Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $96.6000 (7.33%) ($93.0000 - $100.3500) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.05% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $96.6000(7.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS declines -19.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    PEJ(15%)    QQQ(14%)    SPY(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -2.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.525% (StdDev 5.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $56.71(-41.29%)
Resistance Level   $115.7
5 Day Moving Average   $89.64(7.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.87(4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.7(-16.51%)
To recent high   -47.5%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $19.766b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 22.8% (three month std-dev: 5.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2012	177.18	115.7	92.87	89.64	90.07	92.93	96.6(7.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	240	64	-207	0.09	49%	-0.93	-52.6	5.05%	0	-0.7	23	0
2	Feb_24_2012	178.84	118.21	93.53	88.74	88.39	87.92	90(4.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-50	0	-283	0.03	45%	-1.06	-54.5	4.94%	0	-1.1	16	0
3	Feb_23_2012	180.75	121.22	98.66	89.07	89.29	87.21	86.1(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-100	-160	-36	-293	0.03	42%	-1.11	-55.9	4.94%	0	-1.3	16	0
4	Feb_22_2012	182.77	124.59	103.39	91.08	91.05	88.86	87(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-112	-170	-54	-287	0.04	42%	-1.09	-57.3	5.02%	0	-1.4	25	0
5	Feb_21_2012	184.79	127.94	108.91	93.93	93.91	91.37	88.5(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-99	-190	-45	-259	0.03	39%	-1.67	-59.3	5.06%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	Feb_17_2012	187.93	131.48	115.52	96.51	96.62	93.24	92.1(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-240	-57	-235	0.04	39%	-1.15	-62.4	5.11%	0	-1.7	31	0
7	Feb_16_2012	190.11	134.82	121.9	99.06	99.23	96.45	91.65(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-135	-190	-103	-232	0.03	39%	-1.09	-67.2	5.1%	0	-1.9	28	0
8	Feb_15_2012	192.21	138.18	128.05	109.92	104.27	99.99	96.15(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-131	-440	-111	-189	0.03	39%	-1.12	-65.8	5.1%	0	-2.1	29	0
9	Feb_14_2012	194.39	141.47	132.93	117.75	115.3	102.02	101.25(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-150	-870	-142	-174	0.03	39%	-1.04	-67.1	5.1%	0	-2.2	30	0
10	Feb_13_2012	196.43	144.62	136.65	126.3	124.04	108.54	101.4(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-273	-930	-293	-211	0.05	39%	-0.99	-67.2	5.11%	0	-2.7	30	0

11	Feb_10_2012	198.4	148.18	140.93	137.34	135.22	128.59	104.85(-28.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-182	-390	-196	-138	0.08	39%	-0.9	-62.8	5.1%	0	-3.3	30	0
12	Feb_9_2012	200.2	151.64	145.58	147.75	145.64	139.54	145.95(7.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-340	-60	-53	0.03	48%	-0.74	-61.2	3.71%	0	-0.6	44	0
13	Feb_8_2012	201.7	152.93	145.94	148.98	148.65	141.84	135.3(-6.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-148	-330	-165	-95	0.03	43%	-0.87	-56.1	3.61%	0	-1.7	36	0
14	Feb_7_2012	203.46	154.81	147.7	150.36	151.43	151.74	144(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	40	-27	-38	0.01	46%	-0.78	-58.2	3.54%	0	-1	39	0
15	Feb_6_2012	205.06	156.22	148.52	148.47	149.31	155.46	156.6(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	86	310	116	-4	0.01	51%	-0.71	-61.7	3.44%	0	0	44	0

16	Feb_3_2012	206.52	157.03	148.42	145.17	144.72	151.12	156.9(3.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	105	300	148	-25	0.02	46%	-0.65	-65.1	3.44%	0	-0	38	0
17	Feb_2_2012	207.87	157.85	148.23	143.31	141.84	143.16	152.1(6.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	30	69	-79	0.02	37%	-0.64	-66.4	3.56%	0	-0.5	32	0
18	Feb_1_2012	209.2	159.15	148.49	142.89	141.92	138.32	142.2(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-200	-55	-129	0.02	31%	-0.67	-59.1	4.2%	0	-1.3	19	0
19	Jan_31_2012	210.62	161.22	150.15	144.9	145.03	140.53	134.55(-3.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-111	-210	-98	-150	0.04	27%	-0.67	-47.7	4.15%	0	-2	5	0
20	Jan_30_2012	212.05	163.25	152.93	148.44	148.73	145.52	140.1(-5.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-150	-79	-135	0.01	27%	-0.66	-42.4	4.14%	0	-1.9	6	0

21	Jan_27_2012	213.46	164.96	155.93	151.92	151.45	149.53	147.6(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-67	-100	-52	-112	0.01	37%	-0.66	-33.7	4.11%	0	-1.6	7	0
22	Jan_26_2012	214.87	166.36	158.25	153.75	153.8	151.93	150(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-80	-28	-92	0.01	37%	-0.67	-24.4	4.42%	0	-1.6	8	0
23	Jan_25_2012	216.33	167.16	160.54	154.92	154.93	153.38	152.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-52	-70	-37	-95	0.01	35%	-0.64	-16.3	4.43%	0	-1.6	7	0
24	Jan_24_2012	217.73	167.8	162.58	156.27	156.07	155.66	152.25(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-42	-20	-25	-93	0.01	35%	-0.31	-9.1	4.44%	0	-1.8	6	0
25	Jan_23_2012	218.41	168.47	164.66	158.13	157.61	156.49	157.5(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-60	-23	-85	0.01	35%		-0.6	4.46%	0	-1.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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