Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMRC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 9, 2020

Trading Signals: AMRC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ameresco, Inc.)
AMRC latest price $22.8800 (1.02%) ($22.6825 - $23.5700) on Tue. Jun. 9, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.64% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $22.8800(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMRC advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMRC advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMRC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ACES(62%)    ICLN(61%)    TAN(58%)    IWO(56%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AMRC price   AMRC will decline at least -3.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-17%)    IGOV(-3%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.32% (StdDev 6.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.76(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.32(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.08(8.54%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   60.8%
Market Cap   $1.098b

$. AMRC price fluctuates within 7.54% (three month std-dev: 6.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.45%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.63%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -6.5%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.56%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.1%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2020	19.44	21.08	22.32	22.76	22.99	23.12	22.88(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	12	70	1	46	0.25	52%	0.21	58.8	6.64%	0	1.1	79	1
2	Jun_8_2020	19.4	20.9	22.17	22.63	22.84	23.29	22.65(-3.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	170	5	51	0.22	52%	0.15	67.5	6.66%	0	1.1	74	1.6
3	Jun_5_2020	19.37	20.75	22	22.59	22.6	22.85	23.57(5.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	80	11	63	0.23	50%	0.21	77.6	6.67%	0	1.8	89	2
4	Jun_4_2020	19.33	20.52	21.69	22.17	22.26	22.39	22.31(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	50	4	62	0.18	50%	0.1	80.6	6.65%	0	1.3	89	1.6
5	Jun_3_2020	19.31	20.35	21.5	21.98	22	22.36	22.38(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	120	5	69	0.22	50%	0.16	81.7	6.65%	0	1.5	90	1.7

6	Jun_2_2020	19.28	20.19	21.25	21.81	21.79	22.13	22.23(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	110	7	71	0.12	50%	0.16	88.7	6.66%	0	1.6	72	1.3
7	Jun_1_2020	19.25	19.89	21.03	21.64	21.58	21.64	22.45(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	10	6	72	0.22	50%	0.16	71.1	6.66%	0	1.8	71	1
8	May_29_2020	19.22	19.62	20.67	21.34	21.46	21.46	21.46(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	3	61	0.19	50%	0.1	64.5	6.69%	0	1.3	63	1.3
9	May_28_2020	19.2	19.45	20.34	21.15	21.35	21.53	21.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	90	5	53	0.13	50%	0.1	65.1	6.75%	0	1.4	66	0.9
10	May_27_2020	19.18	19.3	20.01	20.95	21.08	21.45	21.54(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	140	8	46	0.34	49%	0.16	69.4	6.74%	0	1.7	68	1.5

11	May_26_2020	19.15	19.11	19.76	20.6	20.81	21.18	21.39(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	160	9	37	0.15	49%	0.26	69.5	6.77%	0	1.8	66	1.3
12	May_22_2020	19.1	18.91	19.53	20.33	20.46	20.71	20.94(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	100	10	46	0.18	48%	0.16	69.4	6.69%	0	1.7	79	1.2
13	May_21_2020	19.07	18.73	19.38	19.9	20.18	20.44	20.51(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	130	12	47	0.16	49%	0.1	63	6.74%	0	1.6	69	1.1
14	May_20_2020	19.05	18.57	19.24	19.41	19.64	20.22	20.37(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	240	13	40	0.19	50%	0.16	56.2	6.77%	0	1.7	62	1.5
15	May_19_2020	19.02	18.41	19.1	18.93	18.97	19.91	19.79(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	350	10	29	0.2	51%	0.11	47.7	6.78%	0	1.3	57	0.9

16	May_18_2020	19	18.26	19.03	18.78	18.55	19.07	20.05(6.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	160	10	32	0.27	51%	0.16	43.5	6.79%	0	1.8	62	1.4
17	May_15_2020	18.97	18.11	18.65	18.64	18.43	18.02	18.78(4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-190	-4	18	0.18	51%	0.05	44.1	6.74%	0	0.7	59	1
18	May_14_2020	18.96	18.05	18.5	18.81	18.67	18.04	18.05(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-260	-12	18	0.18	51%	-0.05	47.7	6.78%	0	0	56	0.8
19	May_13_2020	18.97	17.98	18.51	19.04	19.16	18.84	17.97(-5.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-100	-8	30	0.31	51%	0.05	50.4	6.78%	0	-0	56	0.1
20	May_12_2020	18.96	17.92	18.57	19.26	19.4	19.31	19.06(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-2	46	0.18	52%	0.16	57.6	6.74%	0	1.1	64	1.2

21	May_11_2020	18.93	17.83	18.44	19.29	19.34	19.49	19.32(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	60	11	57	0.22	52%	0.11	60.1	6.78%	0	1.5	67	2.3
22	May_8_2020	18.91	17.7	18.26	18.65	19.07	19.5	19.63(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	230	14	43	0.24	52%	0.16	49.8	6.72%	0	2	67	2
23	May_7_2020	18.88	17.59	18.04	18.14	18.3	19.2	19.22(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	370	10	28	0.28	52%	0.16	42.7	6.77%	0	1.9	61	1.4
24	May_6_2020	18.85	17.49	17.85	17.91	17.83	18.65	19.06(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	310	12	26	0.37	52%	0.11	47.1	6.77%	0	2.1	65	0.8
25	May_5_2020	18.83	17.35	17.65	17.8	17.59	17.4	19.2(18.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	12	-110	8	25	0.39	52%		44	6.77%	0	2.7	66	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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