Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMRC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 12, 2023

Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ameresco, Inc.)
AMRC latest price $54.7500 (5.03%) ($52.8600 - $55.3100) on Wed. Jul. 12, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $54.7500(5.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRC advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRC advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(71%)    IWN(66%)    IWM(65%)    GLD(64%)    IBUY(64%)
Factors Impacting AMRC price   AMRC will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-44%)    VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-30%)    TBT(-23%)    EDOC(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.13(9.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.14(11.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.24(13.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $2.628b

$. AMRC price fluctuates within 4.93% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 3.21%(48%) Average negative next day return: -3%(52%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 5.89%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -5.37%(48%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 6.21%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.27%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2023	45.62	48.24	49.14	50.13	50.34	52.92	54.75(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	78	370	71	100	0.49	71%	0.07	26.6	3.58%	1.4	2.7	71	1.1
2	Jul_11_2023	45.59	47.86	48.24	48.62	48.35	50.25	52.13(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	59	260	56	67	0.45	69%	0.15	17.1	3.53%	1.3	2.2	69	-0.3
3	Jul_10_2023	45.52	47.59	47.48	47.71	47.2	47.76	50.87(9.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	50	25	31	0.38	69%	-0.09	8.1	3.53%	2.2	2	63	-0.5
4	Jul_7_2023	45.56	47.42	47.07	47.26	47.11	46.46	46.49(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-110	-13	1	0.15	66%	-0.22	12.3	3.34%	0.2	-0.6	40	-0.3
5	Jul_6_2023	45.66	47.55	47.09	47.73	47.64	46.64	46.4(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-150	-24	-4	0.3	66%	-0.31	40.7	3.36%	-1	-0.8	38	-0.6

6	Jul_5_2023	45.8	47.61	47.11	47.94	48.15	47.77	47.2(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-40	-10	-9	0.21	66%	-0.39	56.3	3.35%	-0.8	-0.3	36	0.9
7	Jul_3_2023	45.98	47.53	47	47.73	48.11	48.64	47.58(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	8	100	14	-11	0.11	66%	-0.15	57.2	3.38%	0	0	50	1.2
8	Jun_30_2023	46.05	47.46	46.89	47.15	47.47	48.54	48.63(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	180	24	-21	0.26	68%	-0.13	55.4	3.44%	1.1	0.8	55	1
9	Jun_29_2023	46.11	47.24	46.9	46.85	46.74	47.59	48.84(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	120	27	-22	0.34	68%	-0.13	45.8	3.44%	1.4	0.9	52	1
10	Jun_28_2023	46.17	46.97	46.94	46.41	46.3	46.41	47.43(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	10	12	-36	0.31	68%	-0.19	28.6	3.43%	1.3	0.2	45	1.2

11	Jun_27_2023	46.26	46.8	47.25	46.22	46.11	45.88	46.17(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-40	-4	-35	0.25	68%	-0.24	20.9	3.42%	0.1	-0.3	48	1.1
12	Jun_26_2023	46.37	46.67	47.43	46.17	46.17	46.19	44.69(-5.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	0	-7	-30	0.4	68%	-0.34	20.1	3.41%	-1.3	-1	52	1
13	Jun_23_2023	46.53	46.61	47.72	46.54	46.18	46.35	47.13(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	0	-6	-19	0.65	72%	-0.32	22.9	3.34%	2.1	0.2	55	1.1
14	Jun_22_2023	46.68	46.48	47.8	46.95	46.61	46.15	46.62(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-90	-12	0	0.42	69%	-0.41	26.7	3.34%	2.3	0.1	60	1.4
15	Jun_21_2023	46.87	46.44	48.05	47.57	47.3	46.02	46.48(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-22	-210	-37	24	0.23	71%	-0.38	40.3	3.38%	0	0	63	1.3

16	Jun_20_2023	47.05	46.38	48.18	48.47	48.44	47.06	45.91(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-200	-35	57	0.27	71%	-0.74	55.2	3.45%	-1.1	-0.2	59	1.2
17	Jun_16_2023	47.4	46.27	48.17	48.88	49.4	48.58	46.55(-5.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-80	-18	82	0.62	71%	-0.36	59.7	3.43%	-1.6	0.1	62	1.6
18	Jun_15_2023	47.57	46.13	48.16	48.99	49.3	49.81	49.21(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	90	1	108	0.26	75%	-0.29	66	3.36%	-1	1.3	71	1.2
19	Jun_14_2023	47.71	45.88	47.68	48.74	48.87	50.22	49.68(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	200	28	116	0.36	75%	-0.31	71.6	3.37%	0.2	1.6	65	4.5
20	Jun_13_2023	47.86	45.51	47.03	48.62	48.3	48.79	51(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	50	31	108	0.35	75%	-0.27	73.9	3.37%	1.6	2.4	63	1.3

21	Jun_12_2023	47.99	45.12	46.29	47.92	47.95	47.51	47.94(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-60	6	82	0.21	73%	-0.29	81.3	3.28%	1.1	1.5	58	1.4
22	Jun_9_2023	48.13	44.87	45.83	47.39	47.61	47.8	47.14(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	40	-2	68	0.29	73%	-0.27	78	3.3%	-0.9	1.2	63	1.7
23	Jun_8_2023	48.26	44.56	45.41	47.16	47.16	48.38	47.96(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	180	31	74	0.2	73%	-0.27	69.1	3.31%	0.1	1.7	64	2
24	Jun_7_2023	48.39	44.24	45.03	46.4	46.48	47.41	49.08(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	53	150	49	66	0.29	73%	-0.27	59	3.29%	1.5	2.6	64	2.2
25	Jun_6_2023	48.52	43.87	44.63	45.2	45.33	45.94	47.49(4.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	100	24	41	0.26	72%		41.6	3.28%	1.7	2.3	66	2.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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