Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $140.2663 (1%) ($138.3394 - $140.6715) on Wed. Feb. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $140.2663(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    IBB(29%)    XLV(24%)    XBI(23%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    SLV(-5%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $138.63(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.43(2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.6(1.2%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $82.252b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.81%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2015	139.3	138.6	137.43	138.63	138.47	139.06	140.27(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	42	35	3.3	51%	0.11	-6.9	1.64%	0	0.6	53	INF
2	Feb_17_2015	139.15	138.62	137.01	138.05	138.13	138.07	138.88(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-0	25	5	3.9	51%	0.2	-11	1.66%	0	0.1	39	INF
3	Feb_13_2015	138.87	138.75	136.77	137.14	137.52	137.88	138.2(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	8	-30	3.59	49%	0.1	-16.2	1.66%	0	-0.2	36	INF
4	Feb_12_2015	138.73	138.67	136.57	136.63	136.78	138.2	137.93(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	80	38	-42	2.94	49%	0.08	-29.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	35	INF
5	Feb_11_2015	138.62	138.72	136.73	136.51	136.44	137.16	137.86(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	40	64	-41	4	49%	0.09	-34.7	1.67%	0	-0.3	36	INF

6	Feb_10_2015	138.49	138.78	136.77	136.07	136.07	135.36	137.38(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-40	-3	-81	4.11	51%	0.08	-36.3	1.67%	0	-0.5	41	INF
7	Feb_9_2015	138.38	138.91	137.2	135.86	135.74	135.71	134.36(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	-0	-44	-100	3.24	49%	0.04	-41.5	1.66%	0	-1.6	32	INF
8	Feb_6_2015	138.32	139.19	138.05	136.31	136.17	136.77	135.6(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	8	30	31	-62	3.24	49%	0.07	-47	1.66%	0	-1.4	33	INF
9	Feb_5_2015	138.23	139.49	138.78	136.46	136.06	135.77	137.36(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-20	-4	-59	3.56	49%	0.09	-50.6	1.66%	0	-0.9	56	INF
10	Feb_4_2015	138.11	139.71	139.32	137	136.38	135.56	135.65(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-60	-49	-62	5.83	49%	0.09	-49.1	1.65%	0	-1.7	45	INF

11	Feb_3_2015	137.99	139.81	139.88	137.58	137.48	136.35	136.35(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-60	-56	-53	4.3	49%	0.1	-61.9	1.65%	0	-1.5	47	INF
12	Feb_2_2015	137.85	140.08	140.4	138.77	138.59	137.2	136.59(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-70	-82	-43	3.83	49%	0.1	-61	1.65%	0	-1.6	45	INF
13	Jan_30_2015	137.71	140.41	140.96	140.06	140.11	138.61	136.37(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-60	-70	-75	-16	5.32	51%	0.09	-47.7	1.66%	0	-1.9	46	INF
14	Jan_29_2015	137.59	140.74	141.04	141.42	141.36	139.98	140.06(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-70	-71	-6	3.44	53%	0.12	-30.6	1.64%	0	-0.3	48	INF
15	Jan_28_2015	137.42	140.92	140.96	141.99	142.25	141.61	138.51(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-30	-30	-42	7	4.93	58%	0.12	-29.9	1.64%	0	-1.2	43	INF

16	Jan_27_2015	137.26	141.27	141.05	142.48	142.44	142.74	142.31(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	10	7	37	2.88	61%	0.14	-36.9	1.77%	0	0.5	64	INF
17	Jan_26_2015	137.07	141.45	140.81	142.25	141.87	142.9	143.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	30	40	3.15	61%	0.15	-45.2	1.77%	0	0.7	52	INF
18	Jan_23_2015	136.86	141.47	140.43	142.02	141.47	142.13	143.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	20	63	42	2.25	63%	0.15	-48.1	1.77%	0	0.6	49	INF
19	Jan_22_2015	136.66	141.36	140.2	140.6	140.54	140.85	142.92(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	10	21	4	3.78	63%	0.15	-65.6	1.8%	0	0.6	50	INF
20	Jan_21_2015	136.46	141.54	140.03	139.81	139.74	140.8	140.96(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	50	29	-8	2.8	66%	0.13	-65.6	1.79%	0	-0.2	44	INF

21	Jan_20_2015	136.28	142.06	140.03	139.41	139.16	140.23	141.16(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	29	50	46	-24	3.66	68%	0.13	-62.2	1.88%	0	-0.3	41	INF
22	Jan_16_2015	136.1	142.51	139.65	139.16	139.01	138.68	141.9(4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-20	15	-49	3.51	69%	0.13	-44.2	1.91%	0	-0.2	41	INF
23	Jan_15_2015	135.92	142.72	139.71	138.68	139.24	138.1	136.07(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-50	-51	-86	2.9	67%	0.1	-44.6	1.85%	0	-1.6	35	INF
24	Jan_14_2015	135.78	143.1	140.39	139.71	139.83	139.34	138.97(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-20	-50	-71	3.43	69%	0.13	-50.4	1.83%	0	-1	47	INF
25	Jan_13_2015	135.61	143.32	140.87	140.26	140.89	140.38	138.95(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10	9	-49	4.57	66%		-60.7	1.84%	0	-1.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.