Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $113.5557 (-0.6%) ($112.4369 - $114.5503) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $113.5557(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(52%)    XHB(34%)    XLV(27%)    XBI(25%)    QQQ(16%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    GLD(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    SLV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.57(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.35(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.45(4.71%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $66.589b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.16%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2014	104.59	108.45	111.35	113.57	113.25	113.73	113.56(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	76	20	34	201	3.75	64%	0.04	49.8	1.27%	0	1.4	71	INF
2	Aug_4_2014	104.55	108.08	110.76	112.76	113.66	112.92	114.24(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	-20	49	207	6.4	64%	0.07	48.1	1.27%	0	1.8	74	INF
3	Aug_1_2014	104.48	107.67	109.91	111.69	112.49	112.77	111.49(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	40	-40	154	4.54	61%	0.07	44.8	1.24%	0	1.2	63	INF
4	Jul_31_2014	104.41	107.52	109.29	111.21	111.73	114.4	113.12(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	153	180	133	211	4.84	64%	0.09	47.5	1.23%	0	1.9	65	INF
5	Jul_30_2014	104.32	107.2	108.25	110.3	110.46	112.22	115.45(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	199	120	196	206	8.47	70%	0.12	45.8	1.2%	0	3.1	72	INF

6	Jul_29_2014	104.2	106.73	107.1	108.88	108.77	109.05	109.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	10	34	117	3.99	61%	0.05	48.3	1%	0	1.5	60	INF
7	Jul_28_2014	104.15	106.5	106.53	108.49	108.46	108.71	108.91(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	37	94	2.43	61%	0.05	43.4	1%	0	1.4	57	INF
8	Jul_25_2014	104.1	106.31	106.18	107.85	107.98	108.5	109.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	40	57	77	3.03	61%	0.06	28.8	1%	0	1.6	57	INF
9	Jul_24_2014	104.04	106.13	105.87	107.04	107.08	108.21	108.57(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	70	90	51	3.22	61%	0.05	20.1	1.04%	0	1.5	46	INF
10	Jul_23_2014	103.99	105.99	105.54	105.82	105.97	107.46	108.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	96	100	122	18	3.53	49%	0.05	4.3	1.04%	0	1.6	51	INF

11	Jul_22_2014	103.94	105.84	105.28	105.06	104.73	105.95	107.54(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	63	70	89	-14	2.81	52%	0.04	-3.1	1.22%	0	1.2	51	INF
12	Jul_21_2014	103.9	105.74	105.14	104.3	104.08	104.47	105.7(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	20	41	-48	3.08	49%	0.02	-10.4	1.22%	0	-0	53	INF
13	Jul_18_2014	103.88	105.82	105.22	104.29	104	103.51	105.05(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-38	-40	-27	-70	3.48	49%	0.01	3.9	1.23%	0	-0.6	50	INF
14	Jul_17_2014	103.87	105.81	105.59	104.55	104.63	103.69	102.46(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-66	-60	-65	-68	2.69	43%	-0.02	13.8	1.2%	0	-2.4	40	INF
15	Jul_16_2014	103.89	105.93	106.11	105.19	105.5	104.48	104.52(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-59	-44	4.09	47%	0.01	35.4	1.18%	0	-1.2	45	INF

16	Jul_15_2014	103.88	105.89	106.36	105.52	105.79	105.57	103.77(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-10	-60	-30	3.96	47%	0	37.1	1.17%	0	-1.6	45	INF
17	Jul_14_2014	103.88	105.88	106.54	106.07	106.23	106.51	105.65(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	20	17	13	2.15	52%	0.02	46.5	1.16%	0	-0.2	51	INF
18	Jul_11_2014	103.86	105.77	106.52	106.28	106.26	106.01	106.35(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-20	-13	-3	2.73	52%	0.03	41.5	1.17%	0	0.4	45	INF
19	Jul_10_2014	103.83	105.62	106.48	106.82	106.54	105.95	105.63(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-50	-48	3	2.64	41%	0.02	45.7	1.19%	0	0	55	INF
20	Jul_9_2014	103.81	105.51	106.53	107.19	107.26	106.51	106.18(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-15	-50	-28	24	2.65	41%	0.03	43.9	1.35%	0	0.4	59	INF

21	Jul_8_2014	103.78	105.41	106.48	107.32	107.41	107.13	106.52(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-20	-27	37	2.46	41%	0.04	45.9	1.36%	0	0.7	64	INF
22	Jul_7_2014	103.74	105.25	106.41	107.04	107.37	108	106.7(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	50	28	63	3.08	41%	0.04	40.7	1.37%	0	0.8	65	INF
23	Jul_3_2014	103.7	105.14	106.47	106.76	106.79	107.69	109.09(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	64	60	57	84	1.96	38%	0.07	42.9	1.42%	0	2.4	76	INF
24	Jul_2_2014	103.63	104.89	106.01	106.1	106.08	106.74	107.47(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	40	40	69	1.45	34%	0.05	42.4	1.42%	0	1.9	71	INF
25	Jul_1_2014	103.58	104.79	105.69	105.82	105.76	105.89	106.83(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	10	23	61	2.08	40%		52.5	1.42%	0	1.6	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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