Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jul. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $171.3873 (0.5%) ($170.3887 - $171.7106) on Sun. Jul. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $171.3873(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $169.97(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $167.97(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.13(3.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(35%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.63%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.83%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2017	157.85	166.13	167.97	169.97	169.88	170.85	171.39(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	83	40	63	141	2.67	63%	0.02	98.1	0.96%	0	2	77	INF
2	Jul_20_2017	157.82	165.8	167.14	169.38	169.33	170.12	170.54(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	107	30	96	140	3.04	63%	0.01	123.1	0.97%	0	2	73	INF
3	Jul_19_2017	157.8	165.4	166.41	168.57	168.54	168.92	170.41(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	20	62	103	2.44	63%	0.03	138.2	0.97%	0	2.3	65	INF
4	Jul_18_2017	157.76	164.8	165.9	167.44	167.62	168.54	168.79(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	40	56	91	1.82	63%	0.02	118.2	0.96%	0	1.7	70	INF
5	Jul_17_2017	157.73	164.22	165.43	166.65	166.79	168.15	168.71(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	111	60	116	96	2.69	63%	0.03	96.3	0.97%	0	1.7	58	INF

6	Jul_14_2017	157.69	163.54	164.92	165.66	165.85	166.7	168.46(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	102	40	111	73	2.72	63%	0.03	70.6	0.97%	0	1.5	60	INF
7	Jul_13_2017	157.65	162.93	164.45	164.58	164.82	165.42	166.47(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	30	52	23	3	61%	0.02	60.9	0.97%	0	1.1	52	INF
8	Jul_12_2017	157.62	162.46	164.32	163.95	164.11	164.99	164.79(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	45	16	1.98	59%	0.01	58.9	0.97%	0	0.7	55	INF
9	Jul_11_2017	157.6	162.06	164.1	164.14	163.86	164.21	164.83(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	10	53	38	2.2	59%	0.04	63.7	0.97%	0	0.8	66	INF
10	Jul_10_2017	157.53	161.67	164.12	164.14	163.82	163.23	163.77(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-30	-24	34	2.07	59%	0	67.7	0.97%	0	0.6	67	INF

11	Jul_7_2017	157.53	161.29	164.15	164.04	164.12	163.51	163.04(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-33	-20	-61	53	2.61	59%	0.01	71.8	0.97%	0	0.4	70	INF
12	Jul_6_2017	157.52	160.9	164.38	164.26	164.5	164.41	163.31(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	0	-27	105	2.57	59%	0.01	77.3	0.97%	0	0.6	65	INF
13	Jul_5_2017	157.51	160.44	164.37	164.71	164.68	164.72	165.73(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	0	20	161	2.83	64%	0.04	84	0.95%	0	1.2	68	INF
14	Jul_3_2017	157.45	159.75	163.66	164.06	164.54	164.59	164.34(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	10	3	150	1.4	64%	0.04	80.3	0.95%	0	1	67	INF
15	Jun_30_2017	157.38	159.17	162.98	164.23	164.31	164.64	163.8(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	20	3	159	2.7	64%	0.04	84.7	0.95%	0	1	65	INF

16	Jun_29_2017	157.31	158.55	162.12	164.28	164.44	164.49	164.14(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	63	10	27	169	2.49	64%	0.04	84.4	0.95%	0	1.1	67	INF
17	Jun_28_2017	157.24	157.79	161.34	164.51	164.32	163.99	165.55(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-20	-19	165	2.89	64%	0.06	84.2	0.95%	0	1.5	73	INF
18	Jun_27_2017	157.15	156.9	160.48	164	164.49	164.38	162.49(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	62	0	19	189	2.94	60%	0.04	81.7	0.93%	0	1	71	INF
19	Jun_26_2017	157.08	156.11	159.88	163.13	163.79	164.65	165.17(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	117	50	82	222	3.04	66%	0.05	79.5	0.9%	0	1.7	81	INF
20	Jun_23_2017	157	155.22	159.01	161.5	162.06	164.61	164.05(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	204	120	189	248	14.37	66%	0.1	72.5	0.9%	0	1.7	77	INF

21	Jun_22_2017	156.85	154.39	158.17	159.58	160	162.92	165.31(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	291	140	299	268	5.75	66%	0.1	62.9	0.9%	0	2.2	82	INF
22	Jun_21_2017	156.69	153.45	157.05	157.73	157.48	159.52	162.96(3.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	200	90	196	211	5.49	63%	0.1	56.4	0.89%	0	2.1	84	INF
23	Jun_20_2017	156.53	152.6	156.09	156.54	156.24	157.08	158.15(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	136	30	118	189	3.86	53%	0.08	47.6	0.82%	0	1.4	81	INF
24	Jun_19_2017	156.4	151.98	155.46	156.19	155.89	155.45	157.01(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	-30	-0	160	3.04	53%	0.06	38	0.82%	0	1.2	82	INF
25	Jun_16_2017	156.3	151.55	155.01	156.15	155.99	155.41	154.47(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-30	-59	112	5.89	27%		36.6	1.12%	0	0.7	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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