Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $123.7477 (0.62%) ($122.4987 - $124.3634) on Thu. Aug. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $123.7477(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    XLV(27%)    XBI(25%)    QQQ(15%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    GLD(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $121.6(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.18(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.94(5.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $72.566b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(61%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(57%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2014	106.16	116.94	120.18	121.6	121.86	123.14	123.75(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	80	77	182	3.9	71%	0.17	70.9	1.29%	0	1.8	92	INF
2	Aug_27_2014	105.98	116.39	119.55	120.5	120.68	122.22	122.98(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	125	90	102	193	2.69	71%	0.18	75.8	1.29%	0	1.9	93	INF
3	Aug_26_2014	105.79	115.97	118.63	119.58	119.53	120.59	122.48(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	107	60	85	173	3.89	71%	0.17	80.5	1.29%	0	1.9	83	INF
4	Aug_25_2014	105.61	115.32	117.66	118.82	118.7	119.14	120.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	20	36	136	3	69%	0.14	80	1.29%	0	1.5	75	INF
5	Aug_22_2014	105.46	114.75	116.95	118.82	118.44	118.47	118.51(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-0	7	118	2.02	68%	0.09	83.2	1.28%	0	1.1	67	INF

6	Aug_21_2014	105.37	114.29	116.39	118.54	118.51	118.26	118.25(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-20	-3	121	1.77	68%	0.08	87.8	1.29%	0	1.2	74	INF
7	Aug_20_2014	105.29	113.81	115.75	118.42	118.45	118.41	118.39(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-0	19	125	1.75	68%	0.07	95	1.29%	0	1.3	66	INF
8	Aug_19_2014	105.22	113.31	115.19	117.46	117.59	118.76	118.69(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	70	57	111	1.88	68%	0.1	92.7	1.29%	0	1.6	57	INF
9	Aug_18_2014	105.12	112.75	114.65	116.27	116.26	118.49	118.87(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	132	130	132	130	3.16	68%	0.11	86.8	1.29%	0	1.8	70	INF
10	Aug_15_2014	105	112.09	114.14	115.11	114.7	116.42	118.49(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	134	90	136	126	4.35	68%	0.1	78.7	1.3%	0	1.8	70	INF

11	Aug_14_2014	104.89	111.41	113.41	113.95	113.46	114.04	117.65(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	20	72	84	6.41	68%	0.11	64.8	1.32%	0	1.7	69	INF
12	Aug_13_2014	104.77	110.66	112.91	112.76	112.79	112.97	113.62(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	9	51	2.53	64%	0.07	53.8	1.26%	0	0.8	64	INF
13	Aug_12_2014	104.7	110.22	113.06	112.6	112.62	112.89	112.71(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	20	5	75	2.32	64%	0.06	48.5	1.26%	0	0.7	64	INF
14	Aug_11_2014	104.64	109.79	112.78	112.77	112.76	112.61	113.06(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10	5	89	2.53	64%	0.04	46.8	1.26%	0	0.9	66	INF
15	Aug_8_2014	104.6	109.42	112.4	113.01	112.83	112.36	112.73(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-30	-30	96	2.21	64%	0.01	48.4	1.26%	0	0.9	70	INF

16	Aug_7_2014	104.59	109.1	112.06	112.76	113.32	112.91	111.66(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10	-14	113	3.07	64%	0	43.8	1.28%	0	0.7	70	INF
17	Aug_6_2014	104.59	108.8	111.79	113.05	113.11	113.29	112.85(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	10	-28	143	2.58	64%	0	44.5	1.27%	0	1.1	77	INF
18	Aug_5_2014	104.59	108.45	111.35	113.57	113.25	113.73	113.56(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	76	20	34	201	3.75	64%	0.04	49.8	1.27%	0	1.4	71	INF
19	Aug_4_2014	104.55	108.08	110.76	112.76	113.66	112.92	114.24(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	-20	49	207	6.4	64%	0.07	48.1	1.27%	0	1.8	74	INF
20	Aug_1_2014	104.48	107.67	109.91	111.69	112.49	112.77	111.49(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	40	-40	154	4.54	61%	0.07	44.8	1.24%	0	1.2	63	INF

21	Jul_31_2014	104.41	107.52	109.29	111.21	111.73	114.4	113.12(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	153	180	133	211	4.84	64%	0.09	47.5	1.23%	0	1.9	65	INF
22	Jul_30_2014	104.32	107.2	108.25	110.3	110.46	112.22	115.45(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	199	120	196	206	8.47	70%	0.12	45.8	1.2%	0	3.1	72	INF
23	Jul_29_2014	104.2	106.73	107.1	108.88	108.77	109.05	109.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	10	34	117	3.99	61%	0.05	48.3	1%	0	1.5	60	INF
24	Jul_28_2014	104.15	106.5	106.53	108.49	108.46	108.71	108.91(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	37	94	2.43	61%	0.05	43.4	1%	0	1.4	57	INF
25	Jul_25_2014	104.1	106.31	106.18	107.85	107.98	108.5	109.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	40	57	77	3.03	61%		28.8	1%	0	1.6	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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