Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $167.9569 (0.11%) ($167.2867 - $169.7665) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $167.9569(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(13%)    VIXM(8%)    IBB(6%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-10%)    XLU(-8%)    SLV(-8%)    SHY(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $173.58
5 Day Moving Average   $167.94(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.48(-1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $173.58(-3.24%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $98.49b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.42%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.64%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	169.35	173.58	170.48	167.94	167.75	167.85	167.96(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	0	23	-136	2.73	61%	0.07	-67.6	1%	0	-1.3	31	INF
2	Oct_31_2017	169.23	174.21	171.48	168.34	167.26	167.58	167.77(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-10	-39	-149	2.91	61%	0.07	-63.7	1%	0	-1.6	28	INF
3	Oct_30_2017	169.12	174.8	172.51	169.33	168.07	167.65	167.16(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-40	-14	-122	2.55	61%	0.07	-59.3	1%	0	-2	24	INF
4	Oct_27_2017	169.01	175.43	173.26	170.47	169.26	166.94	167.82(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-120	-142	-163	3.48	58%	0.08	-56.6	1.01%	0	-2.2	26	INF
5	Oct_26_2017	168.88	175.99	174.05	171.94	170.9	168.48	169.01(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-217	-120	-230	-177	6	53%	0.09	-51.5	1.05%	0	-2.3	27	INF

6	Oct_25_2017	168.72	176.45	174.71	173.39	173.21	171.58	169.95(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-137	-70	-141	-125	4.05	53%	0.11	-47.6	1.1%	0	-2.5	27	INF
7	Oct_24_2017	168.54	176.84	175.39	175.07	174.84	173.32	172.7(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-124	-60	-130	-105	3.45	56%	0.12	-43.6	1.08%	0	-2	27	INF
8	Oct_23_2017	168.33	177.11	175.91	176.19	176.54	174.85	172.85(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-83	-60	-86	-73	2.57	56%	0.12	-34.3	1.08%	0	-2.3	34	INF
9	Oct_20_2017	168.12	177.41	176.41	176.45	177.05	176.35	175.18(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-20	-83	-74	3.18	59%	0.16	-36	1.07%	0	-1.4	38	INF
10	Oct_19_2017	167.85	177.55	176.68	176.46	176.88	178.22	176.29(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	23	60	40	-27	2.56	59%	0.17	-43.5	1.07%	0	-0.8	43	INF

11	Oct_18_2017	167.56	177.68	176.93	176.2	176.32	177.75	178.35(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	105	60	137	10	2.58	61%	0.2	-54.5	1.06%	0	0.4	53	INF
12	Oct_17_2017	167.23	177.68	177.09	175.79	175.35	175.53	178.27(2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	14	-0	29	-31	3.75	61%	0.07	-65.9	1.06%	0	0.3	55	INF
13	Oct_16_2017	167.12	177.75	177.16	175.71	175.42	174.89	174.16(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-30	-43	-60	2.21	57%	0.16	-80.7	1.02%	0	-2.3	37	INF
14	Oct_13_2017	166.85	177.99	177.68	176.4	176.14	175.17	175.22(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-40	-65	-54	2.33	61%	0.17	-80.5	1.03%	0	-2	38	INF
15	Oct_12_2017	166.57	178.21	178.04	176.93	176.84	175.96	174.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-78	-40	-87	-51	2.22	61%	0.17	-49.4	1.04%	0	-2.3	40	INF

16	Oct_11_2017	166.28	178.53	178.34	177.72	177.62	177.12	176.32(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-20	-61	-30	3.27	61%	0.18	-6.8	1.03%	0	-1.7	41	INF
17	Oct_10_2017	165.98	178.79	178.45	178.57	178.38	177.72	177.89(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-30	-36	-14	2.04	61%	0.2	43.4	1.02%	0	-0.6	39	INF
18	Oct_9_2017	165.65	179.03	178.44	178.84	178.83	178.13	177.57(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-30	-59	-20	1.52	61%	0.18	91.5	1.03%	0	-1	48	INF
19	Oct_6_2017	165.36	179.09	178.53	179.17	179.22	179.03	177.91(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10	-29	-2	2.03	58%	0.18	92.6	1.03%	0	-0.6	48	INF
20	Oct_5_2017	165.07	178.88	178.54	179.29	179.33	179.53	178.9(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	10	24	16	4.51	58%	0.18	85.3	1.04%	0	0	47	INF

21	Oct_4_2017	164.77	178.62	178.51	179.03	178.83	179.4	180.57(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	35	8	1.66	58%	0.18	78.6	1.04%	0	0.7	44	INF
22	Oct_3_2017	164.48	178.16	178.43	178.31	178.34	179.12	179.26(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	60	1	1.52	58%	0.16	68.8	1.04%	0	0.3	38	INF
23	Oct_2_2017	164.21	177.7	178.33	178	177.83	178.25	179.21(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	10	39	-27	2.68	58%	0.18	72.5	1.04%	0	0.4	33	INF
24	Sep_29_2017	163.92	177.32	178.26	177.83	177.69	177.56	178.52(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	2	-45	3.02	58%	0.17	77.4	1.04%	0	0.3	51	INF
25	Sep_28_2017	163.64	176.93	178.34	177.7	177.9	177.42	177.57(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-20	-22	-40	2.58	60%		80.8	1.05%	0	0.2	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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