Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $164.4718 (1.2%) ($163.0164 - $165.2952) on Mon. Aug. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $164.4718(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(31%)    GDXJ(13%)    IBB(7%)    VIXM(7%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    PCY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $162.87(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.33(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $163.28(0.73%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $96.446b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.6%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.7%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2017	158.69	163.28	162.33	162.87	162.94	163.61	164.47(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	30	60	23	2.36	59%	0.07	-49.2	1.05%	0	0.6	46	INF
2	Aug_25_2017	158.58	163.34	162.18	162.18	162.53	162.77	162.52(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	20	47	-4	1.51	58%	0.06	-71	1.04%	0	-0.4	39	INF
3	Aug_24_2017	158.49	163.5	162.05	161.71	161.92	162.27	162.72(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	20	19	-39	1.92	58%	0.06	-90.2	1.04%	0	-0.4	42	INF
4	Aug_23_2017	158.39	163.56	161.86	161.3	161.39	162.3	161.81(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	40	30	-59	1.28	58%	0.04	-104.6	1.04%	0	-0.8	39	INF
5	Aug_22_2017	158.32	163.82	162.15	161.76	161.38	161.57	162.83(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	0	43	-49	1.93	54%	0.05	-83.7	1.04%	0	-0.4	40	INF

6	Aug_21_2017	158.24	164.25	162.35	161.75	161.73	160.48	161.01(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-50	-57	-89	1.53	52%	0.04	-68.4	1.08%	0	-1	35	INF
7	Aug_18_2017	158.18	164.78	162.84	162.2	162.39	161.2	160.17(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-101	-50	-101	-99	1.74	52%	0.03	-57.1	1.08%	0	-1.4	31	INF
8	Aug_17_2017	158.13	165.34	163.36	162.4	162.98	162.97	160.67(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	10	-23	-68	2.63	49%	0.04	-52.7	1.08%	0	-1.4	32	INF
9	Aug_16_2017	158.06	165.83	163.87	162.43	162.78	163.58	164.1(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	40	37	-39	1.62	52%	0.06	-48.7	1.07%	0	-0.5	52	INF
10	Aug_15_2017	157.97	166.14	164.03	162.62	162.39	162.98	162.81(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	20	30	-43	1.96	52%	0.04	-40.1	1.07%	0	-1	36	INF

11	Aug_14_2017	157.9	166.44	164.31	163.09	162.78	161.99	163.27(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-40	-17	-74	1.92	52%	0.04	-31.8	1.07%	0	-1	27	INF
12	Aug_11_2017	157.83	166.72	164.58	163.65	163.47	161.81	161.14(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-123	-70	-122	-126	1.57	50%	0.03	-20.9	1.06%	0	-1.8	20	INF
13	Aug_10_2017	157.79	167.12	165.1	164.49	164.52	163.57	160.83(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-111	-40	-107	-122	3.44	48%	0.02	-6.5	1.06%	0	-2.2	23	INF
14	Aug_9_2017	157.76	167.44	165.45	165.45	165.32	165.13	165.05(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10	-22	-94	1.97	52%	0.05	9.3	1.03%	0	-0.9	33	INF
15	Aug_8_2017	157.68	167.46	165.66	165.63	165.45	165.47	165.19(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-0	-3	-95	2.33	52%	0.03	9.2	1.03%	0	-0.9	34	INF

16	Aug_7_2017	157.63	167.47	166.29	165.71	165.46	165.51	166.03(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-0	2	-83	1.19	52%	0.04	10.9	1.03%	0	-0.6	42	INF
17	Aug_4_2017	157.56	167.38	166.85	165.7	165.54	165.51	165.34(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10	-9	-79	1.92	52%	-0.03	10.3	1.03%	0	-0.7	41	INF
18	Aug_3_2017	157.61	167.3	167.43	165.83	165.79	165.42	165.65(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-20	-3	-66	1.73	52%	-0.04	9.9	1.03%	0	-0.6	43	INF
19	Aug_2_2017	157.67	167.21	167.92	165.44	165.65	165.66	165.92(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	0	-23	-70	2.21	52%	-0.03	2.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	51	INF
20	Aug_1_2017	157.72	167.22	168.37	165.71	165.49	166.17	165.6(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	20	-3	-41	2.07	52%	-0.03	10.3	1.03%	0	-0.6	56	INF

21	Jul_31_2017	157.77	167.18	168.72	167	165.98	165.64	165.97(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-30	-19	-10	2.42	52%	-0.04	20.9	1.04%	0	-0.4	56	INF
22	Jul_28_2017	157.83	167.09	169.03	168.25	167.52	164.82	165.99(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-104	-130	-133	-17	2.46	52%	-0.02	31.9	1.04%	0	-0.4	60	INF
23	Jul_27_2017	157.86	167.02	169.32	169.32	169.19	166.33	163.72(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-193	-120	-249	-24	5.52	49%	-0.03	40	1.03%	0	-1.1	57	INF
24	Jul_26_2017	157.9	167.14	169.69	170.69	170.73	170.22	167.28(-2.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-73	-20	-120	70	5.45	54%	0	58	1%	0	0	68	INF
25	Jul_25_2017	157.9	166.92	169.52	171.31	171.45	172.05	172.03(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	30	76	171	3.34	60%		67.5	0.93%	0	1.6	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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