Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $58.8000 (-2.33%) ($58.3900 - $59.9700) on Tue. Mar. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $58.8000(-2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(32%)    XBI(31%)    XLV(28%)    IVE(27%)    IWO(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.17(-2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.34(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.28(4.48%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $9.351b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 4.62% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(38%) Average negative next day return: -3.61%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.45%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -3.68%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.13%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.02%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2017	55.64	56.28	57.34	60.17	60.27	59.84	58.8(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-40	-10	116	0.75	62%	0.31	56.5	2.24%	0	1	54	INF
2	Mar_6_2017	55.47	56.1	56.89	59.71	60.06	60.7	60.2(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	90	30	116	0.57	65%	0.34	59.2	2.31%	0	1.6	65	INF
3	Mar_3_2017	55.28	55.82	56.3	58.75	58.82	60.71	60.97(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	230	74	108	0.89	65%	0.33	53.7	2.32%	0	2.2	66	INF
4	Mar_2_2017	55.1	55.5	55.71	57.15	57.13	59.42	61.16(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	101	280	106	84	1.59	65%	0.33	40.9	2.34%	0	2.8	68	INF
5	Mar_1_2017	54.92	55.15	55.2	55.43	55.1	56.92	59.71(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	73	210	83	41	1.5	63%	0.29	19.7	2.34%	0	3	66	INF

6	Feb_28_2017	54.76	54.85	54.87	54.15	53.68	54.84	56.5(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	37	130	48	3	1.42	58%	0.18	-11.1	2.26%	0	1.4	57	INF
7	Feb_27_2017	54.66	54.64	54.69	53.69	53.22	53.27	55.4(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	-20	19	-24	1.35	58%	0.18	-33.9	2.25%	0	0.6	50	INF
8	Feb_24_2017	54.56	54.59	54.65	53.52	53.28	52.52	52.98(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-110	-32	-50	0.55	52%	0.15	-44.1	2.17%	0	-1.3	41	INF
9	Feb_23_2017	54.48	54.69	54.82	54.03	53.88	53.16	52.57(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-100	-47	-46	0.78	52%	0.13	-39.4	2.19%	0	-1.9	38	INF
10	Feb_22_2017	54.41	54.85	55.04	54.9	54.77	54.04	53.29(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-100	-38	-19	0.77	52%	0.13	-21.5	2.19%	0	-1.5	45	INF

11	Feb_21_2017	54.34	54.98	55.22	55.68	55.68	54.6	54.19(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-18	-140	-27	10	0.92	52%	0.28	4.4	2.19%	0	-0.8	53	INF
12	Feb_17_2017	54.19	55.05	55.34	55.8	55.99	55.51	54.57(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-17	-50	-31	26	0.86	52%	0.15	8.8	2.19%	0	-0.5	65	INF
13	Feb_16_2017	54.11	55.12	55.39	55.91	56.05	56.77	55.55(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	100	15	51	0.99	52%	0.13	18	2.19%	0	0.4	56	INF
14	Feb_15_2017	54.04	55.14	55.36	55.7	55.72	56.47	56.89(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	100	44	60	1.66	56%	0.13	18.4	2.18%	0	1.7	58	INF
15	Feb_14_2017	53.97	55.07	55.13	55.22	55.03	55.33	57.21(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	30	20	33	1.28	56%	0.17	-6.4	2.18%	0	2.3	55	INF

16	Feb_13_2017	53.88	54.93	54.8	54.73	55.03	54.98	54.8(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	30	4	6	0.89	50%	0.11	-51.6	2.11%	0	-0.2	45	INF
17	Feb_10_2017	53.82	54.96	54.57	54.84	54.75	54.73	55.11(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	5	-6	1.16	50%	0.07	-69.7	2.11%	0	0.2	46	INF
18	Feb_9_2017	53.78	54.94	54.49	54.81	54.8	54.53	54.47(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-9	-21	0.51	60%	0.07	-94.8	2.12%	0	-0.6	41	INF
19	Feb_8_2017	53.74	54.95	54.53	54.96	54.89	54.77	54.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-20	-8	-20	0.52	60%	0.09	-118.1	2.34%	0	-0.5	40	INF
20	Feb_7_2017	53.69	55.14	54.63	55	54.95	55.07	54.77(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	10	6	-15	0.51	60%	0.09	-80	2.33%	0	-0.3	44	INF

21	Feb_6_2017	53.64	55.37	54.71	54.87	54.75	55.01	55.35(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	30	20	-8	0.33	60%	0.11	-50	2.38%	0	-0	55	INF
22	Feb_3_2017	53.58	55.56	54.73	54.25	54.19	54.83	54.95(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	80	15	-25	0.63	60%	0.13	-42.2	2.39%	0	-0.3	48	INF
23	Feb_2_2017	53.51	55.76	54.82	54.13	53.7	54.48	55.23(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	80	21	-20	0.81	60%	0.15	-31.6	2.4%	0	-0.3	54	INF
24	Feb_1_2017	53.43	55.98	54.89	54.05	53.67	53.55	54.7(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-40	7	-22	1.27	60%	0.15	-23.7	2.4%	0	-0.6	52	INF
25	Jan_31_2017	53.35	56.06	55	54.24	53.94	52.93	54.11(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-150	-31	-44	1.33	60%		-25.6	2.42%	0	-0.9	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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