Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Allstate Corporation)
ALL latest price $70.7200 (-0.81%) ($70.1000 - $71.0800) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $70.7200(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALL advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    IWD(65%)    VYM(65%)    XLF(65%)    SDY(63%)
Factors Impacting ALL price   ALL will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    XHB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.36(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.01(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.35(3.47%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $22.135b

The Allstate Corp. engages in the property and casualty insurance business and the sale of life and accident and health insurance products through its subsidiaries. It operates through following business segments: Allstate Protection, Service Businesses, Allstate Life, Allstate Benefits, Allstate Annuities, Discontinued Lines and Coverages, and Corporate and Other. The Allstate Protection segment sells private passenger auto and homeowners insurance through agencies and directly through call centers and the internet. These products are marketed under the Allstate, Encompass, and Esurance brand names. The Service Businesses segment offers a range of products and services that expand and enhance customer value propositions including SquareTrade, Arity, Allstate Roadside, and Allstate Dealer Services. The Allstate Life segment provides traditional, interest-sensitive, and variable life insurance products through Allstate exclusive agencies and exclusive financial specialists. The Allstate Benefits segment offers voluntary benefits products, including life, accident, critical illness, short-term disability and other health products sold through workplace enrolling independent agents and Allstate exclusive agencies. The Allstate Annuities segment consists of deferred fixed annuities and immediate fixed annuities. The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. The Corporate and Other segment comprises of the company's activities and certain non-insurance operations. The company was founded on April 17, 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, IL.

$. ALL price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2016	68.73	68.35	69.01	70.36	70.31	70.8	70.72(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	88	50	52	195	2.45	50%	0.04	28	0.77%	0	1.8	67	INF
2	Nov_15_2016	68.7	68.26	68.67	69.85	69.88	70.55	71.3(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	123	70	104	181	3.33	51%	0.09	19.9	0.77%	0	2.5	68	INF
3	Nov_14_2016	68.64	68.14	68.24	69.11	69.13	69.82	70.69(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	109	70	101	131	2.67	49%	0.06	8	0.76%	0	2.5	67	INF
4	Nov_11_2016	68.6	68.05	67.93	68.34	68.37	69.2	69.64(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	94	90	97	84	2.27	46%	0.03	-10.6	0.74%	0	1.8	62	INF
5	Nov_10_2016	68.58	68.02	67.71	67.76	67.79	68.45	69.45(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	78	70	90	42	3.29	46%	0.03	-25.4	0.74%	0	1.7	62	INF

6	Nov_9_2016	68.56	67.99	67.5	67.48	67.37	67.53	68.17(0.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	24	10	34	-6	3.23	41%	0.03	-28.7	0.7%	0	0.2	48	INF
7	Nov_8_2016	68.54	68.02	67.5	67.32	67.37	67.12	67.58(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-30	-4	-50	2.37	39%	0.01	-27.9	0.69%	0	-0.5	35	INF
8	Nov_7_2016	68.53	68.06	67.46	67.24	67.43	67.22	66.86(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-10	-51	-96	3.43	35%	0	-28.7	0.68%	0	-1.4	31	INF
9	Nov_4_2016	68.53	68.14	67.55	67.45	67.52	67.73	66.72(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	20	-6	-84	2.98	35%	0.01	-22.8	0.68%	0	-1.8	29	INF
10	Nov_3_2016	68.52	68.24	67.55	67.61	67.64	67.65	68.09(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	0	36	-83	4.52	40%	0.03	-23.6	0.64%	0	-0.2	36	INF

11	Nov_2_2016	68.5	68.22	67.65	67.51	67.53	67.31	67.34(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-20	-39	-136	2.87	35%	0	-33	0.63%	0	-1.2	31	INF
12	Nov_1_2016	68.5	68.26	67.85	67.63	67.69	67.63	67.21(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-0	-16	-114	2.76	35%	0.01	-36.9	0.63%	0	-1.5	30	INF
13	Oct_31_2016	68.49	68.3	68.05	67.71	67.77	67.74	67.9(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-0	2	-91	2.27	38%	0	-44.3	0.62%	0	-0.6	48	INF
14	Oct_28_2016	68.49	68.32	68.18	67.71	67.73	67.76	67.53(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	10	-5	-87	2.44	35%	0	-45	0.63%	0	-1.2	41	INF
15	Oct_27_2016	68.49	68.4	68.36	67.68	67.77	67.8	67.59(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	10	5	-72	1.37	35%	0	-43.2	0.63%	0	-1.2	43	INF

16	Oct_26_2016	68.49	68.46	68.51	67.81	67.72	67.69	67.94(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10	-29	-61	1.44	35%	0	-40.9	0.63%	0	-0.8	54	INF
17	Oct_25_2016	68.49	68.52	68.63	68.11	67.94	67.69	67.61(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-30	-35	-26	1.11	35%	0	-24.7	0.63%	0	-1.4	51	INF
18	Oct_24_2016	68.49	68.59	68.7	68.44	68.35	67.75	67.72(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-53	-70	-67	-9	0.97	35%	0.01	-3.4	0.63%	0	-1.5	52	INF
19	Oct_21_2016	68.48	68.63	68.79	68.77	68.78	68.14	67.55(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-75	-60	-101	5	2.28	35%	0	20.5	0.63%	0	-1.9	43	INF
20	Oct_20_2016	68.48	68.68	68.9	69.12	69.21	68.95	68.23(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-32	-20	-57	43	2.37	37%	0.01	51.3	0.62%	0	-0.9	40	INF

21	Oct_19_2016	68.47	68.72	68.87	69.3	69.43	69.42	69.43(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	0	7	77	1.53	42%	0.01	71.6	0.58%	0	1.4	58	INF
22	Oct_18_2016	68.46	68.68	68.71	69.22	69.3	69.47	69.29(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	26	62	1.3	42%	0.01	79.7	0.58%	0	1.2	50	INF
23	Oct_17_2016	68.45	68.61	68.57	69	69.07	69.43	69.34(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	40	50	39	1.19	42%	0.03	63.8	0.58%	0	1.3	52	INF
24	Oct_14_2016	68.43	68.52	68.47	68.83	68.78	69.12	69.33(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	30	56	28	2.32	42%	0.03	44.6	0.58%	0	1.4	58	INF
25	Oct_13_2016	68.41	68.42	68.43	68.65	68.57	68.7	69.09(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	10	41	15	1.9	42%		33.8	0.58%	0	1.2	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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