Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $147.5495 (2.61%) ($143.9639 - $147.9495) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $147.5495(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(33%)    IBB(22%)    XBI(17%)    XLV(17%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    XLU(-6%)    SLV(-6%)    PCY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.49(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.21(3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.81(5.54%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $86.523b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.83% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.3%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	141.84	139.81	143.21	146.49	146.49	145.65	147.55(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-40	-12	84	3.22	39%	0.04	93.5	2.29%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Oct_30_2015	141.78	138.97	142.47	145.81	146.38	146.46	143.8(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	20	-9	83	4.59	39%	0.01	100	2.29%	0	0.9	58	0
3	Oct_29_2015	141.77	138.28	141.98	145.37	145.8	147.32	145.98(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	80	55	110	4.87	39%	0.04	96.4	2.29%	0	1.4	65	0
4	Oct_28_2015	141.72	137.36	141.23	143.87	143.98	146.3	147.88(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	120	90	115	4.88	43%	0.06	84.3	2.28%	0	1.8	68	0
5	Oct_27_2015	141.64	136.25	139.86	141.58	141.64	144.27	147.25(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	95	130	96	92	3.88	46%	0.04	65.4	2.35%	0	1.8	69	0

6	Oct_26_2015	141.58	134.98	138.52	139.48	139.48	141.65	144.16(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	110	74	72	4.35	46%	0.01	46.4	2.39%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Oct_23_2015	141.56	133.8	137.94	138.74	138.35	139.01	141.59(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	40	65	3.66	44%	-0.01	34.6	2.42%	0	1.3	66	0
8	Oct_22_2015	141.58	133.01	137.35	138.16	138.25	137.32	138.46(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-50	-11	52	4.08	44%	-0.03	25	2.4%	0	0.9	65	0
9	Oct_21_2015	141.62	132.59	137.13	138.21	138.51	137.68	136.44(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-40	-27	62	3.84	44%	-0.04	18.6	2.4%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Oct_20_2015	141.67	132.37	136.97	137.79	138.35	139.18	136.77(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	50	11	90	3.39	44%	-0.04	12.8	2.4%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Oct_19_2015	141.72	132.13	136.22	137.27	137.5	139.33	140.42(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	100	51	116	3.27	46%	-0.01	5.8	2.38%	0	1.5	79	0
12	Oct_16_2015	141.73	131.74	135.25	137.01	136.59	137.52	138.73(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	40	41	131	4.79	47%	-0.03	1.5	2.37%	0	1.3	80	0
13	Oct_15_2015	141.77	131.58	134.34	136.46	136.71	135.68	138.67(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-50	5	120	3.27	47%	-0.04	-3.2	2.38%	0	1.3	66	0
14	Oct_14_2015	141.83	131.55	133.23	135.98	136.58	135.65	134.37(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-30	-44	95	3.2	46%	-0.07	-5.5	2.35%	0	0.5	55	0
15	Oct_13_2015	141.93	131.66	132.43	136.02	136.55	137.73	134.16(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	48	70	26	113	4.14	46%	-0.06	-5.1	2.37%	0	0.5	51	0

16	Oct_12_2015	142.01	131.81	131.26	134.87	135.39	137.51	139.11(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	120	92	110	5.47	48%	-0.06	-12.6	2.33%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Oct_9_2015	142.1	131.65	129.38	133.19	132.68	135.36	135.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	130	70	59	3.08	49%	-0.09	-18.2	2.32%	0	0.8	51	0
18	Oct_8_2015	142.23	131.75	128.32	131.89	131.39	133.27	136.27(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	91	90	108	40	6.64	48%	-0.08	-21.5	2.32%	0	0.8	47	0
19	Oct_7_2015	142.35	131.84	127.61	130.14	129.42	130	134.59(4.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	23	10	39	-24	8	48%	-0.1	-29.4	2.33%	0	0.5	41	0
20	Oct_6_2015	142.49	131.93	127.27	128.37	128.1	129.51	128.38(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	70	35	-57	4.82	45%	-0.13	-34	2.25%	0	-0.6	37	0

21	Oct_5_2015	142.68	132.52	127.63	127.02	127.27	128.84	130.72(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	55	90	93	-61	4.37	45%	-0.12	-38.3	2.24%	0	-0.3	38	0
22	Oct_2_2015	142.85	132.67	127.83	124.92	125.01	126.69	129.51(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	100	43	-110	4.8	45%	-0.12	-53.8	2.26%	0	-0.5	38	0
23	Oct_1_2015	143.02	132.99	128.46	124.2	123.85	125.69	127.48(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	100	39	-126	4.68	45%	-0.12	-62.1	2.25%	0	-0.9	32	0
24	Sep_30_2015	143.19	133.54	129.61	124.8	124.54	123.33	125.74(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-70	1	-136	6.21	45%	-0.12	-61.4	2.25%	0	-1.3	29	0
25	Sep_29_2015	143.36	134	130.75	126.14	125.97	122.01	121.65(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-148	-220	-137	-181	6.25	40%		-57.6	2.21%	0	-2.2	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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