Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $20.0995 (-0.92%) ($20.0084 - $20.3826) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $20.0995(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(17%)    SMH(10%)    ARKK(9%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    UUP(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    XLP(-6%)    SPLV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $20.18
5 Day Moving Average   $20.4(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.33(-1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.18(-0.4%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   34.6%
Market Cap   $18.09b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	17.98	20.18	20.33	20.4	20.38	20.23	20.1(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-50	-10	10	8.93	60%	0.11	50	1.99%	0	-0.2	40	INF
2	Apr_20_2016	17.96	20.15	20.32	20.51	20.48	20.37	20.29(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-40	-6	15	13.62	60%	0.11	56.2	2%	0	0.4	49	INF
3	Apr_19_2016	17.94	20.14	20.31	20.54	20.51	20.53	20.34(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	0	2	22	12.24	61%	0.17	69.1	2%	0	0.5	54	INF
4	Apr_18_2016	17.91	20.11	20.29	20.49	20.47	20.59	20.69(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	40	10	26	9.35	61%	0.17	75.8	2%	0	1.5	69	INF
5	Apr_15_2016	17.88	20.06	20.25	20.37	20.34	20.49	20.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	50	11	29	12.35	57%	0.17	75.1	2.01%	0	1.4	74	INF

6	Apr_14_2016	17.85	20	20.24	20.24	20.24	20.35	20.61(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	40	11	34	18.15	60%	0.17	76.2	2.1%	0	1.6	74	INF
7	Apr_13_2016	17.82	19.94	20.2	20.11	20.16	20.2	20.45(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	20	5	32	8.39	57%	0.17	75.4	2.14%	0	1.3	69	INF
8	Apr_12_2016	17.79	19.87	20.17	20.11	20.16	20.2	20.09(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	0	30	8.31	57%	0.17	81.6	2.19%	0	0.5	53	INF
9	Apr_11_2016	17.76	19.82	20.14	20.06	20.16	20.12	20.09(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	20	-1	29	13.81	57%	0.17	81.6	2.19%	0	0.6	54	INF
10	Apr_8_2016	17.73	19.78	20.08	20.11	20.08	20.05	19.95(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-6	27	8.67	55%	0.11	90.5	2.19%	0	0.4	56	INF

11	Apr_7_2016	17.71	19.73	20.03	20.23	20.16	20.04	19.96(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-50	-6	36	9.18	53%	0.17	92.2	2.22%	0	0.5	60	INF
12	Apr_6_2016	17.68	19.65	19.99	20.23	20.24	20.11	20.21(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-50	-4	45	8.77	50%	0.23	81.1	2.25%	0	1	67	INF
13	Apr_5_2016	17.64	19.55	19.96	20.3	20.24	20.28	20.1(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-0	1	57	8.91	50%	0.17	67.6	2.32%	0	0.9	68	INF
14	Apr_4_2016	17.61	19.48	19.93	20.23	20.28	20.37	20.32(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	13	68	7.94	50%	0.23	68	2.31%	0	1.3	72	INF
15	Apr_1_2016	17.57	19.39	19.87	20.04	20.06	20.29	20.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	80	16	61	11.89	50%	0.29	64.2	2.31%	0	1.8	73	INF

16	Mar_31_2016	17.52	19.29	19.75	19.8	19.83	20.18	20.33(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	27	130	18	53	14.53	49%	0.29	61.4	2.33%	0	1.7	76	INF
17	Mar_30_2016	17.47	19.21	19.64	19.63	19.59	19.83	20.19(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	21	80	11	49	12.45	48%	0.23	65.4	2.34%	0	1.8	79	INF
18	Mar_29_2016	17.43	19.13	19.53	19.58	19.47	19.47	19.76(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-20	1	56	7.85	49%	0.23	74.3	2.33%	0	1.2	79	INF
19	Mar_28_2016	17.39	19.05	19.47	19.6	19.56	19.35	19.38(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-80	-7	62	5.42	49%	0.29	77.4	2.33%	0	0.6	61	INF
20	Mar_24_2016	17.34	18.99	19.45	19.66	19.65	19.48	19.34(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-60	-8	75	14.11	49%	0.23	82.3	2.33%	0	0.6	62	INF

21	Mar_23_2016	17.3	18.93	19.41	19.68	19.71	19.76	19.46(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	20	2	84	12.7	50%	0.17	94	2.33%	0	0.9	62	INF
22	Mar_22_2016	17.27	18.86	19.31	19.64	19.62	19.82	19.94(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	70	13	84	7.57	51%	0.23	102.1	2.31%	0	1.7	69	INF
23	Mar_21_2016	17.23	18.75	19.12	19.47	19.45	19.67	19.89(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	80	15	67	13.96	53%	0.23	112.8	2.32%	0	1.9	70	INF
24	Mar_18_2016	17.19	18.64	18.99	19.31	19.27	19.43	19.66(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	9	60	19.74	53%	0.23	130.2	2.33%	0	1.8	73	INF
25	Mar_17_2016	17.15	18.53	18.88	19.23	19.17	19.24	19.46(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	10	60	13.49	51%		125.3	2.33%	0	1.3	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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