Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $155.3539 (0.13%) ($152.2050 - $156.0687) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $155.3539(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    IBB(27%)    XLV(22%)    XBI(21%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    VIXM(-7%)    GLD(-6%)    SLV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $152.02(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.35(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.98(6.42%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $91.1b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.21%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.47%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2015	145.09	145.98	150.35	152.02	152.66	154.92	155.35(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	88	120	69	144	4.04	59%	0.13	52.8	1.5%	0	1.6	78	INF
2	Jul_29_2015	144.9	145.19	149.53	150.65	150.35	154.61	155.15(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	187	190	183	197	5.11	59%	0.12	45.6	1.52%	0	1.8	80	INF
3	Jul_28_2015	144.73	144.35	148.5	149.34	148.65	150.41	156.3(4.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	191	70	188	201	8.55	59%	0.12	35.4	1.52%	0	2.4	80	INF
4	Jul_27_2015	144.56	143.36	147.23	147.7	147.07	146.09	149.79(4.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-60	-33	108	5.76	50%	0.07	20.8	1.42%	0	1.5	67	INF
5	Jul_24_2015	144.46	143.36	146.38	147.49	147.41	146.89	143.5(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-26	-30	-68	101	4.41	44%	0	17.9	1.37%	0	0.1	60	INF

6	Jul_23_2015	144.46	142.98	146.07	148.33	148.24	148.04	148.49(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	-10	15	162	1.72	49%	0.04	22.4	1.31%	0	1.3	75	INF
7	Jul_22_2015	144.4	142.75	144.97	148.14	147.86	147.94	148.62(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-0	-9	143	2.11	49%	0.03	27.1	1.31%	0	1.5	69	INF
8	Jul_21_2015	144.35	142.58	143.92	147.45	147.73	148.43	148.12(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	40	49	154	2.69	51%	0.03	28.8	1.31%	0	1.5	71	INF
9	Jul_20_2015	144.3	142.45	143.14	146.66	147	147.79	148.7(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	40	76	162	2.69	53%	0.05	30.7	1.33%	0	1.7	75	INF
10	Jul_17_2015	144.23	142.24	142.21	145.11	145.61	147.04	147.74(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	80	84	130	3.25	50%	0.03	25.5	1.34%	0	1.6	56	INF

11	Jul_16_2015	144.19	142.05	141.27	143.45	144.03	146.2	147.53(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	132	120	139	109	2.49	50%	0.04	15.8	1.36%	0	1.6	54	INF
12	Jul_15_2015	144.13	141.69	140.47	141.33	142.08	144.18	145.18(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	124	120	145	62	2.62	50%	0.02	-1.8	1.35%	0	1.1	49	INF
13	Jul_14_2015	144.1	141.48	139.8	139.85	140.14	141.86	144.16(2.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	74	90	100	-3	3.62	50%	0.01	-13.7	1.36%	0	0.9	44	INF
14	Jul_13_2015	144.08	141.32	139.07	139.14	139.09	139.98	140.94(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	35	40	66	-59	1.8	47%	-0.01	-21.2	1.33%	0	-0.1	36	INF
15	Jul_10_2015	144.09	141.34	139.22	138.91	138.87	138.42	139.44(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-20	11	-93	3.98	47%	-0.01	-25	1.33%	0	-0.6	37	INF

16	Jul_9_2015	144.1	141.52	139.59	138.76	138.84	138.2	136.91(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-79	-30	-61	-132	4.15	45%	-0.03	-27.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	32	INF
17	Jul_8_2015	144.14	141.75	140.35	139.43	139.31	139.32	137.82(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-0	-16	-93	2.39	48%	-0.01	-25	1.31%	0	-1.4	46	INF
18	Jul_7_2015	144.15	141.89	141.18	139.65	139.64	139.47	140.6(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10	22	-61	2.25	50%	-0.02	-26.8	1.32%	0	-0.5	50	INF
19	Jul_6_2015	144.18	141.95	141.75	138.96	139.3	139.3	139.8(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-42	10	-30	-79	2.77	50%	0.06	-35.2	1.32%	0	-0.8	48	INF
20	Jul_2_2015	144.1	142.09	142.3	139.6	139.47	139.81	138.68(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	10	-14	-51	2.12	50%	0	-28	1.32%	0	-1.4	46	INF

21	Jul_1_2015	144.1	142.32	142.94	140.59	140.46	139.3	140.24(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-60	-28	-34	2.3	48%	0.02	-16.9	1.32%	0	-0.9	45	INF
22	Jun_30_2015	144.07	142.43	143.06	141.48	141.55	139.13	138.91(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-124	-120	-144	-65	3.89	45%	0.03	-12.9	1.36%	0	-1.5	48	INF
23	Jun_29_2015	144.02	142.59	143.38	142.96	143.25	141.62	137.18(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-120	-70	-147	-37	4.78	45%	0.01	0.6	1.35%	0	-2.5	47	INF
24	Jun_26_2015	144	142.86	143.88	144.88	145.07	143.97	142.98(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-50	-60	35	3.54	50%	0.03	15.5	1.27%	0	0.1	55	INF
25	Jun_25_2015	143.95	142.79	143.74	145.37	145.86	144.89	143.65(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-34	-40	-59	43	2.41	46%		6.2	1.27%	0	0.5	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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