Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: AMRS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 28, 2010 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Amyris Inc.)
AMRS latest price $351.3000 (-1.64%) ($346.5000 - $363.0000) on Wed. Dec. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $351.3000(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRS advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRS advances 8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    PEJ(17%)    QQQ(16%)    SPY(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting AMRS price   AMRS will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $338.4(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $324.24(8.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $306.44(14.64%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   41.9%
Market Cap   $71.882b

Amyris, Inc. engages in the provision of bioscience solutions. It offers its products to health and wellness, clean beauty, and flavor and fragrance markets. The company was founded by Jack D. Newman, Kinkead Keith Reiling, and Neil Renninger on July 17, 2003 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. AMRS price fluctuates within 7.74% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.59%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.23%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.89%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.36%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 7.68%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2010	276.36	306.44	324.24	338.4	340.78	354.81	351.3(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	310	310	313	301	0	78%	0.55	91.3	2.84%	0	1.9	84	NAN
2	Dec_7_2010	274.86	301.94	319.01	332.88	332.09	342.9	357.15(4.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	388	220	405	338	0	78%	0.61	89.1	2.85%	0	2.4	85	NAN
3	Dec_6_2010	273.18	296.86	312.13	323.19	322.52	326.76	340.95(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	201	90	194	222	0.01	77%	0.52	84.8	2.82%	0	2.1	71	NAN
4	Dec_3_2010	271.77	292.72	306.9	314.79	315.21	321.28	322.5(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	123	140	112	154	0	75%	0.4	79.2	2.75%	0	1.5	58	NAN
5	Dec_2_2010	270.69	289.42	304	310.77	310.79	318.28	320.1(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	207	170	212	191	0	75%	0.4	73.6	2.78%	0	1.6	67	NAN

6	Dec_1_2010	269.62	286.2	299.35	307.77	307.05	309.13	323.7(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	145	40	144	147	0.01	75%	0.45	70.3	2.8%	0	1.9	65	NAN
7	Nov_30_2010	268.41	282.78	294.39	303.06	304.33	303.3	308.7(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	-10	-1	82	0	73%	0.34	68.2	2.76%	0	1.4	68	NAN
8	Nov_29_2010	267.5	280.13	292.23	299.4	302.41	304.97	298.95(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	90	28	102	0	72%	0.27	63.5	2.76%	0	1.1	68	NAN
9	Nov_26_2010	266.77	278	292.32	297.63	299.58	305.36	302.4(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	147	150	139	170	0	72%	0.32	60.5	2.78%	0	1.4	68	NAN
10	Nov_24_2010	265.92	275.66	289.72	296.01	296.23	299.85	305.1(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	184	90	179	197	0	72%	0.36	60	2.8%	0	1.7	70	NAN

11	Nov_23_2010	264.96	273.16	287.34	289.5	291.11	293.79	300.15(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	105	80	89	153	0	72%	0.33	53	2.83%	0	1.6	69	NAN
12	Nov_22_2010	264.08	270.9	283.63	284.43	285.83	292.61	290.4(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	117	180	108	145	0	70%	0.25	47.7	2.83%	0	1.3	66	NAN
13	Nov_19_2010	263.41	269.19	280.53	284.04	282.68	288.43	290.1(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	148	130	143	161	0	70%	0.27	48.5	2.87%	0	1.4	67	NAN
14	Nov_18_2010	262.71	267.53	277.55	286.35	284.11	279.05	294.3(7.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	-150	30	132	0	70%	0.33	54.6	2.89%	0	1.9	69	NAN
15	Nov_17_2010	261.85	265.54	273.76	282.72	285.63	276.93	272.55(-0.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-189	-180	-257	15	0	65%	0.11	52.2	2.64%	0	0.6	62	NAN

16	Nov_16_2010	261.55	264.74	272.28	284.7	287.42	289.16	274.8(-4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	70	-72	100	0	65%	0.14	56.9	2.67%	0	0.8	63	NAN
17	Nov_15_2010	261.18	263.77	270.58	282.18	285.82	294.33	288.45(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	284	250	297	244	0	72%	0.31	48.5	2.56%	0	2	73	NAN
18	Nov_12_2010	260.37	262.22	267.27	276.03	276.4	285.68	301.65(9.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	272	240	291	216	0.01	80%	0.48	36.7	2.46%	0	3.5	84	NAN
19	Nov_11_2010	259.12	260.06	262.4	267.6	268.62	277.31	276.15(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	321	240	357	211	0.01	74%	0.2	29.8	1.96%	0	2.4	72	NAN
20	Nov_10_2010	258.59	259.05	260.32	263.67	263.25	267.12	282.45(7.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.3	242	100	272	153	0.01	80%	0.3	17.5	1.93%	0	4.2	84	NAN

21	Nov_9_2010	257.82	257.71	257.5	258.36	259.12	259.93	262.2(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	30	44	30	0	72%	0.05	-15.2	1.43%	0	1.7	66	NAN
22	Nov_8_2010	257.68	257.85	256.88	257.28	258.19	259.39	257.7(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	40	52	25	0.01	70%	0	-19	1.42%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
23	Nov_5_2010	257.67	258.2	256.82	256.98	257.63	258.3	259.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	30	61	21	0.01	70%	0.02	-8.5	1.44%	0	0.4	45	NAN
24	Nov_4_2010	257.61	258.2	256.82	256.98	257.05	256.99	256.5(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	10	0	-16	0	70%	-0.02	-16.2	1.45%	0	-0.5	26	NAN
25	Nov_3_2010	257.65	258.07	256.67	256.32	257.08	256.96	255.9(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	10	-3	-19	0	70%		-20.5	1.48%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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