Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $56.1430 (5.21%) ($54.3121 - $56.3193) on Wed. Jan. 17, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $56.1430(5.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(60%)    XHB(53%)    GDXJ(21%)    ARKK(6%)    KWEB(6%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    EMHY(-12%)    XLU(-11%)    INDA(-10%)    XLP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.22(5.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.42(5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.33(7.29%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $50.529b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.8%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.16%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2018	51.35	52.33	53.42	53.22	53.32	54.44	56.14(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	150	58	92	17.92	45%	0.27	46.1	2.01%	0	2.4	75	0
2	Jan_16_2018	51.21	52.08	52.98	52.74	52.59	52.93	53.36(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	40	11	69	14.38	42%	0.39	50.4	1.9%	0	1	61	0
3	Jan_12_2018	51.01	51.92	52.68	53.02	52.74	52.21	52.33(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-90	-14	66	9.07	40%	0.2	56.9	1.89%	0	0.3	59	0
4	Jan_11_2018	50.91	51.8	52.53	53.24	53.27	52.25	52.09(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-130	-37	58	10.69	40%	0.18	59	1.89%	0	0.2	50	0
5	Jan_10_2018	50.82	51.67	52.41	53.45	53.61	53.28	52.19(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-30	-33	62	14.54	40%	0.18	61.8	1.9%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Jan_9_2018	50.73	51.59	52.21	53.59	53.83	54.29	53.71(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	70	23	79	13.56	42%	0.24	67	1.86%	0	1.4	56	0
7	Jan_8_2018	50.61	51.42	51.93	53.23	53.45	53.94	54.75(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	80	48	76	12.66	44%	0.24	62.5	1.85%	0	2.4	64	0
8	Jan_5_2018	50.49	51.22	51.51	52.29	52.63	53.37	53.46(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	120	35	41	10.9	41%	0.24	50.4	1.84%	0	1.9	66	0
9	Jan_4_2018	50.37	51.04	51.35	51.73	51.87	52.96	53.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	160	50	42	9.46	41%	0.2	33.8	1.84%	0	2	67	0
10	Jan_3_2018	50.27	50.83	51.19	51.22	51.23	51.89	52.85(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	49	90	52	39	10.9	41%	0.2	-11.4	1.84%	0	2.1	67	0

11	Jan_2_2018	50.17	50.63	51.1	50.64	50.67	50.78	51.93(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	20	15	14	9.82	41%	0.36	-63.3	1.82%	0	1.4	56	0
12	Dec_29_2017	49.99	50.56	51.04	50.45	50.37	50.57	50.05(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	20	-5	6	6.97	40%	0.18	-94.6	1.76%	0	-0.5	50	0
13	Dec_28_2017	49.9	50.64	51.08	50.6	50.46	50.56	50.64(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	10	1	8	5.63	44%	0.16	-111.1	1.79%	0	0	47	0
14	Dec_27_2017	49.82	50.69	51.01	50.91	50.64	50.17	50.6(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-80	-19	10	5.96	51%	0.16	-124.4	1.85%	0	-0.1	55	0
15	Dec_26_2017	49.74	50.94	50.91	51.16	51.17	50.36	49.98(-1.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-22	-110	-34	13	7.39	51%	0.3	-77.3	2%	0	-0.6	57	0

16	Dec_22_2017	49.59	51.21	50.98	51.62	51.63	51.1	50.97(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-70	-29	41	8.09	48%	0.2	-49.5	2.01%	0	-0.1	63	0
17	Dec_21_2017	49.49	51.47	50.92	51.71	51.97	51.99	50.81(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	20	-0	55	9.53	48%	0.18	-47.5	2.02%	0	-0.3	50	0
18	Dec_20_2017	49.4	51.73	50.96	51.6	51.84	52.16	52.18(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	60	24	60	9.95	49%	0.18	-41.1	1.99%	0	0.2	51	0
19	Dec_19_2017	49.31	51.96	50.73	51.1	51.24	51.95	51.85(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	110	28	35	10.92	49%	0.18	-38.5	2.01%	0	-0	49	0
20	Dec_18_2017	49.22	52.17	50.45	50.62	50.73	51.53	52.29(1.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	27	120	40	-13	13.3	50%	0.16	-40.6	2%	0	0	35	0

21	Dec_15_2017	49.14	52.3	50.09	50.27	50.19	50.53	51.44(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	40	21	-70	14.58	50%	0.14	-42.9	2.01%	0	-0.3	34	0
22	Dec_14_2017	49.07	52.54	50	50.05	50.08	49.92	50.24(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-20	-6	-120	8.94	50%	0.08	-40.4	1.99%	0	-0.7	27	0
23	Dec_13_2017	49.03	52.75	50.13	50.24	50.37	49.85	49.7(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-15	-143	13.86	50%	0.08	-41.1	2%	0	-1	26	0
24	Dec_12_2017	48.99	53.03	50.33	50.29	50.66	50.24	49.42(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-40	-12	-170	9.55	50%	0.08	-42	2%	0	-1.2	22	0
25	Dec_11_2017	48.95	53.36	50.95	50.22	50.48	50.89	50.54(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	70	9	-169	9.74	54%		-43.3	1.98%	0	-1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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