Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $124.9791 (2.97%) ($120.8301 - $125.2512) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $124.9791(2.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    XLV(27%)    XBI(25%)    QQQ(15%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    GLD(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.14(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.72(0.21%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $73.288b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2014	113.18	124.72	124	123.14	123.03	122.48	124.98(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-22	-30	-6	-69	3.63	72%	0.23	-9.7	1.34%	0	0.2	46	INF
2	Oct_7_2014	112.92	124.68	124.16	122.92	123.08	122.67	121.37(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-20	-60	-94	2.68	65%	0.2	-11.5	1.29%	0	-1.9	41	INF
3	Oct_6_2014	112.7	124.78	124.59	123.71	123.72	123.58	122.78(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10	-12	-55	3.19	65%	0.21	0	1.32%	0	-1.3	48	INF
4	Oct_3_2014	112.46	124.86	125	124.15	124.17	123.48	124.16(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-40	-26	-41	3.43	66%	0.24	8	1.32%	0	-0.4	55	INF
5	Oct_2_2014	112.19	124.82	125.41	124.49	124.51	123.85	122.42(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-40	-56	-29	3.06	65%	0.21	11.8	1.32%	0	-1.5	51	INF

6	Oct_1_2014	111.96	124.82	125.87	124.96	125.01	124.87	123.86(-1.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-10	-27	2	3.76	67%	0.23	21.1	1.31%	0	-0.7	51	INF
7	Sep_30_2014	111.7	124.88	126.07	125.57	125.35	125.17	125.33(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-5	28	2.65	67%	0.24	35.2	1.31%	0	0.3	55	INF
8	Sep_29_2014	111.43	124.77	125.99	125.61	125.58	125.15	124.98(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-20	-25	27	2.22	67%	0.25	44.1	1.31%	0	0.1	59	INF
9	Sep_26_2014	111.15	124.74	125.85	125.99	125.84	125.54	125.86(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-20	-37	27	2.3	67%	0.25	68.5	1.31%	0	0.7	55	INF
10	Sep_25_2014	110.87	124.64	125.59	126.52	126.36	126.02	124.78(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-20	-21	46	2.68	67%	0.24	94.5	1.31%	0	0.1	56	INF

11	Sep_24_2014	110.61	124.55	125.53	126.9	126.89	126.14	126.92(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-40	-18	60	3.23	70%	0.25	113.1	1.28%	0	1.5	62	INF
12	Sep_23_2014	110.33	124.33	125.26	126.63	126.86	126.71	125.52(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-0	-27	54	2.32	67%	0.24	124.6	1.28%	0	0.8	57	INF
13	Sep_22_2014	110.07	124.08	124.99	126.39	126.6	127.63	126.86(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	60	56	82	3.09	67%	0.26	112	1.29%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Sep_19_2014	109.79	123.67	124.71	125.64	125.63	127.01	128.49(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	94	80	98	83	6.7	69%	0.27	88.3	1.31%	0	2.4	63	INF
15	Sep_18_2014	109.49	123.16	124.13	124.55	124.33	125.58	126.72(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	68	70	74	49	2.16	68%	0.27	75.9	1.3%	0	1.8	60	INF

16	Sep_17_2014	109.2	122.75	123.75	124	123.62	124.25	125.55(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	30	56	32	3.94	68%	0.25	76.8	1.3%	0	1.4	60	INF
17	Sep_16_2014	108.93	122.41	123.54	123.73	123.28	123.09	124.32(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-20	8	11	2.4	68%	0.24	85.5	1.3%	0	0.9	59	INF
18	Sep_15_2014	108.67	122.14	123.41	123.38	123.3	122.99	123.11(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-20	-23	1	2.18	68%	0.23	91.1	1.3%	0	0.4	64	INF
19	Sep_12_2014	108.42	121.92	123.53	123.38	123.39	123.46	123.03(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-0	-9	31	2.33	68%	0.21	102.1	1.3%	0	0.5	69	INF
20	Sep_11_2014	108.19	121.67	123.61	123.61	123.51	123.62	123.99(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	0	20	63	3.62	68%	0.23	109	1.29%	0	0.9	74	INF

21	Sep_10_2014	107.94	121.18	123.51	123.44	123.24	123.32	124.19(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-0	-2	68	2.33	68%	0.18	91.3	1.3%	0	1	74	INF
22	Sep_9_2014	107.75	120.63	123.34	123.33	123.26	123.4	122.59(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	10	6	84	3.12	67%	0.19	79.1	1.29%	0	0.6	69	INF
23	Sep_8_2014	107.55	120.18	123.14	123.44	123.32	123.17	124.27(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-10	1	91	2.51	69%	0.16	72.1	1.29%	0	1.1	77	INF
24	Sep_5_2014	107.38	119.62	122.6	123.46	123.35	123.11	123.03(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-25	84	3.36	69%	0.21	71.1	1.29%	0	0.9	75	INF
25	Sep_4_2014	107.16	119.07	122.16	123.6	123.73	123.48	123.14(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10	-2	100	2.98	71%		66.9	1.3%	0	1	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.