Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $65.2500 (10.13%) ($57.1500 - $65.4000) on Mon. Aug. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.57% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $65.2500(10.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    PEJ(15%)    SPY(13%)    XAR(13%)    XLY(13%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -4.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.285% (StdDev 8.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.78(7.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.96(12.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.84(18.98%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   175.3%
Market Cap   $13.351b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 8.9% (three month std-dev: 8.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 5.53%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.76%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.23%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 8.03%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2012	49.54	54.84	57.96	60.78	59.91	59.89	65.25(10.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-50	13	67	0.06	64%	-0.28	69	8.57%	0	2.1	66	0
2	Aug_10_2012	49.68	53.82	56.7	59.7	59.71	58.44	59.25(2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-150	-5	58	0.01	63%	-0.42	67.9	8.51%	0	1.3	64	0
3	Aug_9_2012	49.89	53.37	55.9	58.89	59.55	59.93	57.75(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	80	5	56	0.02	58%	-0.44	60	8.5%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Aug_8_2012	50.11	52.98	55.22	57.48	58.06	60.98	59.85(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	380	27	50	0.03	58%	-0.38	47	8.94%	0	1.7	60	0
5	Aug_7_2012	50.3	52.57	54.3	55.5	55.3	59.18	61.8(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	480	34	38	0.05	57%	-0.38	23.1	8.93%	0	2.3	64	0

6	Aug_6_2012	50.49	51.67	53.28	54.75	52.72	55.14	59.85(8.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	210	26	34	0.03	57%	-0.37	-6.4	9.02%	0	2.4	66	0
7	Aug_3_2012	50.68	51.07	52.29	53.4	52.84	51.43	55.2(8.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-220	11	25	0.03	56%	-0.47	-45.4	8.98%	0	1.4	68	0
8	Aug_2_2012	50.92	51.02	51.91	53.4	52.66	50.29	50.7(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	-310	-22	8	0.04	54%	-0.59	-61.8	8.96%	0	-0.1	53	0
9	Aug_1_2012	51.22	51.18	52.17	52.56	52.77	54.24	49.95(-13.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	210	-6	18	0.06	54%	-0.66	-70.6	9.02%	0	-0.4	52	0
10	Jul_31_2012	51.56	51.65	52.39	52.74	52.96	55.03	58.05(9.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	290	31	34	0.16	57%	-0.48	-60.4	8.91%	0	1.8	58	0

11	Jul_30_2012	51.81	51.89	51.48	51.6	51.44	51.3	53.1(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-30	5	22	0.03	55%	-0.44	-50.8	8.85%	0	0.3	66	0
12	Jul_27_2012	52.04	52.48	50.71	51.06	51.29	50.89	51(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	-40	-4	11	0.02	55%	-0.46	-31.6	8.85%	0	-0.3	56	0
13	Jul_26_2012	52.28	52.93	50.67	51.21	51.21	51.58	50.7(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	50	-4	7	0.03	55%	-0.38	-19.6	8.85%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Jul_25_2012	52.48	53.43	50.62	51.72	51.45	51.69	50.85(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	20	3	9	0.02	58%	-0.4	-9.4	8.86%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Jul_24_2012	52.69	53.93	50.75	51.93	51.72	50.83	52.35(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-130	1	0	0.02	57%	-0.32	2.6	9.16%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Jul_23_2012	52.86	53.93	49.97	51.33	51.57	51.21	50.4(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-30	-0	-28	0.03	57%	-0.43	9.2	9.21%	0	-0.6	38	0
17	Jul_20_2012	53.09	54.27	49.79	50.25	50.8	52.61	51.75(-2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	280	8	-51	0.03	55%	-0.51	11.2	9.2%	0	-0.4	38	0
18	Jul_19_2012	53.36	54.07	50.04	50.01	49.66	51.94	53.25(2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	300	21	-53	0.03	55%	-0.52	15.5	9.25%	0	-0.1	45	0
19	Jul_18_2012	53.64	54	50.06	49.41	49.03	48.98	51.9(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-30	9	-70	0.07	54%	-0.65	23	9.25%	0	-0.3	43	0
20	Jul_17_2012	53.99	53.77	50.77	49.5	48.75	47.38	49.35(9.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-240	-6	-76	0.05	54%	-0.88	29.5	9.28%	0	-0.7	41	0

21	Jul_16_2012	54.47	53.71	52.22	48.45	49.17	49.08	45(-10.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	30	-7	-78	0.06	52%	-0.84	30.3	9.2%	0	-1.3	38	0
22	Jul_13_2012	54.93	53.57	54.32	49.14	48.67	50.11	50.55(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	180	-0	-56	0.02	55%	-0.65	30.7	9.12%	0	-0.4	56	0
23	Jul_12_2012	55.29	53.09	55.32	50.04	48.93	49.26	50.25(-4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-20	4	-36	0.03	55%	-0.68	30.8	9.15%	0	-0.4	59	0
24	Jul_11_2012	55.67	52.55	56.44	50.85	50.07	47.22	52.35(18.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-440	-21	-32	0.12	55%	-0.64	27.5	9.14%	0	-0	55	0
25	Jul_10_2012	56.03	51.86	57.33	52.41	52.16	48.6	44.1(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-490	-55	-21	0.07	52%		27.2	8.84%	0	-0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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