Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $21.3432 (2.5%) ($20.7381 - $21.3432) on Thu. Sep. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $21.3432(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(15%)    SMH(15%)    QQQ(13%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    XLU(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.07(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.16(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.88(2.22%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $19.209b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.33%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.14%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2014	19.86	20.88	21.16	21.07		20.98	21.34(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-20	6	33	12.63	53%	0.15	95.6	1.38%	0	1.1	64	INF
2	Sep_10_2014	19.83	20.79	21.14	21	21.02	20.95	20.82(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-20	-13	32	7.35	49%	0.15	74.4	1.34%	0	0.1	62	INF
3	Sep_9_2014	19.8	20.72	21.13	21.1	21.09	21.06	20.91(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-9	50	12.57	49%	0.2	70.3	1.34%	0	0.3	60	INF
4	Sep_8_2014	19.76	20.66	21.11	21.18	21.18	21.1	21.1(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-8	64	10.07	49%	0.05	69.5	1.34%	0	0.7	65	INF
5	Sep_5_2014	19.75	20.57	21.07	21.18	21.23	21.12	21.18(0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-40	-7	73	10.45	49%	0.2	67.1	1.33%	0	0.9	56	INF

6	Sep_4_2014	19.71	20.48	21.02	21.27	21.3	21.27	20.98(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10	-3	98	12.29	49%	0.2	62.9	1.34%	0	0.7	72	INF
7	Sep_3_2014	19.67	20.41	20.96	21.29	21.28	21.33	21.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	20	11	129	12.94	59%	0.2	62.7	1.32%	0	1.2	79	INF
8	Sep_2_2014	19.63	20.31	20.88	21.17	21.16	21.34	21.34(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	60	18	134	11.96	59%	0.31	56.6	1.42%	0	1.4	80	INF
9	Aug_29_2014	19.57	20.22	20.79	21.01	21	21.23	21.51(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	80	24	139	15.64	59%	0.2	52	1.42%	0	1.8	78	INF
10	Aug_28_2014	19.53	20.11	20.72	20.84	20.81	20.99	21.22(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	60	18	149	9.04	59%	0.1	48.8	1.42%	0	1.7	78	INF

11	Aug_27_2014	19.51	20.02	20.56	20.73	20.7	20.77	21.06(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	20	17	148	10.43	62%	0.15	42.3	1.42%	0	1.7	79	INF
12	Aug_26_2014	19.48	19.95	20.4	20.59	20.6	20.77	20.69(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	10	3	125	8.67	60%	0.1	35.2	1.44%	0	1.3	66	INF
13	Aug_25_2014	19.46	19.89	20.28	20.56	20.55	20.62	20.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	3	125	9.76	60%	0.1	25.2	1.45%	0	1.3	68	INF
14	Aug_22_2014	19.44	19.85	20.17	20.54	20.55	20.58	20.64(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	0	124	7.57	60%	0.1	12.5	1.45%	0	1.5	63	INF
15	Aug_21_2014	19.42	19.8	20.04	20.58	20.54	20.58	20.66(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-20	14	132	11.35	60%	0.05	0	1.46%	0	1.8	64	INF

16	Aug_20_2014	19.41	19.76	19.89	20.36	20.6	20.49	20.38(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-0	14	106	9.82	60%	0.1	-21.9	1.45%	0	1.3	63	INF
17	Aug_19_2014	19.39	19.75	19.81	20.17	20.38	20.6	20.52(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	110	17	84	9.12	60%	0.1	-38.7	1.45%	0	1.5	59	INF
18	Aug_18_2014	19.37	19.76	19.69	19.94	20.11	20.72	20.48(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	44	240	39	60	16.99	60%	0.05	-48.8	1.45%	0	1.3	60	INF
19	Aug_15_2014	19.36	19.79	19.59	19.75	19.78	20.16	20.83(6.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	140	42	33	25.84	71%	0.16	-53.1	1.74%	0	1.7	61	INF
20	Aug_14_2014	19.33	19.8	19.44	19.45	19.48	19.49	19.6(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	10	10	-14	11.24	65%	0.05	-63.7	1.58%	0	-0.3	48	INF

21	Aug_13_2014	19.32	19.87	19.42	19.36	19.48	19.41	19.43(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	10	-4	-42	9.31	62%	0.05	-62.7	1.58%	0	-0.6	36	INF
22	Aug_12_2014	19.31	19.95	19.45	19.4	19.39	19.46	19.37(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	20	4	-45	8.56	62%	0.05	-62	1.6%	0	-0.8	34	INF
23	Aug_11_2014	19.3	20.04	19.48	19.38	19.42	19.36	19.54(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-20	1	-69	9.21	62%	0.05	-59.1	1.6%	0	-0.6	29	INF
24	Aug_8_2014	19.29	20.12	19.5	19.39	19.38	19.32	19.3(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-10	-99	9.05	64%	0.05	-58	1.59%	0	-1	21	INF
25	Aug_7_2014	19.28	20.22	19.54	19.44	19.48	19.47	19.17(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-31	0	-2	-118	15.62	64%		-57	1.61%	0	-1.3	18	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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