Trading Signals: ALXN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: ALXN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Jul. 20, 2021)

(Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ALXN latest price $167.4800 (-3.24%) ($163.0200 - $173.7000) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $167.4800(-3.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALXN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALXN advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALXN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    XLV(54%)    QQQ(50%)    SPY(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting ALXN price   ALXN will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.63(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.6(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.46(3.09%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $36.695b

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which focuses on serving patients with devastating and ultra-rare disorders through the development and commercialization of life-transforming therapeutic products. Its products include ultomiris, soliris, strensiq and kanuma. The company was founded by Joseph A. Madri, David W. Keiser, Stephen P. Squinto and Leonard Bell in January 1992 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. ALXN price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.61%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.85%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2014	159.46	162.46	163.6	166.63	166.88	169.89	167.48(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	130	90	84	2.88	82%	0.06	38.3	1.92%	0	1.2	53	INF
2	Jul_23_2014	159.37	162.03	163.1	164.15	164.35	168.54	173.08(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	174	180	199	99	1.75	88%	0.1	20.7	1.89%	0	2.8	59	INF
3	Jul_22_2014	159.21	161.27	162.11	161.28	160.76	163.87	167.97(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	111	130	133	45	1.59	87%	0.06	-1	1.89%	0	2.2	56	INF
4	Jul_21_2014	159.12	160.91	161.18	159.75	159.18	160.16	163.37(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	30	62	4	1.05	86%	0.03	-19	1.88%	0	0.9	61	INF
5	Jul_18_2014	159.07	160.97	160.89	159.83	159.4	157.66	161.25(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-80	-38	-30	1.08	86%	0.02	-14.8	1.89%	0	0.1	56	INF

6	Jul_17_2014	159.04	160.9	161.15	160.22	160.71	158.21	155.06(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-99	-100	-115	-50	1.56	84%	-0.03	-20.9	1.84%	0	-2	45	INF
7	Jul_16_2014	159.09	161.21	162.11	161.79	162.24	161.15	158.77(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-56	-40	-73	-5	1.18	92%	0	-18.6	1.81%	0	-1	51	INF
8	Jul_15_2014	159.09	161.29	162.55	162.94	162.76	163.21	160.32(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	14	20	3	46	1.22	92%	0.01	-19	1.83%	0	-0.4	54	INF
9	Jul_14_2014	159.08	161.42	162.23	162.69	162.46	163.34	163.76(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	30	52	54	0.78	100%	0.04	-30.5	1.83%	0	0.9	53	INF
10	Jul_11_2014	159.02	161.39	161.64	162.07	161.27	162.32	163.21(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	30	19	20	0.72	100%	0.03	-49.4	1.84%	0	0.7	46	INF

11	Jul_10_2014	158.97	161.49	161.32	162.27	161.23	161.58	162.89(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-0	25	25	1.21	76%	0.03	-50.6	1.89%	0	0.5	55	INF
12	Jul_9_2014	158.92	161.68	160.95	162.54	161.83	160.22	164.52(3.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-13	-80	-19	7	1.51	80%	0.04	-46.7	2.12%	0	1	55	INF
13	Jul_8_2014	158.85	161.76	160.35	162.19	162.22	160.88	159.08(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-60	-58	-14	1.29	78%	0	-50.3	2.19%	0	-0.9	49	INF
14	Jul_7_2014	158.85	162.18	160.61	161.63	162.46	163.43	160.66(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	60	20	10	0.77	78%	0.01	-51.5	2.19%	0	-0.5	47	INF
15	Jul_3_2014	158.83	162.62	161.04	161.01	161.07	163.56	164.21(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	110	68	26	0.72	66%	0.04	-44.1	2.3%	0	0.4	50	INF

16	Jul_2_2014	158.76	162.84	160.56	160.2	159.61	161.49	164.22(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	70	80	14	1.15	66%	0.05	-45.2	2.31%	0	0.3	46	INF
17	Jul_1_2014	158.68	163.07	160.14	159.18	158.77	158.57	162.79(4.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	-20	27	-27	1.56	66%	0.03	-49	2.31%	0	-0.1	41	INF
18	Jun_30_2014	158.63	163.32	159.85	158.38	158.45	157.73	156.25(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-30	-44	-74	1.81	62%	-0.02	-54	2.26%	0	-1.6	30	INF
19	Jun_27_2014	158.66	163.88	160.52	159.46	159.29	158.96	157.6(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-20	-30	-67	3.87	62%	-0.01	-46.1	2.26%	0	-1.6	30	INF
20	Jun_26_2014	158.68	164.35	161.14	161.04	160.56	159.17	160.14(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-70	-21	-60	1.3	62%	0.01	-31.1	2.25%	0	-1.1	30	INF

21	Jun_25_2014	158.66	164.73	161.69	160.95	161.44	159.63	159.13(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-70	-56	-80	1.6	62%	0.01	-19.8	2.26%	0	-1.5	30	INF
22	Jun_24_2014	158.65	165.17	162.5	161.21	161.67	161.95	158.79(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	20	-29	-71	1.28	53%	0	-3.8	2.28%	0	-1.8	29	INF
23	Jun_23_2014	158.65	165.67	163.31	161.48	161.55	163.26	161.66(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	80	44	-39	0.97	53%	0.03	11.9	2.4%	0	-1.3	36	INF
24	Jun_20_2014	158.6	165.74	163.9	161.71	161.06	161.39	165.46(3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	12	0	29	-39	1.98	44%	0.06	21.1	2.59%	0	-0.1	46	INF
25	Jun_19_2014	158.5	165.52	164.3	161.36	161.23	159.85	159.69(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-60	-38	-66	0.97	38%		20.7	2.55%	0	-1.7	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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