Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: ALL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Allstate Corporation)
ALL latest price $69.5000 (-1.4%) ($69.4900 - $70.2300) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $69.5000(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALL declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALL declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    VYM(65%)    XLF(65%)    SPY(59%)    XLI(59%)
Factors Impacting ALL price   ALL will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $71.07
5 Day Moving Average   $70.58(-1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.94(-2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.07(-2.21%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $21.754b

The Allstate Corp. engages in the property and casualty insurance business and the sale of life and accident and health insurance products through its subsidiaries. It operates through following business segments: Allstate Protection, Service Businesses, Allstate Life, Allstate Benefits, Allstate Annuities, Discontinued Lines and Coverages, and Corporate and Other. The Allstate Protection segment sells private passenger auto and homeowners insurance through agencies and directly through call centers and the internet. These products are marketed under the Allstate, Encompass, and Esurance brand names. The Service Businesses segment offers a range of products and services that expand and enhance customer value propositions including SquareTrade, Arity, Allstate Roadside, and Allstate Dealer Services. The Allstate Life segment provides traditional, interest-sensitive, and variable life insurance products through Allstate exclusive agencies and exclusive financial specialists. The Allstate Benefits segment offers voluntary benefits products, including life, accident, critical illness, short-term disability and other health products sold through workplace enrolling independent agents and Allstate exclusive agencies. The Allstate Annuities segment consists of deferred fixed annuities and immediate fixed annuities. The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from property and casualty insurance coverage that primarily relates to policies written during the 1960s through the mid-1980s. The Corporate and Other segment comprises of the company's activities and certain non-insurance operations. The company was founded on April 17, 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, IL.

$. ALL price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.14%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.8%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2015	70.2	71.07	70.94	70.58	70.54	70.21	69.5(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-41	-30	-40	-44	2.34	57%	-0.01	-11.9	1.08%	0	-2.2	38	INF
2	Mar_3_2015	70.21	71.2	71.08	70.9	70.86	70.71	70.49(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-20	-20	-18	1.91	59%	0.01	4.4	1.06%	0	-1.1	56	INF
3	Mar_2_2015	70.2	71.23	71.16	71.14	71.06	70.87	70.98(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-20	-11	5	1.69	60%	0.01	9.1	1.06%	0	-0.4	60	INF
4	Feb_27_2015	70.19	71.18	71.21	71.19	71.2	71	70.6(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-20	-20	8	2.2	60%	0.01	0	1.06%	0	-0.8	48	INF
5	Feb_26_2015	70.18	71.2	71.31	71.39	71.3	71.25	71.31(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-7	17	1.9	60%	0.01	2.1	1.06%	0	0.2	42	INF

6	Feb_25_2015	70.17	71.16	71.3	71.36	71.32	71.4	71.12(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	10	7	12	2.08	60%	0.03	1	1.07%	0	-0.1	39	INF
7	Feb_24_2015	70.15	71.16	71.21	71.28	71.21	71.35	71.67(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	10	11	-5	1.85	60%	0.04	5	1.07%	0	0.7	46	INF
8	Feb_23_2015	70.12	71.17	71.05	71.2	71.07	71.25	71.26(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	10	6	-16	1.81	60%	0.03	6.9	1.08%	0	0.1	53	INF
9	Feb_20_2015	70.1	71.18	71.02	71.2	71.11	71.07	71.6(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10	6	-7	2.12	60%	0.03	22.8	1.09%	0	0.6	61	INF
10	Feb_19_2015	70.08	71.19	71.07	71.2	71.17	70.9	71.17(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-30	-15	-7	2	60%	0.04	37.5	1.09%	0	-0	51	INF

11	Feb_18_2015	70.05	71.15	71.19	71.24	71.29	71.16	70.71(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10	-8	12	2.45	60%	0.01	38.3	1.1%	0	-0.6	53	INF
12	Feb_17_2015	70.04	71.14	71.32	71.11	71.24	71.43	71.27(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	20	15	20	2.03	60%	0.03	36.4	1.11%	0	0.2	49	INF
13	Feb_13_2015	70.02	71.12	71.29	70.86	70.93	71.42	71.46(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	50	27	8	2.02	60%	0.04	30	1.12%	0	0.4	48	INF
14	Feb_12_2015	69.99	71.01	71.14	70.75	70.63	71.05	71.57(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	40	22	-9	2.06	60%	0.04	14.6	1.13%	0	0.6	50	INF
15	Feb_11_2015	69.96	70.91	71.08	70.9	70.65	70.45	71.18(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-30	2	-17	3.84	60%	0.04	16	1.14%	0	0.3	46	INF

16	Feb_10_2015	69.93	70.86	71	71.18	70.7	70.22	70.05(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-70	-50	-27	3.06	58%	0	31.6	1.13%	0	-0.9	51	INF
17	Feb_9_2015	69.93	70.85	71.15	71.57	71.2	70.84	70.03(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-19	-50	-27	6	3.56	58%	0	47.4	1.14%	0	-0.9	50	INF
18	Feb_6_2015	69.93	70.88	71.32	71.75	71.51	71.18	70.93(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-40	-3	30	4.2	60%	0.03	55.6	1.13%	0	0.1	51	INF
19	Feb_5_2015	69.91	70.89	71.38	71.52	71.19	71.56	72.3(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	8	20	-2	36	4.83	64%	0.09	53	1.11%	0	1.5	65	INF
20	Feb_4_2015	69.85	70.76	71.32	71.27	71.02	71.84	72.58(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	68	70	67	72	3.68	64%	0.09	42.6	1.11%	0	2	65	INF

21	Feb_3_2015	69.79	70.57	71.09	70.82	70.66	70.82	72.03(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	10	32	40	2.99	64%	0.07	17.8	1.12%	0	1.6	58	INF
22	Feb_2_2015	69.74	70.4	70.92	70.7	70.6	70.2	70.91(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-14	-40	-24	18	3.01	62%	0.04	3.1	1.12%	0	0.6	57	INF
23	Jan_30_2015	69.71	70.36	70.91	70.87	70.87	70.49	69.79(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-23	-40	-39	24	2.49	60%	0	5.3	1.1%	0	-0.6	48	INF
24	Jan_29_2015	69.71	70.39	70.89	71.19	71.18	70.99	71.05(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-24	32	2.85	64%	0.04	12.9	1.08%	0	0.7	49	INF
25	Jan_28_2015	69.68	70.38	70.74	71.37	71.43	71.25	70.32(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-20	-7	45	2.54	64%		21.4	1.08%	0	-0.1	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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