Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $166.0298 (1.16%) ($164.4488 - $167.7361) on Wed. Nov. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $166.0298(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(13%)    VIXM(8%)    IBB(6%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-10%)    XLU(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    PCY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.32(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.91(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.57(0.89%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $97.36b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.59%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2017	169.79	164.57	163.91	164.32	164.46	164.93	166.03(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	20	61	16	3.24	65%	0.01	-63.6	0.99%	0	1	47	INF
2	Nov_28_2017	169.77	164.63	163.58	163.86	163.99	164.12	164.13(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	10	14	-24	2.66	65%	0	-82.1	0.98%	0	-0.3	40	INF
3	Nov_27_2017	169.77	164.78	163.57	163.58	163.84	164	163.6(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	10	14	-28	2.15	65%	0.01	-99	0.99%	0	-0.7	51	INF
4	Nov_24_2017	169.76	164.98	163.7	163.63	163.6	163.85	164(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	10	4	-35	1	65%	0.02	-111.3	0.99%	0	-0.6	43	INF
5	Nov_22_2017	169.72	165.22	163.93	163.76	163.69	163.69	163.84(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	-0	22	-21	1.53	67%	-0.04	-107	0.99%	0	-0.7	47	INF

6	Nov_21_2017	169.78	165.51	164.14	163.42	163.67	163.35	163.73(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10	-6	-45	2.63	67%	0	-105.8	1%	0	-0.7	39	INF
7	Nov_20_2017	169.78	165.93	164.37	163.26	163.38	163.68	162.71(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	20	-18	-59	2.01	67%	-0.01	-105.1	1%	0	-1.1	36	INF
8	Nov_17_2017	169.79	166.42	164.48	163.55	163.33	163.99	163.88(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	20	41	-43	2.04	62%	-0.01	-91.5	0.99%	0	-0.8	41	INF
9	Nov_16_2017	169.8	166.95	164.69	163.78	163.4	163.08	164.62(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-20	4	-58	3.13	62%	-0.01	-79.8	1.02%	0	-0.6	41	INF
10	Nov_15_2017	169.81	167.5	164.73	164.18	163.76	162.68	162.17(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-90	-50	-86	-101	3.15	60%	0	-66.7	1.01%	0	-1.2	30	INF

11	Nov_14_2017	169.81	168.29	165.31	164.98	164.59	163.72	162.89(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-90	-40	-89	-94	2.6	62%	-0.01	-56.9	1.01%	0	-1.2	29	INF
12	Nov_13_2017	169.83	169.04	165.8	165.62	165.46	164.84	164.2(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-30	-33	-75	2.12	62%	0	-54.4	1.02%	0	-1.1	26	INF
13	Nov_10_2017	169.83	169.54	166.11	165.49	165.6	165.46	165.02(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-0	-29	-95	1.93	56%	0	-59.3	1.02%	0	-1	27	INF
14	Nov_9_2017	169.83	170.05	166.38	165.7	165.45	166.08	166.6(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	20	22	-91	2	56%	0.02	-61.3	1.06%	0	-0.8	25	INF
15	Nov_8_2017	169.8	170.47	166.6	165.39	165.38	165.74	166.2(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	20	42	-112	2	56%	0.05	-66.9	1.06%	0	-0.9	22	INF

16	Nov_7_2017	169.72	170.97	166.95	165.75	165.29	164.82	166.1(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-68	-30	-36	-164	3.1	56%	0.06	-67.9	1.06%	0	-1	19	INF
17	Nov_6_2017	169.62	171.55	167.56	166.08	166.08	165.02	163.53(-1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-97	-40	-65	-192	2.69	54%	0.05	-68.1	1.04%	0	-1.7	10	INF
18	Nov_3_2017	169.53	172.27	168.49	166.8	166.8	165.76	166.06(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-115	-40	-88	-195	2.43	57%	0.06	-70	1.03%	0	-1.4	31	INF
19	Nov_2_2017	169.43	172.88	169.37	167.16	167.36	167.14	165.08(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	-10	-55	-180	4.03	57%	0.05	-70.5	1.02%	0	-1.8	27	INF
20	Nov_1_2017	169.35	173.58	170.48	167.94	167.75	167.85	167.96(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	0	23	-136	2.73	61%	0.07	-67.6	1%	0	-1.3	31	INF

21	Oct_31_2017	169.23	174.21	171.48	168.34	167.26	167.58	167.77(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-10	-39	-149	2.91	61%	0.07	-63.7	1%	0	-1.6	28	INF
22	Oct_30_2017	169.12	174.8	172.51	169.33	168.07	167.65	167.16(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-40	-14	-122	2.55	61%	0.07	-59.3	1%	0	-2	24	INF
23	Oct_27_2017	169.01	175.43	173.26	170.47	169.26	166.94	167.82(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-120	-142	-163	3.48	58%	0.08	-56.6	1.01%	0	-2.2	26	INF
24	Oct_26_2017	168.88	175.99	174.05	171.94	170.9	168.48	169.01(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-217	-120	-230	-177	6	53%	0.09	-51.5	1.05%	0	-2.3	27	INF
25	Oct_25_2017	168.72	176.45	174.71	173.39	173.21	171.58	169.95(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-137	-70	-141	-125	4.05	53%		-47.6	1.1%	0	-2.5	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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