Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $139.1135 (2.3%) ($137.8408 - $141.0134) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $139.1135(2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(51%)    XHB(33%)    IBB(23%)    XBI(18%)    XLV(18%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    XLU(-6%)    SLV(-6%)    PCY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $134.87(3.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.26(5.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.81(5.54%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $81.576b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.97%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	142.01	131.81	131.26	134.87	135.39	137.51	139.11(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	120	92	110	5.47	48%	-0.06	-12.6	2.33%	0	1.3	56	INF
2	Oct_9_2015	142.1	131.65	129.38	133.19	132.68	135.36	135.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	130	70	59	3.08	49%	-0.09	-18.2	2.32%	0	0.8	51	INF
3	Oct_8_2015	142.23	131.75	128.32	131.89	131.39	133.27	136.27(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	91	90	108	40	6.64	48%	-0.08	-21.5	2.32%	0	0.8	47	INF
4	Oct_7_2015	142.35	131.84	127.61	130.14	129.42	130	134.59(4.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	23	10	39	-24	8	48%	-0.1	-29.4	2.33%	0	0.5	41	INF
5	Oct_6_2015	142.49	131.93	127.27	128.37	128.1	129.51	128.38(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	70	35	-57	4.82	45%	-0.13	-34	2.25%	0	-0.6	37	INF

6	Oct_5_2015	142.68	132.52	127.63	127.02	127.27	128.84	130.72(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	55	90	93	-61	4.37	45%	-0.12	-38.3	2.24%	0	-0.3	38	INF
7	Oct_2_2015	142.85	132.67	127.83	124.92	125.01	126.69	129.51(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	100	43	-110	4.8	45%	-0.12	-53.8	2.26%	0	-0.5	38	INF
8	Oct_1_2015	143.02	132.99	128.46	124.2	123.85	125.69	127.48(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	100	39	-126	4.68	45%	-0.12	-62.1	2.25%	0	-0.9	32	INF
9	Sep_30_2015	143.19	133.54	129.61	124.8	124.54	123.33	125.74(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-70	1	-136	6.21	45%	-0.12	-61.4	2.25%	0	-1.3	29	INF
10	Sep_29_2015	143.36	134	130.75	126.14	125.97	122.01	121.65(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-148	-220	-137	-181	6.25	40%	-0.17	-57.6	2.21%	0	-2.2	25	INF

11	Sep_28_2015	143.6	134.87	132.46	128.35	128.67	125.75	120.21(-4.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-147	-150	-142	-162	7.51	40%	-0.19	-51.8	2.26%	0	-3	19	INF
12	Sep_25_2015	143.87	136	134.28	131.05	131.06	129.92	125.93(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-60	-77	-105	5.24	43%	-0.11	-48.2	2.19%	0	-2.7	42	INF
13	Sep_24_2015	144.03	136.81	135.67	133.24	132.77	131.6	130.46(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-70	-50	-65	3.52	45%	-0.09	-46.7	2.15%	0	-2	44	INF
14	Sep_23_2015	144.16	137.31	136.58	135.13	134.41	132.2	132.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-130	-71	-52	2.79	45%	-0.08	-51.5	2.15%	0	-1.7	42	INF
15	Sep_22_2015	144.27	137.34	137.11	136.12	136.12	133.94	132.66(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-77	-110	-89	-42	4.52	45%	-0.1	-73.4	2.15%	0	-1.6	51	INF

16	Sep_21_2015	144.41	137.46	137.91	137.25	137.48	136.62	133.71(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-40	-51	-10	4.7	45%	-0.08	-98	2.15%	0	-1.4	46	INF
17	Sep_18_2015	144.52	137.83	138	137.96	137.99	138.3	136.9(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	20	-8	1	6.49	48%	-0.03	-111.2	2.14%	0	-0.3	44	INF
18	Sep_17_2015	144.57	138.27	137.92	138.44	138.26	138.34	139.91(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	0	19	6	3.52	50%	-0.04	-97.9	2.15%	0	0.5	47	INF
19	Sep_16_2015	144.63	138.77	137.74	138.3	138.07	137.69	137.43(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-20	-15	-11	4	50%	-0.06	-78.3	2.14%	0	-0.3	47	INF
20	Sep_15_2015	144.72	139.46	137.44	138.28	138.32	138.18	138.3(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10	-15	-8	2.56	50%	-0.06	-66	2.14%	0	-0.2	59	INF

21	Sep_14_2015	144.8	140.19	137.39	138.72	138.74	138.18	137.27(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10	2	11	2.9	50%	-0.1	-55.1	2.13%	0	-0.5	55	INF
22	Sep_11_2015	144.94	140.91	137.79	138	138.91	138.46	139.28(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-0	8	6	2.42	51%	-0.09	-56.7	2.13%	0	-0.2	48	INF
23	Sep_10_2015	145.07	141.55	137.96	137.27	137.75	139.03	139.21(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	80	-4	-16	3.48	51%	-0.09	-56.5	2.14%	0	-0.3	43	INF
24	Sep_9_2015	145.2	142.26	138.01	137.12	137.53	139.37	137.34(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	61	100	83	-4	2.99	51%	-0.1	-57.1	2.13%	0	-0.7	37	INF
25	Sep_8_2015	145.35	143	137.54	136.46	136.75	136.48	140.5(5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10	36	-67	4.51	53%		-61.4	2.12%	0	-0.3	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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