Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $153.0567 (-2.37%) ($152.3022 - $156.3168) on Tue. Oct. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $153.0567(-2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(30%)    IBB(12%)    GDXJ(11%)    XBI(9%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    SHY(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    PCY(-8%)    SLV(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $158.25
5 Day Moving Average   $155.42(-1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.63(-1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158.25(-3.28%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $89.752b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -2.01%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.71%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2016	152.9	158.25	155.63	155.42	155.61	155.58	153.06(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	0	-55	-137	2.76	45%	0.1	-27	1.02%	0	-1.7	27	0
2	Oct_10_2016	152.75	158.52	156.3	156.02	155.99	156.33	156.77(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	42	-98	1.63	49%	0.12	-25.7	0.98%	0	-0.6	34	0
3	Oct_7_2016	152.57	158.69	156.73	155.84	155.87	155.63	156.02(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10	8	-105	1.68	55%	0.12	-24	1.04%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Oct_6_2016	152.38	158.68	157.36	155.71	155.61	155.66	155.46(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	0	-18	-114	1.9	55%	0.11	-31.3	1.04%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Oct_5_2016	152.22	158.89	158.14	155.44	155.58	156.11	155.78(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	30	18	-97	1.95	55%	0.11	-34.3	1.05%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Oct_4_2016	152.05	159.07	158.75	155.9	155.66	155.57	156.07(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-5	-88	2.8	55%	0.09	-30.7	1.05%	0	-1.2	46	0
7	Oct_3_2016	151.91	159.24	159.3	156.66	156.39	155.04	155.87(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-70	-78	-92	2.51	55%	0.11	-24.2	1.05%	0	-1.3	48	0
8	Sep_30_2016	151.75	159.38	159.72	157.81	157.43	155.76	155.38(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-144	-80	-157	-103	4	59%	0.1	-16.2	1.07%	0	-1.6	41	0
9	Sep_29_2016	151.6	159.56	160.33	159.3	159.11	157.74	154.11(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-115	-60	-137	-48	3.8	59%	0.08	0	1.07%	0	-2.4	52	0
10	Sep_28_2016	151.48	159.81	161.08	161.2	160.92	159.11	158.08(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-76	-80	-105	10	3.3	67%	0.09	25.4	1.02%	0	-0.9	49	0

11	Sep_27_2016	151.34	159.81	161.18	161.97	161.88	160.49	159.87(-1.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-92	-60	-127	15	4.8	67%	0.11	30	1.05%	0	0	53	0
12	Sep_26_2016	151.17	159.87	161.01	162.29	162.49	162.72	161.64(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	10	-18	61	1.8	69%	0.14	28.3	1.06%	0	0.9	56	0
13	Sep_23_2016	150.96	159.78	160.87	161.89	162.38	163.26	162.82(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	50	66	89	2.24	63%	0.14	19.7	1.17%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Sep_22_2016	150.75	159.56	160.13	161.55	161.61	162.27	163.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	30	53	69	2.34	63%	0.15	5.5	1.18%	0	2.3	61	0
15	Sep_21_2016	150.52	159.31	159.66	160.99	161.04	161.49	161.93(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	20	43	59	2.52	63%	0.12	-14	1.17%	0	1.8	58	0

16	Sep_20_2016	150.34	159.3	159.34	160.3	160.55	160.95	161.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	20	41	45	2.61	63%	0.11	-21.1	1.18%	0	1.4	55	0
17	Sep_19_2016	150.18	159.32	159.08	159.54	159.85	160.59	159.63(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	40	31	27	2.23	63%	0.09	-34	1.18%	0	0.2	50	0
18	Sep_16_2016	150.04	159.41	158.93	159.67	159.3	160.16	161.1(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	76	41	4.03	60%	0.09	-26.7	1.19%	0	1	51	0
19	Sep_15_2016	149.9	159.47	158.65	158.47	158.53	159.12	160.81(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	30	51	10	2.93	60%	0.08	-35.4	1.19%	0	0.7	55	0
20	Sep_14_2016	149.78	159.52	158.38	158.16	157.77	158.45	158.48(0.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	12	20	19	-11	2.81	59%	0.06	-30.5	1.19%	0	-0.6	48	0

21	Sep_13_2016	149.69	159.62	158.43	158.25	157.83	157.94	157.7(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	20	-0	31	-14	3.16	59%	0.05	-27.4	1.19%	0	-1	38	0
22	Sep_12_2016	149.61	159.62	158.63	158.54	157.9	157.09	160.25(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-33	-50	-30	-42	4.45	61%	0.07	-16	1.18%	0	0.2	42	0
23	Sep_9_2016	149.51	159.86	158.59	158.12	158.21	157.73	155.13(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-66	-20	-64	-71	3.13	55%	0.03	-23.5	1.12%	0	-2.5	28	0
24	Sep_8_2016	149.47	160.11	158.98	158.78	158.66	158.72	159.25(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	0	7	-45	2.61	60%	0.07	-17.3	1.08%	0	-0.5	33	0
25	Sep_7_2016	149.37	160.09	158.96	158.61	158.52	158.69	158.93(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	10	2	-61	2.01	60%		-26.3	1.08%	0	-0.7	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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