45.42	45.62	46.37	45.9(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	130	10	-104	0.01	56%	0.2	-25.1	5.39%	0	-0.9	21	NAN
5	Oct_11_2012	50.84	51.49	46.61	45.21	45.42	45.61	46.35(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	40	6	-126	0.01	63%	0.22	-24.7	5.41%	0	-0.9	21	NAN

6	Oct_10_2012	50.73	51.8	47.34	45.39	45.3	44.88	45.75(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-70	-5	-129	0.02	58%	0.28	-21.9	5.88%	0	-1.1	19	NAN
7	Oct_9_2012	50.59	51.99	48.23	45.36	45.77	45.23	43.5(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-60	-11	-132	0.03	53%	0.34	-22.1	5.96%	0	-1.6	28	NAN
8	Oct_8_2012	50.42	52.45	49.59	46.05	46.17	45.71	45.6(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-60	-14	-119	0.03	53%	0.44	-20.6	6.11%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
9	Oct_5_2012	50.2	52.66	51.06	46.86	46.89	46.31	44.85(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-80	-18	-106	0.04	50%	0.4	-15.6	6.11%	0	-1.6	33	NAN
10	Oct_4_2012	50	52.93	52.69	48.21	48.06	46.63	47.25(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-220	-24	-82	0.03	50%	0.48	-6.4	6.2%	0	-1.2	46	NAN

11	Oct_3_2012	49.76	53.04	54.09	49.65	49.6	47.48	45.6(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-300	-38	-60	0.03	50%	0.38	1.5	6.23%	0	-1.6	43	NAN
12	Oct_2_2012	49.57	53.2	55.25	51.57	51.69	49.48	46.95(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-290	-40	-31	0.03	50%	0.38	12	6.28%	0	-1.4	53	NAN
13	Oct_1_2012	49.38	53.52	56.08	53.64	53.66	51.73	49.65(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-250	-41	-9	0.02	50%	0.39	29.2	6.25%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
14	Sep_28_2012	49.19	53.43	56.78	55.89	55.89	53.91	51.6(-5.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-18	-250	-33	28	0.01	53%	0.45	38.1	6.36%	0	-0.4	59	NAN
15	Sep_27_2012	48.97	53.23	56.92	57.84	57.79	55.59	54.45(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-270	-34	55	0.03	53%	0.51	42.2	6.33%	0	0.3	62	NAN

16	Sep_26_2012	48.72	52.97	56.73	59.22	59.53	57.88	55.2(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-180	-21	83	0.02	53%	0.37	44	6.32%	0	0.5	64	NAN
17	Sep_25_2012	48.54	52.68	56.15	59.46	60.13	59.98	57.3(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	20	-0	99	0.03	58%	0.41	40.2	6.32%	0	1	70	NAN
18	Sep_24_2012	48.34	52.29	55.62	58.8	58.96	61.18	60.9(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	270	18	95	0.02	58%	0.44	29.8	6.76%	0	1.8	62	NAN
19	Sep_21_2012	48.13	51.78	54.38	57.78	57.53	60.28	61.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	58	320	44	101	0.04	56%	0.46	20	6.79%	0	2.3	70	NAN
20	Sep_20_2012	47.91	51.32	53.1	55.89	55.77	56.74	61.35(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	120	32	82	0.07	58%	0.4	2.1	6.9%	0	2.8	70	NAN

21	Sep_19_2012	47.72	50.96	51.75	53.97	54.07	54.79	56.4(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	100	14	56	0.03	56%	0.23	-22.6	6.96%	0	1.8	61	NAN
22	Sep_18_2012	47.61	50.82	50.83	52.38	52.92	54.81	54(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	280	18	40	0.02	60%	0.15	-44.4	6.94%	0	1.1	58	NAN
23	Sep_17_2012	47.54	50.93	50.62	51.93	51.78	53.34	55.8(7.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	200	29	44	0.05	60%	0.15	-56.2	7.23%	0	1.6	60	NAN
24	Sep_14_2012	47.47	50.95	49.7	50.46	50.61	51.04	51.9(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	70	12	16	0.02	58%	0.08	-68.5	7.19%	0	0.3	51	NAN
25	Sep_13_2012	47.43	51.24	49.17	49.86	49.91	50.21	51.75(6.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	3	50	5	-2	0.02	58%		-64.8	7.2%	0	0.1	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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