Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $19.8474 (4.39%) ($19.0043 - $19.8752) on Tue. Jun. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $19.8474(4.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(59%)    XHB(52%)    GDXJ(15%)    SMH(15%)    QQQ(13%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    XLU(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.08(4.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.86(5.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.36(8.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $17.863b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 5.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.17%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 4.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.08%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2014	18.12	18.36	18.86	19.08	18.97	19.11	19.85(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	30	20	108	33.32	66%	0.17	60.8	1.9%	0	2.2	75	0
2	Jun_2_2014	18.09	18.23	18.72	18.92	18.86	18.75	19.01(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-50	3	102	10.81	62%	0.11	64.1	1.83%	0	1.3	64	0
3	May_30_2014	18.07	18.16	18.68	18.83	18.88	18.83	18.71(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10	-0	108	10.1	62%	0.06	64	1.84%	0	0.9	63	0
4	May_29_2014	18.06	18.09	18.55	18.78	18.83	18.97	18.79(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	60	6	97	16.09	62%	0.06	58.6	1.86%	0	1.2	64	0
5	May_28_2014	18.05	18.03	18.42	18.73	18.73	18.93	19.03(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	70	16	98	13.82	62%	0.11	55.9	1.86%	0	1.7	70	0

6	May_27_2014	18.03	17.95	18.28	18.6	18.59	18.69	19.07(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	40	12	89	20.05	62%	0.11	52.9	1.88%	0	2.1	72	0
7	May_23_2014	18.01	17.86	18.16	18.5	18.59	18.53	18.57(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	1	84	7.17	60%	0.11	47.8	1.87%	0	1.4	66	0
8	May_22_2014	17.99	17.79	18.08	18.51	18.49	18.49	18.43(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-0	16	99	9.35	60%	0.06	48.6	1.88%	0	1.4	65	0
9	May_21_2014	17.98	17.75	18.02	18.27	18.44	18.46	18.53(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	16	82	7.64	60%	0.06	40.3	1.9%	0	1.8	68	0
10	May_20_2014	17.97	17.71	17.92	18.06	18.14	18.5	18.41(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	150	15	60	13.31	60%	0.06	33.6	1.92%	0	1.8	63	0

11	May_19_2014	17.96	17.68	17.81	17.9	17.91	18.41	18.55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	200	26	47	16.28	60%	0.06	28.7	1.94%	0	2.4	65	0
12	May_16_2014	17.95	17.63	17.7	17.78	17.71	17.79	18.63(8.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	25	20	21	37	38.23	60%	0.06	23.1	1.96%	0	3.1	71	0
13	May_15_2014	17.94	17.56	17.58	17.61	17.62	17.41	17.23(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-10	-80	-18	16	15.8	49%	-0.06	11.2	1.55%	0	-1.5	55	0
14	May_14_2014	17.95	17.56	17.6	17.73	17.75	17.63	17.47(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-40	-8	26	14.99	49%	-0.06	5.9	1.56%	0	-0.5	42	0
15	May_13_2014	17.96	17.58	17.6	17.74	17.78	17.83	17.62(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	30	4	29	20.5	49%	-0.06	-12.6	1.57%	0	0.2	47	0

16	May_12_2014	17.97	17.57	17.61	17.69	17.7	17.87	17.95(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	70	14	22	13.12	52%	0	-38.3	1.56%	0	1.8	50	0
17	May_9_2014	17.97	17.55	17.53	17.6	17.57	17.72	17.8(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	50	13	2	14.06	52%	-0.06	-80.6	1.58%	0	1.3	53	0
18	May_8_2014	17.98	17.54	17.53	17.54	17.47	17.52	17.81(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	10	10	-13	21.34	52%	0	-135	1.6%	0	1.5	56	0
19	May_7_2014	17.98	17.57	17.47	17.45	17.43	17.52	17.51(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10	-2	-20	11.92	49%	-0.06	-115.5	1.59%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	May_6_2014	17.99	17.6	17.49	17.47	17.47	17.42	17.39(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-13	10.17	49%	-0.11	-110.6	1.61%	0	-0.7	52	0

21	May_5_2014	18.01	17.65	17.53	17.51	17.48	17.44	17.49(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-20	2	0	9.13	49%	-0.06	-97	1.63%	0	-0.5	50	0
22	May_2_2014	18.02	17.71	17.53	17.45	17.49	17.44	17.48(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	10	5	-5	10.29	49%	-0.11	-86.6	1.66%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	May_1_2014	18.04	17.79	17.55	17.39	17.42	17.51	17.41(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	40	-4	-17	17.22	49%	-0.11	-63.7	1.68%	0	-0.7	46	0
24	Apr_30_2014	18.06	17.87	17.56	17.48	17.36	17.46	17.57(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	20	0	-23	17.91	49%	-0.11	-46.4	1.7%	0	-0.5	34	0
25	Apr_29_2014	18.08	17.94	17.54	17.51	17.46	17.33	17.58(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-60	-3	-37	13.96	49%		-40.7	1.72%	0	-0.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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