Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $29.1599 (1.93%) ($28.6860 - $29.2179) on Fri. Sep. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $29.1599(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    BOTZ(53%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(19%)    ARKK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    XLU(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    XLP(-7%)    SPLV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.72(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.97(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.86(1.04%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $26.244b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2016	25.34	28.86	28.97	28.72	28.71	28.78	29.16(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	20	10	-2	13.21	79%	0.4	-20.1	1.46%	0	0.8	58	INF
2	Sep_29_2016	25.24	28.87	28.96	28.62	28.59	28.69	28.61(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	20	-7	-2	11.53	80%	0.4	-20.1	1.45%	0	-0.7	62	INF
3	Sep_28_2016	25.14	28.88	29.01	28.76	28.69	28.64	28.76(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-20	-6	14	14.03	82%	0.4	-9.4	1.48%	0	-0.3	50	INF
4	Sep_27_2016	25.04	28.89	28.99	28.92	28.89	28.49	28.67(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-100	-20	15	17.38	72%	0.36	2.2	1.51%	0	-0.5	48	INF
5	Sep_26_2016	24.95	28.91	28.98	29.07	29.12	28.74	28.39(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-18	-90	-29	14	12.61	72%	0.4	23.7	1.61%	0	-1.3	44	INF

6	Sep_23_2016	24.85	28.91	29.01	29.25	29.37	29.29	28.69(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-0	-10	-10	29	13.97	64%	0.4	43.5	1.75%	0	-0.7	47	INF
7	Sep_22_2016	24.75	28.95	28.95	29.32	29.48	29.49	29.3(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	20	4	25	15.66	67%	0.41	73.3	1.74%	0	0.9	49	INF
8	Sep_21_2016	24.65	28.92	28.9	29.3	29.38	29.45	29.57(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	20	11	26	21.29	67%	0.45	103.9	1.73%	0	1.8	58	INF
9	Sep_20_2016	24.54	28.89	28.82	29.08	29.26	29.46	29.39(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	70	17	13	13.18	67%	0.41	132.2	1.73%	0	1.5	54	INF
10	Sep_19_2016	24.44	28.82	28.77	28.88	29	29.32	29.31(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	14	90	18	-0	13.66	67%	0.41	132	1.73%	0	1.4	52	INF

11	Sep_16_2016	24.34	28.78	28.74	28.74	28.73	29.06	29.06(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	80	25	-7	16.25	67%	0.37	161.9	1.74%	0	0.8	51	INF
12	Sep_15_2016	24.25	28.67	28.75	28.51	28.48	28.68	29.16(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	50	14	-20	15.58	67%	0.37	93	1.74%	0	0.9	56	INF
13	Sep_14_2016	24.16	28.54	28.72	28.44	28.3	28.4	28.46(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	10	-2	-30	12.26	65%	0.33	74.1	1.72%	0	-0.1	48	INF
14	Sep_13_2016	24.08	28.44	28.77	28.54	28.4	28.28	28.42(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-40	-5	-25	13.01	65%	0.33	67.7	1.73%	0	-0	43	INF
15	Sep_12_2016	24	28.35	28.84	28.65	28.56	28.19	28.62(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-100	-17	-12	16.27	65%	0.38	68	1.72%	0	0.3	59	INF

16	Sep_9_2016	23.91	28.24	28.88	28.74	28.77	28.52	27.91(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-60	-27	-6	14.68	63%	0.34	66.8	1.72%	0	-0.3	45	INF
17	Sep_8_2016	23.83	28.15	28.97	29.01	29.01	28.93	28.81(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-20	-5	45	8.17	69%	0.38	69.3	1.66%	0	0.5	74	INF
18	Sep_7_2016	23.74	28	28.96	29.02	29.08	29.03	28.93(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-2	77	11.25	69%	0.34	65.4	1.66%	0	0.7	77	INF
19	Sep_6_2016	23.66	27.84	28.97	29.04	29.08	29.1	29(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	20	-1	112	14.69	69%	0.51	66.1	1.66%	0	0.8	78	INF
20	Sep_2_2016	23.54	27.69	28.88	29.05	29.03	29.13	29.03(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	20	6	139	11.53	69%	0.34	67.3	1.66%	0	0.9	75	INF

21	Sep_1_2016	23.46	27.53	28.84	29.04	28.98	28.96	29.3(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10	7	172	10.71	69%	0.39	67.9	1.65%	0	1.2	79	INF
22	Aug_31_2016	23.37	27.34	28.59	28.92	28.94	28.93	28.86(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	43	-0	-1	176	10.6	69%	0.39	65.5	1.64%	0	1	79	INF
23	Aug_30_2016	23.28	27.16	28.36	28.89	28.92	29.01	29.01(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	20	3	192	12.07	69%	0.39	63	1.64%	0	1.3	83	INF
24	Aug_29_2016	23.19	26.96	28.09	28.88	28.87	28.95	29.06(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	61	20	13	206	9.8	69%	0.39	62.3	1.65%	0	1.5	77	INF
25	Aug_26_2016	23.1	26.77	27.84	28.69	28.79	28.83	28.99(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	20	8	200	12.18	72%		60.7	1.68%	0	1.6	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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